{"id":600820,"date":"2026-04-23T03:10:17","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T03:10:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/600820\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T03:10:17","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T03:10:17","slug":"hybrid-calculation-of-hadronic-vacuum-polarization-in-muon-g-%e2%88%92-2-to-0-48","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/600820\/","title":{"rendered":"Hybrid calculation of hadronic vacuum polarization in muon g \u2212 2 to 0.48%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The muon is a short-lived elementary particle with spin 1\/2 and a mass 207\u2009times larger than that of the electron. Both particles create a magnetic field around them, characterized by a magnetic dipole moment. This moment is proportional to the spin and charge of the particle and inversely proportional to twice its mass. Dirac\u2019s relativistic quantum mechanics predicts that the constant of proportionality, g\u03bc, known as the Land\u00e9 factor, is precisely 2. Relativistic quantum field theory introduces further small corrections induced not only by all particles and interactions of the standard model but also potentially by yet undiscovered ones. Because muons are more massive than electrons, quantum corrections associated with heavy particles are generically much larger for the former than for the latter<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 5\" title=\"Jegerlehner, F. &amp; Nyffeler, A. The Muon g &#x2212; 2. Phys. Rep. 477, 1&#x2013;110 (2009).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR5\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e1019\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">5<\/a>. This increased sensitivity to the effects of possible unknown particles is the reason for the present focus on the muon. The corrections to g\u03bc are commonly called the anomalous magnetic moment and are quantified as a\u03bc\u2009=\u2009(g\u03bc\u2009\u2212\u20092)\/2.<\/p>\n<p>When calculating a\u03bc, the uncertainty comes almost exclusively from the strong interaction, described in the standard model by QCD. In particular, the dominant source of uncertainty comes from hadronic vacuum polarization (HVP) at leading order in the fine-structure constant (LO-HVP). More generally, HVP induces a modification in the propagation of a virtual photon in the vacuum, caused by the strong interaction.<\/p>\n<p>Here we present a calculation of this LO-HVP contribution to a\u03bc (\\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\)) with unprecedented accuracy. To that end, we apply numerical lattice quantum field theory techniques that allow QCD predictions to be made in the highly nonlinear regime that is relevant here. Mathematically, QCD is a generalized version of quantum electrodynamics (QED). However, QCD predicts physical phenomena that are very different from those described by QED. The Euclidean Lagrangian for a quark of mass m and charge q (in units of the positron charge, e), subject to strong and electromagnetic interactions, can be written as \\({\\mathcal{L}}=1\/(4{e}^{2}){F}_{\\mu \\nu }{F}_{\\mu \\nu }+1\/(2{g}^{2}){\\rm{Tr}}{G}_{\\mu \\nu }{G}_{\\mu \\nu }+\\bar{\\psi }[{\\gamma }_{\\mu }({\\partial }_{\\mu }+{\\rm{i}}q{A}_{\\mu }+{\\rm{i}}{G}_{\\mu })+m]\\psi \\), in which F\u03bc\u03bd\u2009=\u2009\u2202\u03bcA\u03bd\u2009\u2212\u2009\u2202\u03bdA\u03bc, G\u03bc\u03bd\u2009=\u2009\u2202\u03bcG\u03bd\u2009\u2212\u2009\u2202\u03bdG\u03bc\u2009+\u2009i[G\u03bc,\u2009G\u03bd] and g is the QCD coupling constant. The fermionic quark fields \u03c8 have an extra \u2018colour\u2019 index in QCD, which runs from 1 to 3. Different \u2018flavours\u2019 of quarks are represented by independent fermionic fields, with different masses and charges. In QED, the gauge potential A\u03bc is a real-valued field, whereas in QCD, G\u03bc is a 3\u2009\u00d7\u20093 traceless Hermitian matrix field acting in \u2018colour\u2019 space. In the present work, we include both QCD and QED as well as four nondegenerate quark flavours (up, down, strange and charm) in a fully dynamical, staggered-fermion formulation. We also consider the tiny contribution of the bottom quark. Its error is subdominant and we repeat the treatment of our earlier analysis<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e1468\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>To calculate the LO-HVP contribution to a\u03bc, we start with the zero-three-momentum, two-point function of the quark electromagnetic current in Euclidean time t (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 6\" title=\"Bernecker, D. &amp; Meyer, H. B. Vector correlators in lattice QCD: methods and applications. Eur. Phys. J. A 47, 148 (2011).