![](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/jonah-coleman-nfl-draft-profile-10-23-25-scaled.jpg\")
<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
We\u2019ve been digging around the analytics at running back to see if it offers any clues about what the Seahawks might do in the draft. Today I want to focus on missed tackles forced and show some clips to emphasise the points made.<\/p>\n
Firstly, a quick recap.<\/p>\n
Here are the explosive run rates for the 2026 draft class. An explosive run is 10 yards or more. The average of all running backs drafted in the last 10 yards is 16%.<\/p>\n
Note, in all of these categories I am going to include Jonah Coleman\u2019s 2024 data. I\u2019ve spoken to sources at Washington and understand he was hampered by wearing a brace in 2025. The tape the previous year is said to be a far better reflection of what he is as a player.<\/p>\n
Jadarian Price \u2013 21.2%
Jonah Coleman (2024) 19.8%
Jeremiyah Love \u2013 19.6%
Mike Washington \u2013 18%
\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014
Emmett Johnson \u2013 14.3%
Kaytron Allen \u2013 14.3%
Kaelon Black \u2013 14%
Jonah Coleman (2025) \u2013 12.7%
Roman Hemby \u2013 11.3%
Nick Singleton \u2013 9.7%
J\u2019Mari Taylor \u2013 9.5%<\/p>\n
I\u2019ve separated the four running backs at the top because they all reached an above average percentage.<\/p>\n
All of the running backs selected by John Schneider in the first two rounds had above average explosive run rates during their final college seasons (there\u2019s no access to data for Christine Michael):<\/p>\n
Zach Charbonnet \u2013 22.7%
Rashaad Penny \u2014 20%
Ken Walker \u2013 17.6%<\/p>\n
Schneider talked about the importance of yards after contact on his Seattle Sports radio show last week. Here\u2019s how the same three drafted players faired for yards after contact per play in their final college seasons:<\/p>\n
Rashaad Penny \u2014 4.47
Ken Walker \u2013 4.46
Zach Charbonnet \u2013 4.15<\/p>\n
All three scored very highly.<\/p>\n
Here are the averages for the 2026 class:<\/p>\n
Jeremiyah Love \u2013 4.50
Jonah Coleman (2024) \u2014 4.34
Jadarian Price \u2013 3.95
Mike Washington Jr \u2013 3.86
Kaytron Allen \u2013 3.77
Jonah Coleman (2025) \u2013 3.58
Noah Whittington \u2013 3.51
Le\u2019Veon Moss \u2013 3.47
Rashul Faison \u2013 3.47
Kaelon Black \u2013 3.47
J\u2019Mari Taylor \u2013 3.39
Roman Hemby \u2013 3.36
Adam Randall \u2013 3.13
Chip Trayanum \u2013 3.08
Demon Claiborne \u2013 3.04
Emmett Johnson \u2013 2.95
Seth McGowan \u2013 2.72
Nicholas Singleton \u2013 2.69
Jam Miller \u2013 2.45<\/p>\n
Once again, it\u2019s the same four players at the top.<\/p>\n
It\u2019s no surprise that the Seahawks have shown interest in Coleman, have been consistently paired with Price in mocks and have had Washington Jr in for an official visit. They are the top three players on the list above, with the exception of top-10 lock Jeremiyah Love.<\/p>\n
I now have some new data to share and discuss. Here are the yards after contact percentages for some select runners:<\/p>\n
Jonah Coleman (2025) \u2014 71%
Jadarian Price \u2014 66%
Kaytron Allen \u2014 63%
Adam Randall \u2014 63%
Jeremiyah Love \u2014 60%
Mike Washington Jr \u2014 57%
Seth McGowan \u2014 56%
Emmett Johnson \u2014 51%<\/p>\n
Again, note how high Coleman and Price are on the list.<\/p>\n
Now here\u2019s the EPA per rush for the same players:<\/p>\n
Jeremiyah Love \u2014 0.30
Jonah Coleman (2025) \u2014 0.24
Kaytron Allen \u2014 0.22
Jadarian Price \u2014 0.13
Mike Washington Jr \u2014 0.13
Emmett Johnson \u2014 0.13
Seth McGowan \u2014 0.11
Adam Randall \u2014 0.06<\/p>\n
Here are \u2018elusiveness ratings\u2019 for the group. This is a PFF statistic used to measure the success and impact of a running back independent of blocking:<\/p>\n
Jonah Coleman (2024) \u2014 153.4
Jeremiyah Love \u2014 127.5
Jadarian Price \u2014 118.6
Coleman Bennett (official-30 visit) \u2014 112.2
Kaytron Allen \u2014 102.6
Emmett Johnson \u2014 88.3
Jonah Coleman (2025) \u2014 85.7
Mike Washington Jr \u2014 73.2
Demond Claiborne \u2014 66.1
