{"id":581474,"date":"2026-04-13T11:00:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T11:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/581474\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T11:00:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T11:00:09","slug":"seven-nba-draft-decisions-for-college-stars-that-will-impact-next-seasons-title-race","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/581474\/","title":{"rendered":"Seven NBA Draft decisions for college stars that will impact next season\u2019s title race"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Dan Hurley put it best.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cUnless it absolutely makes total sense for you to go in the draft \u2014 unless you know you\u2019re going to be a lottery pick, or guaranteed to go top 15, top 18 \u2014 the biggest mistake that you can make right now as a college basketball player is going to the draft too early,\u201d UConn\u2019s head coach said last week on \u201cThe Dan Patrick Show.\u201d \u201cObviously, because of the money situation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And he\u2019s right.<\/p>\n<p>With multiple college players set to make over $3 million next season, according to industry chatter, fringe first-round NBA picks have never had more incentive to return to school. For all the hand-wringing that name, image and likeness and the transfer portal would ruin college basketball, the opposite has happened:<\/p>\n<p>Elite talent is staying in school longer and developing more than in generations past.<\/p>\n<p>Michigan\u2019s Yaxel Lendeborg and Alabama\u2019s Labaron Philon Jr. are prime examples from last offseason. Both could have been first-round picks had they declared last spring \u2026 but instead, they returned to school, unquestionably improved their stock \u2014 all while making a pretty penny for their efforts. Those success stories, coupled with larger-than-ever college paydays, mean more fringe first-rounders will seriously consider staying in school.<\/p>\n<p>So, which players have the toughest decisions to make? These seven, all of whom would have a pivotal impact in college next season if they push off the NBA Draft. Players are listed in alphabetical order, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7043867\/2026\/03\/02\/nba-mock-draft-players-dybantsa-peterson-boozer\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">their mock draft rankings<\/a> come from Sam Vecenie, The Athletic\u2019s NBA Draft expert:<\/p>\n<p>Morez Johnson Jr., F, Michigan<\/p>\n<p>2025-26 stats: 13.1 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.1 blocks per game<\/p>\n<p>The Athletic mock draft selection: 22<\/p>\n<p>With Johnson\u2019s motor, it\u2019s hard to envision him not having a wildly successful pro career. And when you combine that relentless effort with his 6-foot-9, 255-pound frame? Well, you got one of the most efficient and dominant bigs in all of college basketball. Per KenPom, Johnson was top-35 nationally in effective field goal percentage this season, making 65.8 percent of his 2s. He\u2019s an offensive rebounding machine \u2014 nine combined against Arizona and UConn in the Final Four \u2014 but also a smart cutter and roll man.<\/p>\n<p>Defensively, Johnson didn\u2019t have to be a primary shot-blocker playing alongside 7-foot-3 center Aday Mara, but he\u2019s still incredibly sound as a post defender and has the versatility to switch out onto the perimeter, too. Michigan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7184526\/2026\/04\/09\/jp-estrella-tennessee-michigan-transfer-portal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">already landed former Tennessee big J.P. Estrella<\/a>, which suggests Johnson is likely to at least test the waters \u2014 but if anyone could figure out how to play multiple bigs together, it\u2019s Dusty May.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-7187560 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/GettyImages-2270081960-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Motiejus Krivas clutches the ball in a game against Michigan.