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR6\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e1482\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">6<\/a>). In this so-called time-momentum representation, it is given by <\/p>\n<p>$$G(t)=-\\frac{1}{3{e}^{2}}\\sum _{\\mu =1,2,3}\\int {{\\rm{d}}}^{3}x\\langle \\,{J}_{\\mu }(\\overrightarrow{x},t){J}_{\\mu }(0)\\rangle ,$$<\/p>\n<p>\n                    (1)\n                <\/p>\n<p>in which J\u03bc is the quark electromagnetic current with \\({J}_{\\mu }\/e\\,=\\) \\(\\frac{2}{3}\\bar{{\\rm{u}}}{\\gamma }_{\\mu }{\\rm{u}}-\\frac{1}{3}\\bar{{\\rm{d}}}{\\gamma }_{\\mu }{\\rm{d}}-\\frac{1}{3}\\bar{{\\rm{s}}}{\\gamma }_{\\mu }{\\rm{s}}+\\frac{2}{3}\\bar{{\\rm{c}}}{\\gamma }_{\\mu }{\\rm{c}}\\). u, d, s and c are the up, down, strange and charm quark fields, respectively. The angle brackets stand for the QCD\u2009+\u2009QED expectation value to order e2. It is convenient to decompose G(t) into light (u and d), strange, charm and disconnected components, which have very different statistical and systematic uncertainties. Performing a weighted integral of the one-photon-irreducible part, G1\u03b3I(t), of G(t) from t\u2009=\u20090 to infinity yields the LO-HVP contribution to a\u03bc (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 6\" title=\"Bernecker, D. &amp; Meyer, H. B. Vector correlators in lattice QCD: methods and applications. Eur. Phys. J. A 47, 148 (2011).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR6\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e1941\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">6<\/a>). The weight is a known kinematic function, K(tm\u03bc) (refs.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Bernecker, D. &amp; Meyer, H. B. Vector correlators in lattice QCD: methods and applications. Eur. Phys. J. A 47, 148 (2011).\" href=\"#ref-CR6\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e1955\">6<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Lautrup, B. E., Peterman, A. &amp; de Rafael, E. Recent developments in the comparison between theory and experiments in quantum electrodynamics. Phys. Rep. 3, 193&#x2013;259 (1972).\" href=\"#ref-CR7\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e1955_1\">7<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"de Rafael, E. Hadronic contributions to the muon g &#x2212; 2 and low-energy QCD. Phys. Lett. B 322, 239&#x2013;246 (1994).\" href=\"#ref-CR8\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e1955_2\">8<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 9\" title=\"Blum, T. Lattice calculation of the lowest order hadronic contribution to the muon anomalous magnetic moment. Phys. Rev. Lett. 91, 052001 (2003).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR9\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e1958\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">9<\/a>). Thus: <\/p>\n<p>$${a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}={\\alpha }^{2}{\\int }_{0}^{\\infty }{\\rm{d}}tK(t{m}_{\\mu }){G}_{1\\gamma {\\rm{I}}}(t),$$<\/p>\n<p>\n                    (2)\n                <\/p>\n<p>in which \u03b1 is the fine-structure constant at vanishing recoil and m\u03bc is the mass of the muon.<\/p>\n<p>Reducing the uncertainty in the calculation of \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) to below half a percent is a notable challenge. In particular, several contributions to this uncertainty must be controlled. They are: (1) statistical uncertainties; (2) those associated with the finite spatial size L and time T of the lattice; (3) with the extrapolation to the continuum limit; (4) with fixing the five parameters of four-flavour QCD; (5) with isospin symmetry breaking. The progress made in our successive lattice calculations of \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) is illustrated in Fig.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"figure anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#Fig1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>, in which those contributions to the uncertainty are shown. In the present work, we focus on reducing the two largest ones in our 2020 calculation, which are (3) and (2). We discuss all of these contributions ((1)\u2013(5)) in detail now.<\/p>\n<p>Fig. 1: Main uncertainties and their reduction in our successive lattice calculations of \\({{\\boldsymbol{a}}}_{{\\boldsymbol{\\mu }}}^{{\\bf{LO-HVP}}}\\).