Roman Hemby \u2014 62.6
Adam Randall \u2014 61.0
Kaelon Black \u2014 58.2
Seth McGowan \u2014 51.8
Nicholas Singleton \u2014 47.3
Chip Trayanum (official-30 visit) \u2014 39.4
Jam Miller \u2014 37.8<\/p>\n
Coleman\u2019s 2024 mark is so far ahead of anything else in the 2026 class \u2014 and it compares favourably to Walker\u2019s final season at Michigan State. Here\u2019s how Seattle\u2019s three recent draftees faired:<\/p>\n
Ken Walker \u2014 145.9
Rashaad Penny \u2014 129.7
Zach Charbonnet \u2014 115.1<\/p>\n
Finally let\u2019s go to the missed tackles forced rate by every running back drafted by Schneider that we have data for:<\/p>\n
Chris Carson \u2013 37.3%
Ken Walker \u2013 33.6%
Deejay Dallas \u2014 31.3%
Rashaad Penny \u2014 29.7%
Kenny McIntosh \u2014 29.1%
CJ Prosise \u2013 27.6%
Damien Martinez \u2014 26.3%
Zach Charbonnet \u2013 25.8%
Travis Homer \u2014 17.7%<\/p>\n
Here\u2019s how they compare to the 2026 draft class:<\/p>\n
Jonah Coleman (2024) \u2014 34.9%
Jadarian Price \u2014 28.3%
Jeremiyah Love \u2014 28.1%
Emmett Johnson \u2014 27.1%
Kaytron Allen \u2014 27.1%
J\u2019Mari Taylor \u2014 24.8%
Rashul Faison \u2014 24%
Jonah Coleman (2025) \u2014 23.6%
Seth McGowan \u2014 21.1%
Noah Whittington \u2014 20.9%
Demond Claiborne \u2014 20.7%
Mike Washington Jr \u2014 20.4%
Adam Randall \u2014 19%
Jam Miller \u2014 16.9%
Roman Hemby \u2014 16.1%
Kaelon Black \u2014 16.1%
Le\u2019Veon Moss \u2014 15.6%
Nicholas Singleton \u2014 15.3%
Chip Trayanum \u2014 12.6%<\/p>\n
Again, the two names at the very top are Coleman and Price. There is also some separation here between the two and Washington Jr, who is some way down the list for forcing missed tackles (as he is for the elusiveness ratings).<\/p>\n
This very much shows up on tape.<\/p>\n
Watch this collection of clips from Jadarian Price. Notice how consistently he slips through contact and then when in space, is able to make people miss. This is particularly the case when he gets outside and is faced with one tackle to beat to reach either the corner of the end zone or to break contain to get a first down:<\/p>\n
Price will drop a shoulder, fake-out the defender and then pivot to quickly change direction to juke away from attempted tackles. This is how you make good runs great runs. This is the difference between finding a way to score and getting tackled just short. He clearly has a knack for making people miss, eluding tackles and extending runs. The data and the tape show this.<\/p>\n
It\u2019s a very similar story with Jonah Coleman\u2019s 2024 tape:<\/p>\n
You see that same ankle-breaking ability when squared up against a defender to just shimmy away from contact, make someone miss and extend runs. There are examples on tape for both Price and Coleman where defenders are diving at thin air because the running back made them miss in a 1v1 situation.<\/p>\n
When you\u2019re playing outside zone and you need your running backs to get to the perimeter, reach the second level and often make someone miss this is important.<\/p>\n
I am a fan of Mike Washington Jr. His size and speed combination is rare and he has a physical running style that can lead to some punishing finishes on tape. What he isn\u2019t doing though is make people miss. He is far more linear. He will sprint through space and an opening, get upfield but he very rarely makes a second-level defender miss:<\/p>\n
There is still a lot of value in this type of running style. Derrick Henry is a very linear runner who uses his 4.54 testing speed combined with a 250lbs frame to charge forward, gain momentum and then he\u2019s difficult to stop. Washington Jr is 27lbs lighter but significantly faster (4.33 speed) and is kind of the same type of runner \u2014 big, fast and hard-charging (although obviously not at the same level as Henry, not by a stretch).<\/p>\n
He will often make a bit of a move at the LOS to find a gap and run through it \u2014 but then when he\u2019s at the second level he\u2019s going to try and out-run you. There are some missed opportunities where doesn\u2019t see the field well enough to cut back inside and he ends up being squeezed at the sideline or tackled. He doesn\u2019t juke opponents out of their shoes like Price or Coleman.<\/p>\n