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1707\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>\n      The presence of 7-foot-2 Motiejus Krivas led opponents to shy away from some shots they might have taken against other players. (Michael Reaves \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>Motiejus Krivas, C, Arizona<\/p>\n<p>2025-26 stats: 10.4 points, 8.2 rebounds, 1.9 blocks per game<\/p>\n<p>The Athletic mock draft selection: 28<\/p>\n<p>Because of the terrific teammates he played next to \u2014 namely Brayden Burries, Jaden Bradley and Koa Peat \u2014 the 7-foot-2 Krivas probably didn\u2019t get the yearlong credit he deserved for Arizona\u2019s Final Four run. But the Lithuanian big man was the centerpiece of a defense that ranked top-five nationally all season and was arguably the most important frontcourt player for Tommy Lloyd.<\/p>\n<p>Per CBB Analytics, opponents made just 36.7 percent of their shots when Krivas was on the floor, 7.6 percentage points lower than when he sat. That\u2019s because, in addition to his top-60 block rate nationally, Krivas\u2019 sheer size disincentivized opponents from even attempting weak shots in the lane. Offensively, Krivas was a menace in the post and scored 2.8 second-chance points per game because of his offensive rebounding prowess. Alas, he doesn\u2019t offer much floor-spacing potential and is fairly beholden to drop coverage defensively. Krivas would probably be best served returning to school, where he\u2019d help set what should be a lucrative center market.<\/p>\n<p>  Aday Mara, C, Michigan<\/p>\n<p>2025-26 stats: 12.1 points, 6.8 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 2.6 blocks per game<\/p>\n<p>The Athletic mock draft selection: 27<\/p>\n<p>Mara is a true coin flip on this list: someone whose stock surged during Michigan\u2019s run to the national title \u2026 but who genuinely enjoys being in college and would be extremely well compensated to come back. Frankly, while Mara is one of a number of centers listed here, he\u2019s something of a one-of-one talent with his size, shot-blocking ability and passing acumen. Other bigs included here have similar profiles, but none quite max them out like Mara.<\/p>\n<p>First, at 7-foot-3, Mara was truly one of the best shot blockers I can ever remember seeing in college basketball. He finished sixth in block rate, per KenPom, with 14 swats in Michigan\u2019s six NCAA Tournament wins \u2014 but that doesn\u2019t fully capture how much of a lid he single-handedly puts around the rim; he forced UConn center Tarris Reed Jr. into a 4-for-12 shooting night in the national title game, committing only one foul in 31 minutes. But he\u2019s also a sensational passer, as evidenced by his 15 assists in the Wolverines\u2019 first three postseason games. He throws outlets with the best of them, easily passes out of double-teams and sees angles that others can\u2019t because of his size. He can help an NBA team tomorrow, but would he prefer to run it back and chase a second straight championship?<\/p>\n<p>Braylon Mullins, W, UConn<\/p>\n<p>2025-26 stats: 12 points, 3.5 rebounds per game, 33.5 3-point percentage<\/p>\n<p>The Athletic mock draft selection: 18<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s impossible not to view Hurley\u2019s comments on \u201cThe Dan Patrick Show\u201d through the lens of Mullins, a Class of 2025 top-25 recruit and potential lottery pick. At 6-foot-6, Mullins has great size for a future NBA shooting guard, with a lightning-quick release he showed off in UConn\u2019s Final Four win over Illinois, in which he made 4 of 7 3s. Mullins also didn\u2019t hurt his stock with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7156682\/2026\/03\/30\/braylon-mullins-shot-best-ever-march-madness-ncaa-tournament\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">\u201cMullins Miracle,\u201d<\/a> a 37-footer with 0.4 seconds left in the Elite Eight that completed the Huskies\u2019 19-point comeback against Duke. He fits a clear NBA archetype as a high-IQ movement shooter, and there\u2019s no question he\u2019d go in the first round.<\/p>\n<p>Mullins\u2019 injury-riddled start to his freshman season, however, meant his overall percentages weren\u2019t quite as sterling as you might expect for a slam-dunk lottery-pick shooter. He could also build out his skinnier frame to help him be more effective on defense and finishing through contact. If he returns, he\u2019d be one of the featured weapons on a preseason top-five team \u2026 and have a chance to get back to the Final Four.<\/p>\n<p>Patrick Ngongba II, C, Duke<\/p>\n<p>2025-26 stats: 10.1 points, 5.8 rebounds, 2 assists, 1.1 blocks per game<\/p>\n<p>The Athletic mock draft selection: 20<\/p>\n<p>Ngongba\u2019s situation is a bit different from the others on this list because of the injury component. The 6-foot-11 big man suffered a stress fracture in his right foot late in the season, causing him to miss five games and play limited minutes once he returned in the NCAA Tournament.