{"id":599757,"date":"2026-04-22T14:59:25","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T14:59:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/599757\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T14:59:25","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T14:59:25","slug":"mlb-betting-tips-for-wednesday-will-padres-bats-wake-up-at-coors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/599757\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB betting tips for Wednesday: Will Padres bats wake up at Coors?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

Derek CartyApr 22, 2026, 07:58 AM ET<\/p>\n

Close<\/a>Derek Carty is a contributing writer for fantasy baseball at ESPN. Derek is a four-time LABR and one-time Tout Wars champion.<\/p>\n

Multiple Authors<\/p>\n

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I’ve created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.<\/p>\n

Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice<\/a> | WS odds<\/a> | Fantasy Buzz<\/a><\/p>\n

Wednesday’s top batter prop bets<\/p>\n

Brenton Doyle<\/a> | OVER 0.5 HR (+810)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.22 EV<\/p>\n

Fernando Tatis Jr<\/a>. | OVER 0.5 HR (+417)
Projection: 23% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.12 EV<\/p>\n

Matt Chapman<\/a> | OVER 0.5 RBI (+278)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.73 EV<\/p>\n

Shea Langeliers<\/a> | OVER 0.5 RBI (+217)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.93 EV<\/p>\n

Gary Sanchez<\/a> | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+118)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.13 EV<\/p>\n

Wednesday’s top pitcher prop bets<\/p>\n

Shohei Ohtani<\/a> | UNDER 6.5 K (+101)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.26 EV<\/p>\n

Tomoyuki Sugano<\/a> | UNDER 3.5 K (-154)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.86 EV<\/p>\n

Braxton Ashcraft<\/a> | UNDER 5.5 K (-117)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.63 EV<\/p>\n

Peter Lambert<\/a> | UNDER 4.5 K (-164)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.83 EV<\/p>\n

Janson Junk<\/a> | UNDER 2.5 ER (-120)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.59 EV<\/p>\n

THE BAT X: Team Projections<\/p>\n

PITCHER<\/p>\n

MONEY
LINE<\/p>\n

PROJ.
WIN%<\/p>\n

VALUE %<\/p>\n

RUN
LINE<\/p>\n

OV<\/p>\n

VALUE %<\/p>\n

GAME
TOTAL<\/p>\n

O\/U<\/p>\n

xRUNS<\/p>\n

VALUE %<\/p>\n

Kyle Leahy<\/p>\n

+113<\/p>\n

44.3<\/p>\n

-5.75<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

-137<\/p>\n

-6.58<\/p>\n

8.5<\/p>\n

O -115<\/p>\n

8.72<\/p>\n

-13.16<\/p>\n

Janson Junk<\/p>\n

-136<\/p>\n

55.7<\/p>\n

-3.26<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

+105<\/p>\n

-5.70<\/p>\n

U -105<\/p>\n

4.55<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Peter Lambert<\/p>\n

+119<\/p>\n

49.3<\/p>\n

8.60<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

-131<\/p>\n

6.40<\/p>\n

8.0<\/p>\n

O -108<\/p>\n

8.34<\/p>\n

-8.36<\/p>\n

Tanner Bibee<\/p>\n

-143<\/p>\n

50.7<\/p>\n

-14.34<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

+101<\/p>\n

-20.28<\/p>\n

U -112<\/p>\n

-0.78<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Brandon Williamson<\/p>\n