You do see though how quickly he accelerates to get to the perimeter and when he gets there, his gliding running style enables him to sprint away from defenders and explode. When he gets going he\u2019s difficult to stop. If he had Coleman and Price\u2019s make-you-miss ability, he\u2019d be a top-40 pick. It\u2019s no coincidence that 2024 Coleman (34.9%) and 2025 Price (28.3%) have far better missed tackle forced rates than Washington Jr (20.4%).<\/p>\n
What\u2019s the conclusion to draw then? I think if the Seahawks are searching for big plays in their running game to replace what they\u2019ve lost with Ken Walker, these three players are best equipped to provide it. In particular, Price and Coleman seem particularly well placed.<\/p>\n
Coleman especially, at least with his 2024 data, seems like the man for the Seahawks.<\/p>\n
I\u2019m fascinated to see where Price actually lands in the draft, given the varying ranges where he\u2019s projected. To repeat what I said a few weeks ago, I had a highly respected NFL evaluator tell me recently he thought Price was worth a high second round pick and could potentially have a better pro career than Jeremiyah Love. Others think he\u2019s more likely to go in the #50-70 range.<\/p>\n
Do they value him highly enough to take with their first pick, whether that\u2019s at #32 or after trading down?<\/p>\n
Or can they get Coleman later and actually pull off a bit of a coup here? His 2024 tape suggested second round potential. Might they be able to wait and get him at #96 at fantastic value because of a slightly disappointing injury-impacted 2025 season? His 2024 tape hints at someone more than capable of leading a NFL rushing attack. If they like him enough, is he even considered at #64?<\/p>\n
I know Coleman has existing relationships with players in Seattle\u2019s locker-room already so it\u2019d be a seamless fit for him to join the Seahawks. My guess is that he or Price will probably be drafted \u2014 unless the board goes completely against them. In that instance, perhaps they pivot to Washington Jr.<\/p>\n
I think there\u2019s a strong chance Coleman will be their guy. Their official-30 visit list is filling up with potential targets at #32. Here\u2019s the list of 18 reported or confirmed visits so far:<\/p>\n
Chris Johnson (CB, San Diego State)
Andre Fuller (CB, Toledo)
Jalen Kilgore (CB\/S) South Carolina
Daylen Everette (CB, Georgia)
Coleman Bennett (RB, Kennesaw State)
AJ Haulcy (S, LSU)
Chip Trayanum (RB, Toledo)
Zion Young (DE, Missouri)
Mike Washington Jr (RB, Arkansas)
Keyshawn James-Newby (EDGE, New Mexico)
Kayden McDonald (DT, Ohio State)
Keyron Crawford (EDGE, Auburn)
R Mason Thomas (EDGE, Oklahoma)
Brandon Cisse (CB, South Carolina)
Colton Hood (CB, Tennessee)
Malachi Lawrence (EDGE, UCF)
Cashius Howell (EDGE, Texas A&M)
Treydan Stukes (S, Arizona)<\/p>\n
It suggests a possible plan to target D-line and the secondary with their first two picks. Perhaps then the ideal scenario would be to draft Coleman? Although I think it would be foolish to rule out Price.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"We\u2019ve been digging around the analytics at running back to see if it offers any clues about what…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":575651,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[63],"tags":[349,99],"class_list":{"0":"post-575650","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nfl","8":"tag-nfl","9":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/575650","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=575650"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/575650\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/575651"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=575650"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=575650"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=575650"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}