Today\u2019s notice: Uncertainty is back. Trump\u2019s tax message is getting drowned out. Can you make ChatGPT say nice things about your candidate? Plus: Hope for health care reform springs eternal.<\/p>\n
THE LATEST<\/p>\n
D\u00e9j\u00e0 vu all over again. Last night, stock market futures dropped and oil prices rose as tensions around the Strait of Hormuz threw the global economy into uncertainty. Donald Trump threatened to attack civilian infrastructure in Iran if the regime doesn\u2019t back down, and Tehran rebuffed the threat. Shots were fired by the Iranians against Western-allied ships, and by American forces against an Iranian ship, which was also seized.<\/p>\n
In other words, there is not much tangible difference between today and two Mondays ago, when the world was waiting to see whether Trump would make good on his \u201ca whole civilization will die\u201d threat.<\/p>\n
\u201cWe\u2019re offering a very fair and reasonable DEAL, and I hope they take it because, if they don\u2019t, the United States is going to knock out every single Power Plant, and every single Bridge, in Iran. NO MORE MR. NICE GUY!\u201d the president posted<\/a> Sunday morning.<\/p>\n The American public does not appear to be supportive of the war. Yes, you\u2019ve read that before and it remains true. A poll from Politico<\/a> released Saturday became the latest survey to show the conflict is still unpopular<\/a>.<\/p>\n What comes next: Trump is urging new talks in Pakistan. Iran is saying no publicly. And time is running out \u2014 the two-week ceasefire agreement is set to expire Wednesday. But as of early Sunday afternoon, a White House official told NOTUS the plan was still for special envoy Steve Witkoff and volunteer\/the president\u2019s son-in-law Jared Kushner to go to Islamabad this week, along with Vice President JD Vance.<\/p>\n Open tabs: The Inside Story of Five Days That Remade the Supreme Court<\/a> (NYT); The FBI Director Is MIA<\/a> (The Atlantic); Trump-branded AI data center megaproject stalls, CEO departs<\/a> (Axios); House Oversight Committee to investigate missing, dead scientists<\/a> (The Hill)<\/p>\n From the Hill<\/p>\n Trump vs. taxes. Senate Republicans have one big problem on their hands this tax season: their inability to streamline messaging and sell popular components of their so-called \u201cone big, beautiful bill\u201d while the attention-grabbing war in Iran drags on, NOTUS\u2019 Al Weaver reports<\/a>.<\/p>\n \u201cIt\u2019s something that we want to be focused on. Unfortunately \u2026 world events have kind of taken over,\u201d Sen. Mike Rounds told Al.<\/p>\n Making matters worse, some Republicans say, is the president \u2014 who has resisted his party\u2019s appeals to take a more focused role in selling the bill, which has been rebranded as the \u201cWorking Families Tax Cut Act.\u201d<\/p>\n \u201cIt\u2019s very concerning,\u201d one Senate Republican told NOTUS, noting that Trump also continues to refer to it as the \u201cone big, beautiful bill\u201d rather than the new title that members have grown accustomed to using.<\/p>\n \u201cMy God, look at the polling numbers,\u201d the senator continued, pointing out that the slogan geared toward working-class families is polling much higher. \u201cWe have got to be pitch perfect to protect our incumbents, and we\u2019re not even singing in the same tongue right now, let alone having people singing from the same hymn books.\u201d<\/p>\n From the campaign trail<\/p>\n Chatbot conundrums. Political operatives know some Americans will turn to Claude or ChatGPT to answer the most important question in November: Who should I vote for? But due to the inscrutable nature of large language models and the difficulty of influencing their answers, many political operatives have simply opted to ignore the technology, NOTUS\u2019 Alex Roarty reports<\/a>.<\/p>\n \u201cNobody has written that playbook yet on the LLM stuff,\u201d said Pat Dennis, the president of the liberal outside group American Bridge 21st Century. \u201cSo a lot of people just aren\u2019t doing it.\u201d<\/p>\n Bridge is one of the few groups that has said publicly it is seeking to influence answers for people who ask LLMs about politics. But its effort is, for now, an isolated one, according to interviews with more than a dozen political strategists, Alex reports.<\/p>\n \u201cTo me, it just feels like a giant space race, one in which the first rocket hasn\u2019t been launched yet,\u201d said one national Republican operative.<\/p>\n From DHS<\/p>\n DACA delays stretch on. U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services reported that as of February, its median processing time to renew DACA protections for eligible applicants is 2.3 months \u2014 the longest since 2016, though the agency contends that it completes 80% of its cases in 3.5 months and recommends that recipients submit their renewal paperwork five months in advance of their expiration.<\/p>\n NOTUS\u2019 Jackie Llanos goes deep<\/a> on what the delays have meant for people who have counted on DACA, including lost jobs and financial struggles. <\/p>\n NEW ON NOTUS<\/p>\n Hope for health care reform springs eternal. Legislation to address drug prices and the cost of medical insurance is at a standstill in Washington \u2014 but the issue is still an animating force on Democratic campaigns, NOTUS\u2019 Avani Kalra reports<\/a>. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, one of the key negotiators who pushed unsuccessfully to extend expiring Affordable Care Act subsidies, told Avani that Democrats plan to bring up the issue at a Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee hearing with Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. this week.<\/p>\n She also said that Republicans\u2019 plan to push another reconciliation bill could present an opening to inject some energy into the health care debate and force a vote on the issue.<\/p>\n \u201cThat will be an opportunity,\u201d Shaheen told NOTUS. \u201cI haven\u2019t talked to leadership, but I think that\u2019s something we should do.\u201d<\/p>\n NOT USWEEK AHEAD<\/p>\n This week<\/p>\n Cabinet secretaries expected regularly on the Hill as committees in both chambers take up annual budget requests.<\/p>\n Today<\/p>\n Lobbying Disclosure Act Q1 filing deadline.<\/p>\n Tuesday<\/p>\n Election Day for the Virginia redistricting referendum<\/a>.<\/p>\n The Senate banking committee is set to hold its confirmation hearing<\/a> for Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh.<\/p>\n Wednesday<\/p>\n Energy Secretary Chris Wright, Interior Secretary Doug Burgum, Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are all currently scheduled<\/a> to appear at Senate Appropriations subcommittee hearings.<\/p>\n Thursday<\/p>\n U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer is set to appear at a Senate Finance Committee hearing<\/a> on Trump\u2019s trade agenda.<\/p>\n Saturday <\/p>\n Trump is scheduled to speak<\/a> at the White House Correspondents Dinner.<\/p>\n Thank you for reading! If you liked this edition of the NOTUS newsletter, please forward it to a friend. If this newsletter was shared with you, please subscribe<\/a> \u2014 it\u2019s free! Have a tip? Email us at tips@notus.com<\/a>. And as always, we\u2019d love to hear your thoughts at newsletters@notus.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Today\u2019s notice: Uncertainty is back. Trump\u2019s tax message is getting drowned out. 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