<\/p>\n<p>Ngongba, unfortunately, has a history of injuries, too, missing most of his senior year of high school with a right foot injury and sustaining a left foot injury during the 2025 summer. There\u2019s still a month until the NBA Draft Combine, but if Ngongba isn\u2019t able to work out there \u2014 or be fully himself \u2014 it could very well influence his draft decision.<\/p>\n<p>When healthy, though, Ngongba was one of the breakout sophomores in the sport this season, anchoring Duke\u2019s top-five defense and serving as a high-post offensive initiator. Opponents scored 8.4 fewer points per 100 possessions when Ngongba was on the floor, per CBB Analytics, in large part because of his growth as a shot blocker. But Ngongba is arguably more intriguing on the offensive end, where Duke used him as a high-post passer to unlock its five-out offense. If he returns, he\u2019d give Jon Scheyer a go-to interior scorer for next season \u2026 and if he doesn\u2019t, it would force the Blue Devils to go hard after a top transfer, like Kansas\u2019 Flory Bidunga.<\/p>\n<p>Tyler Tanner, PG, Vanderbilt<\/p>\n<p>2025-26 stats: 19.5 points, 5.1 assists, 3.6 rebounds, 2.4 steals per game, 36.8 3-point percentage<\/p>\n<p>The Athletic mock draft selection: 29<\/p>\n<p>Tanner, a former zero-star recruit, has evolved into one of the most electric two-way guards in college basketball, as capable of dominating games with his passing and scoring as with his handsy, pickpocket defense. With injuries to fellow backcourtmates Duke Miles and Frankie Collins, Tanner often had to carry the load for Vanderbilt this season, and did so admirably. He was the engine of the Commodores\u2019 top-10 offense, and one of only four high-major players to average at least 19 points and five assists per game for the season.<\/p>\n<p>Defensively, Tanner\u2019s timing is excellent, as he finished top-35 nationally in steal percentage, per KenPom. However, Tanner\u2019s physical size at just 6-feet and 170 pounds makes him small by NBA standards, which complicates the evaluation. He\u2019d be a surefire first-rounder if he were 3 or 4 inches taller \u2014 but it may be best to return to school, where he\u2019d be a likely preseason All-American.<\/p>\n<p>Henri Veesaar, C, North Carolina<\/p>\n<p>2025-26 stats: 17 points, 8.7 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 1.2 blocks per game, 42.6 3-point percentage<\/p>\n<p>The Athletic mock draft selection: 32<\/p>\n<p>Like Mara and Ngongba, Veesaar is another shot blocker with serious passing chops \u2014 but the 7-foot Estonian is also a legitimate 3-point shooter, hitting over 40 percent from deep on three attempts per game. As a trailer in transition or pick-and-pop threat, it\u2019s easy to see that aspect of Veesaar\u2019s game translating to the next level, more so than any other big listed here.<\/p>\n<p>But Veesaar is also a proficient interior scorer, making 67.7 percent of his 2s and ranking top-25 nationally in effective field goal percentage, per KenPom. He\u2019s fairly well-rounded across the board, too, scoring off cuts, offensive rebounds and as a roll man. Now the question is, does he risk sneaking into the back end of the first round \u2014 or return as the centerpiece of new coach Michael Malone\u2019s first UNC team? North Carolina will certainly make it worth his while to stay, as centers are expected to be the most sought-after position group on the market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Dan Hurley put it best. \u201cUnless it absolutely makes total sense for you to go in the draft&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":581475,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[64],"tags":[68036,8922,2663,1777,355,7027,99,17358],"class_list":{"0":"post-581474","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nba","8":"tag-arizona-wildcats","9":"tag-connecticut-huskies","10":"tag-mens-college-basketball","11":"tag-michigan-wolverines","12":"tag-nba","13":"tag-north-carolina-tar-heels","14":"tag-sports","15":"tag-vanderbilt-commodores"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/581474","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=581474"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/581474\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/581475"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=581474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=581474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=581474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}