{"id":564339,"date":"2026-04-04T15:34:08","date_gmt":"2026-04-04T15:34:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/564339\/"},"modified":"2026-04-04T15:34:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-04T15:34:08","slug":"spurs-vs-nuggets-computer-picks-our-best-player-prop-projections-for-april-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/564339\/","title":{"rendered":"Spurs vs Nuggets Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for April 4"},"content":{"rendered":"

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The San Antonio Spurs and Denver Nuggets tip off this afternoon in a battle of two of the NBA West’s best, and the props board has some real value hiding in plain sight.\u00a0<\/p>\n

We dug into the game logs, defensive data, and Covers NBA player prop projections<\/a> model edges to find the spots where the market got it wrong.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Here are our top Spurs vs. Nuggets predictions<\/a> and NBA picks<\/a> for Saturday, April 4.<\/p>\n

Advertisement<\/p>\n

Spurs vs Nuggets computer picks for April 4<\/p>\n

Spurs<\/p>\n

Nuggets<\/p>\n

Castle Under 8.5 assists\u00a0
+105<\/p>\n

Murray Over 24.5 points\u00a0
-105<\/p>\n

Champagnie Over 4.5 rebounds\u00a0
-112<\/p>\n

Braun Over 11.5 points
-105<\/p>\n

Johnson Over 4.5 rebounds\u00a0
+105<\/p>\n

Johnson Over 12.5 points\u00a0
-105<\/p>\n

Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365’s early win payout!<\/p>\n

Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets\u00a0paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!<\/p>\n

Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365’s offerings, with our comprehensive\u00a0bet365 review<\/a>!<\/p>\n

Sign Up Now atimg src=”https:\/\/img.covers.com\/betting\/sportsbooks\/2\/bet365.svg” alt=”bet365″ width=”100″ height=”28″ style=”vertical-align: middle;”<\/p>\n

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER<\/p>\n

Advertisement<\/p>\n

Spurs computer picksStephon Castle Under 8.5 assists (+105)<\/p>\n

Projection: 7.5 assists<\/p>\n

San Antonio Spurs<\/a> guard Stephon Castle<\/a> has averaged 8.5 assists over his last six games, though he cooled off with just five on Thursday.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The Denver Nuggets<\/a> have allowed the 23rd fewest assists over the last 10 games, and we agree with our Covers prop projections on Castle\u2019s assist prop.\u00a0<\/p>\n

span style=”font-size: 14px;”\ud83d\udd25\/span spanBet Castle Now at bet365!\/span<\/p>\n

Julian Champagnie Over 4.5 rebounds (-112)<\/p>\n

Projection: 5.6 rebounds<\/p>\n

Julian Champagnie<\/a> is averaging 5.1 rebounds over his last nine games and just hauled in eight on Thursday against the Clippers.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Champagnie\u2019s 4.5 rebound prop line is simply set too low. Denver ranks 27th in defensive rebound rate over the last 10, giving the Spurs forward a clear path to grab five.<\/p>\n

Advertisement<\/p>\n

span style=”font-size: 14px;”\ud83d\udd25\/span spanBet Champagnie Now at bet365!\/span<\/p>\n

Keldon Johnson Over 4.5 rebounds (+105)<\/p>\n

Projection: 5.1 rebounds<\/p>\n

Keldon Johnson<\/a> is averaging 4.4 rebounds in March and hauled in seven against Denver just three weeks ago.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Over Covers projection model expects five boards today from the Spurs forward, and Denver ranks 27th in defensive rebound rate over the last 10 games, leaving the glass wide open for active forwards.<\/p>\n

span style=”font-size: 14px;”\ud83d\udd25\/span spanBet Johnson Now at bet365!\/span<\/p>\n

Nuggets computer picksJamal Murray Over 24.5 points (-112)<\/p>\n

Projection: 25.6 points<\/p>\n

Advertisement<\/p>\n

Jamal Murray<\/a> is averaging 30.7 points over his last seven games and just dropped 37 on Wednesday against Utah.\u00a0<\/p>\n

He’s shooting over 52% from the floor during that stretch and has scored at least 20 in seven straight. San Antonio’s defense is legit, but Murray in this form is a difficult assignment for anyone.<\/p>\n

span style=”font-size: 14px;”\ud83d\udd25\/span spanBet Murray Now at bet365!\/span<\/p>\n

Christian Braun Over 11.5 points (+100)<\/p>\n

Projection: 12.2 points<\/p>\n

Christian Braun<\/a> is averaging 13.2 points in March and scored 18 on Wednesday against Utah.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Braun runs the floor well, and his cuts to the cup will benefit from San Antonio’s perimeter defense getting stretched thin when Nikola Jokic commands attention in the post, and Braun thrives in exactly those situations.<\/p>\n

Advertisement<\/p>\n

span style=”font-size: 14px;”\ud83d\udd25\/span spanBet Braun Now at bet365!\/span<\/p>\n

Cameron Johnson Over 12.5 points (-105)<\/p>\n

Projection: 13 points<\/p>\n

Cameron Johnson<\/a> is averaging 12.4 points in March and just scored 19 against Utah on Wednesday. At +102 on a line his projection already clears, the market is essentially giving you plus money on a coin flip that the numbers say he should win.\u00a0<\/p>\n

With Jokic getting most of the Spurs’ attention, Johnson’s perimeter shooting gives him a good chance to clear his scoring prop.\u00a0<\/p>\n

span style=”font-size: 14px;”\ud83d\udd25\/span spanBet Johnson Now at bet365!\/span<\/p>\n

Advertisement<\/p>\n

How to watch Spurs vs Nuggets tonight<\/p>\n

Location<\/p>\n

Ball Arena, Denver, CO<\/p>\n

Date<\/p>\n

Saturday, April 4, 2026<\/p>\n

Tip-off<\/p>\n

3:00 p.m. ET<\/p>\n

TV<\/p>\n

Prime Video<\/p>\n

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.<\/p>\n

MORE NBA PICKS<\/a><\/p>\n

This article originally appeared on Covers.com<\/a>, read the full article here<\/a> and view our best betting sites<\/a> or check out our top sportsbook promos<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here. The…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":564340,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[64],"tags":[1636,12327,203286,1751,7630,1840,1753,1754,72267,355,1756,6999,2116,99,40552],"class_list":{"0":"post-564339","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nba","8":"tag-bet365","9":"tag-cameron-johnson","10":"tag-champagnie","11":"tag-christian-braun","12":"tag-clippers","13":"tag-denver","14":"tag-denver-nuggets","15":"tag-jamal-murray","16":"tag-keldon-johnson","17":"tag-nba","18":"tag-nikola-jokic","19":"tag-san-antonio","20":"tag-san-antonio-spurs","21":"tag-sports","22":"tag-stephon-castle"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/564339","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=564339"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/564339\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/564340"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=564339"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=564339"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=564339"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}