{"id":57430,"date":"2025-08-04T10:22:10","date_gmt":"2025-08-04T10:22:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/57430\/"},"modified":"2025-08-04T10:22:10","modified_gmt":"2025-08-04T10:22:10","slug":"thats-not-how-revisions-to-jobs-numbers-work","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/57430\/","title":{"rendered":"That&#8217;s not how revisions to jobs numbers work"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>U.S. President Donald Trump boards Air Force One on August 1, 2025 at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland. <\/p>\n<p>Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images News | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>After U.S. jobs figures for May and June were revised significantly downward by the Bureau of Labor Statistics \u2014 slashing a combined 258,000 from previous figures \u2014 President Donald Trump, imputing political bias and data manipulation to BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer, revised her employment status to &#8220;terminated.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Government officials from both sides of the political aisle had plenty to say about that.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Bottom line, Trump wants to cook the books,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/01\/trump-bls-labor-jobs-wyden-mcentarfer.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">said\u00a0<\/a>Ron Wyden, the top Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee. Meanwhile, Republican Senator Rand Paul <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/politics\/donald-trump\/republican-senators-raise-concerns-trumps-firing-bls-commissioner-rcna222584\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">told NBC News<\/a> that &#8220;you can&#8217;t really make the numbers different or better by firing the people doing the counting.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The move, indeed, does have a whiff of the Chinese government, in August 2023, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/08\/15\/china-economy-july-industrial-output-fixed-asset-retail-data.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">stopping the release<\/a> of youth unemployment rates because they were spiking to record highs. (Beijing resumed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/01\/17\/china-misses-fourth-quarter-gdp-estimates-resumes-posting-youth-unemployment-data.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">disseminating the data<\/a> in January 2024.)<\/p>\n<p>A falling tree makes a sound, regardless of whether there&#8217;s anyone around to hear it. Terminating the person who reports that noise won&#8217;t suck sound waves back into a vacuum either.<\/p>\n<p>Markets, too, were vocal in their response to Trump&#8217;s firing of McEntarfer as well as the dismal jobs report. On Friday, the three major U.S. indexes had their worst day in months, a sharp turn from the week prior, which saw consecutive days of record highs for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/.SPX\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">S&amp;P 500<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/.IXIC\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nasdaq Composite<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>This changes the calculus. With new tariffs due to take effect Aug. 7 \u2014 which could further slow hiring in the U.S. because of increased costs and uncertainties for companies \u2014 both the economy and markets might weaken further. Then it becomes a matter of whether the &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/05\/28\/trump-tariffs-taco-trade-chickening-out.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">TACO trade<\/a>&#8221; \u2014 &#8220;Trump Always Chickens Out&#8221; \u2014 will, in the words of The Terminator, be back.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Jeff Cox, Dan Mangan contributed to this report<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline0\"\/>What you need to know today<\/p>\n<p>Cracks appear in the U.S. jobs market. Nonfarm payrolls in July grew 73,000, lower than the Dow Jones estimate of a 100,000 gain. Unemployment edged up 10 basis points to 4.2%. June and May&#8217;s jobs numbers were <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/01\/jobs-report-july-2025.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">revised dramatically lower<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Trump fires commissioner of labor statistics after jobs report. In a Truth Social <a href=\"https:\/\/truthsocial.com\/@realDonaldTrump\/posts\/114954846612623858\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">post<\/a>, the U.S. president accused BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer of being a political appointee who &#8220;faked the Jobs Numbers before the Election&#8221; and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/01\/trump-erika-mcentarfer-jobs-report-fired.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">providing inaccurate data<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>BYD posts its first monthly delivery decline in 2025. China&#8217;s largest EV maker shipped 341,030 units in July, a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/04\/chinas-byd-posts-first-delivery-dip-in-2025-as-ev-price-war-bites.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">9.7% drop from the previous month<\/a>. Other domestic competitors, such as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/2015-HK\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Li Auto<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/NIO\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nio<\/a>, also recorded a month-on-month decline in July deliveries.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. stocks suffer their worst day in months. On Friday, the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.6%, its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/31\/stock-market-today-live-updates.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">worst day since May 21<\/a>, breaking a 26-day streak when the index&#8217;s moves remained within a 1% range. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/04\/aia-stock-markets-today-live-updates-nikkei-225-asx-200-kospi-hang-seng-csi-300-sensex-nifty-50.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed<\/a> Monday, while oil prices dipped on an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/03\/opec-makes-another-large-oil-output-hike-in-market-share-push-.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">output increase<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>[PRO] Robotaxis are becoming a reality. Waymo is, in the U.S., the market leader thus far, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/PONY\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Pony AI<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/WRD\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">WeRide<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/9888-HK\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Baidu<\/a> have been operating rides in China&#8217;s larger cities. Analysts give their assessment on which <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/03\/robotaxis-are-becoming-a-reality-whos-poised-to-win-in-china-and-beyond.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">company is likely to win the robotaxi race<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline1\"\/>And finally&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Singapore&#8217;s skyline at sunset.<\/p>\n<p>Deejpilot | E+ | Getty Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"U.S. President Donald Trump boards Air Force One on August 1, 2025 at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland. Anna&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":57431,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[38],"tags":[43282,28,122,43159,12,134,43154,112,121,43156,1541,34029,117,1186,74,21,43281,6990],"class_list":{"0":"post-57430","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-jobs","8":"tag-baidu-inc","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-business-news","11":"tag-byd-co-ltd","12":"tag-donald-trump","13":"tag-jobs","14":"tag-li-auto-inc","15":"tag-markets","16":"tag-nasdaq-composite","17":"tag-nio-inc","18":"tag-personnel","19":"tag-pony-ai-inc","20":"tag-sp-500-index","21":"tag-stoxx-600","22":"tag-technology","23":"tag-united-states","24":"tag-weride-inc","25":"tag-world-markets"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57430"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57430\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/57431"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}