+113<\/p>\n

50.0<\/p>\n

7.42<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

-135<\/p>\n

6.36<\/p>\n

8.0<\/p>\n

O -118<\/p>\n

8.53<\/p>\n

-9.16<\/p>\n

Nick Martinez<\/p>\n

-136<\/p>\n

50.0<\/p>\n

-13.98<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

+104<\/p>\n

-20.64<\/p>\n

U -102<\/p>\n

0.66<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Chris Bassitt<\/p>\n

+113<\/p>\n

48.2<\/p>\n

2.13<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

-135<\/p>\n

-1.04<\/p>\n

9.0<\/p>\n

O -115<\/p>\n

10.26<\/p>\n

1.46<\/p>\n

Michael Wacha<\/p>\n

-136<\/p>\n

51.8<\/p>\n

-9.68<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

+104<\/p>\n

-11.97<\/p>\n

U -105<\/p>\n

-10.72<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Eric Lauer<\/p>\n

+135<\/p>\n

35.6<\/p>\n

-17.21<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

-111<\/p>\n

-16.59<\/p>\n

8.0<\/p>\n

O -118<\/p>\n

7.96<\/p>\n

-17.60<\/p>\n

Jose Soriano<\/p>\n

-163<\/p>\n

64.4<\/p>\n

4.51<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

-117<\/p>\n

4.09<\/p>\n

U -102<\/p>\n

9.71<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Aaron Civale<\/p>\n

+159<\/p>\n

38.2<\/p>\n

-2.36<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

+108<\/p>\n

-3.63<\/p>\n

7.5<\/p>\n

O -110<\/p>\n

8.61<\/p>\n

3.38<\/p>\n

Logan Gilbert<\/p>\n

-193<\/p>\n

61.8<\/p>\n

-5.42<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

-140<\/p>\n

-7.99<\/p>\n

U -110<\/p>\n

-12.47<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Chad Patrick<\/p>\n

+113<\/p>\n

43.8<\/p>\n

-7.07<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

-140<\/p>\n

-9.19<\/p>\n

8.0<\/p>\n

O -102<\/p>\n

9.05<\/p>\n

6.76<\/p>\n

Casey Mize<\/p>\n

-136<\/p>\n

56.2<\/p>\n

-2.18<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

+108<\/p>\n

-2.18<\/p>\n

U -118<\/p>\n

-14.85<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Martin Perez<\/p>\n

-149<\/p>\n

60.5<\/p>\n

2.09<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

-120<\/p>\n

1.40<\/p>\n

9.0<\/p>\n

O -108<\/p>\n

9.56<\/p>\n

-8.02<\/p>\n

Zack Littell<\/p>\n

+123<\/p>\n

39.5<\/p>\n

-13.23<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

-108<\/p>\n

-13.93<\/p>\n

U -112<\/p>\n

-1.12<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Max Fried<\/p>\n

-143<\/p>\n

55.7<\/p>\n

-4.07<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

-112<\/p>\n

-6.63<\/p>\n

8.0<\/p>\n

O -106<\/p>\n

7.92<\/p>\n

-14.70<\/p>\n

Ranger Suarez<\/p>\n

+119<\/p>\n

44.3<\/p>\n

-4.63<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

-116<\/p>\n

-5.65<\/p>\n

U -123<\/p>\n

1.73<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Connor Prielipp<\/p>\n

+135<\/p>\n

41.5<\/p>\n

-2.71<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

-114<\/p>\n

-4.09<\/p>\n

8.0<\/p>\n

O -112<\/p>\n

8.25<\/p>\n

-11.17<\/p>\n

Clay Holmes<\/p>\n

-163<\/p>\n

58.5<\/p>\n

-5.45<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

-114<\/p>\n

-8.19<\/p>\n

U -108<\/p>\n

2.21<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Taijuan Walker<\/p>\n

+144<\/p>\n

38.2<\/p>\n

-7.87<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

-104<\/p>\n

-8.59<\/p>\n

8.5<\/p>\n

O -110<\/p>\n

8.39<\/p>\n

-16.23<\/p>\n

Matthew Boyd<\/p>\n

-175<\/p>\n

61.8<\/p>\n

-2.19<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

-125<\/p>\n

-3.88<\/p>\n

U -110<\/p>\n

7.14<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Braxton Ashcraft<\/p>\n

-110<\/p>\n

51.4<\/p>\n

-1.30<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

+113<\/p>\n

-4.19<\/p>\n

8.0<\/p>\n

O -115<\/p>\n

9.01<\/p>\n

-0.26<\/p>\n

Jack Leiter<\/p>\n

-110<\/p>\n

48.6<\/p>\n

-7.79<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

-148<\/p>\n

-7.80<\/p>\n

U -105<\/p>\n

-8.92<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Walker Buehler<\/p>\n

-163<\/p>\n

65.9<\/p>\n

5.85<\/p>\n

-1.5<\/p>\n

-108<\/p>\n

8.99<\/p>\n

12.0<\/p>\n

O -108<\/p>\n

13.84<\/p>\n

9.32<\/p>\n

Tomoyuki Sugano<\/p>\n

+135<\/p>\n

34.1<\/p>\n

-19.16<\/p>\n

+1.5<\/p>\n

-112<\/p>\n

-17.83<\/p>\n

U -112<\/p>\n

-18.15<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Anthony Kay<\/p>\n

+129<\/p>\n

45.2<\/p>\n

2.80<\/p>\n

+1.0<\/p>\n

-114<\/p>\n

0.94<\/p>\n

9.5<\/p>\n

O -102<\/p>\n

9.80<\/p>\n

-11.02<\/p>\n

Eduardo Rodriguez<\/p>\n

-156<\/p>\n

54.8<\/p>\n

-9.56<\/p>\n

-1.0<\/p>\n

-114<\/p>\n

-13.22<\/p>\n

U -127<\/p>\n

-1.57<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Shohei Ohtani<\/p>\n

-207<\/p>\n

63.7<\/p>\n

-4.28<\/p>\n

-1.5<\/p>\n

-122<\/p>\n

-5.40<\/p>\n

7.5<\/p>\n

O -115<\/p>\n

8.75<\/p>\n

3.31<\/p>\n

Tyler Mahle<\/p>\n

+169<\/p>\n

36.3<\/p>\n

-4.61<\/p>\n

+1.5<\/p>\n

+102<\/p>\n

-3.02<\/p>\n

U -105<\/p>\n

-12.65<\/p>\n

Top betting trends<\/p>\n

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today’s action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last season’s play.<\/p>\n

Athletics<\/a> Moneyline:
The Athletics have won seven consecutive road games. (+9.95 Units \/ 142% ROI). Current odds: +159<\/p>\n

New York Mets<\/a> Team Total UNDER:
The Mets have gone under the team total in eight straight games. (+8.55 Units \/ 97% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -135<\/p>\n

Boston Red Sox<\/a> 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
Boston has gone under for this bet five consecutive times at home. (+5.30 Units \/ 79% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -120<\/p>\n

Chicago White Sox<\/a> Run Line:
The White Sox have won this bet in five straight road games. (+5.00 Units \/ 68% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -114<\/p>\n

Colorado Rockies<\/a> Run Line:
The Rockies have won this bet eight time in their last 10 home games. (+7.15 Units \/ 65% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -112<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Derek CartyApr 22, 2026, 07:58 AM ET CloseDerek Carty is a contributing writer for fantasy baseball at ESPN.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":599758,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[65],"tags":[363,99],"class_list":["post-599757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/599757","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=599757"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/599757\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/599758"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=599757"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=599757"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=599757"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}