<img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"figure-1-desc ai-alt-disclaimer-figure-1-1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/41586_2026_10449_Fig1_HTML.png\" alt=\"Fig. 1: Main uncertainties and their reduction in our successive lattice calculations of &#10;                    $${{\\boldsymbol{a}}}_{{\\boldsymbol{\\mu }}}^{{\\bf{LO-HVP}}}$$&#10;                    &#10;                      &#10;                        &#10;                          a&#10;                        &#10;                        &#10;                          &#10;                            &#x3BC;&#10;                          &#10;                        &#10;                        &#10;                          LO-HVP&#10;                        &#10;                      &#10;                    &#10;                  .\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"685\" height=\"477\"\/>The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.<\/p>\n<p>Their sources are labelled (1)\u2013(5) in the text and are given a short descriptive title below the bars in the plot. Their approximate size relative to the total LO-HVP contribution obtained in the present work is also shown. The blue bars on the left of each group correspond to our 2017 result<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 24\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Hadronic vacuum polarization contribution to the anomalous magnetic moments of leptons from first principles. Phys. Rev. Lett. 121, 022002 (2018).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR24\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2242\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">24<\/a>, the pink bars to our 2020 findings<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2246\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a> and the orange bars to the work presented here. The isospin-breaking uncertainty (5) in this work is slightly larger than in 2020 owing to changes in the way we set the physical scale. We moved from using the \u03a9\u2212 baryon to the pion decay rate, which reduced other uncertainties but increased the isospin-breaking uncertainty. Note: the statistical error (1) refers to that of the isospin-symmetric contribution in finite volume. The finite-size (2) and isospin-breaking (5) errors also contain statistical components of 0.08% and 0.16%, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>(1) Statistical uncertainties in the light-quark-connected and disconnected contributions to the correlation function of equation\u2009(<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"equation anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#Equ1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>), associated with the stochastic evaluation of the QCD and QED path integrals, increase exponentially at large Euclidean times t. As well as the many improvements made in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2269\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>, to reduce those uncertainties further, we use mock analyses to determine which ensembles required more statistics. In particular, we increase the statistics on the lattices that have the smallest lattice spacings and are critical for controlling the necessary continuum extrapolations. Moreover, to control the statistical uncertainties at large t, we replace the lattice calculation of the contribution to \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) from G(t) above t\u2009\u2265\u20092.8\u2009fm by a state-of-the-art, data-driven determination, by means of the HVPTools set-up<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Malaescu, B., Yuan, C. Z. &amp; Zhang, Z. Reevaluation of the hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic anomaly using new e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212; cross section data from BABAR. Eur. Phys. J. C 66, 1&#x2013;9 (2010).\" href=\"#ref-CR10\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2317\">10<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Malaescu, B. &amp; Zhang, Z. Reevaluation of the hadronic contributions to the muon g &#x2212; 2 and to &#10;                $$\\alpha ({M}_{Z}^{2})$$&#10;                &#10;                  &#x3B1;&#10;                  (&#10;                  &#10;                    &#10;                      M&#10;                    &#10;                    &#10;                      Z&#10;                    &#10;                    &#10;                      2&#10;                    &#10;                  &#10;                  )&#10;                &#10;              . Eur. Phys. J. C 71, 1515 (2011).\" href=\"#ref-CR11\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2317_1\">11<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Malaescu, B. &amp; Zhang, Z. Reevaluation of the hadronic vacuum polarisation contributions to the Standard Model predictions of the muon g &#x2212; 2 and &#10;                $$\\alpha ({M}_{Z}^{2})$$&#10;                &#10;                  &#x3B1;&#10;                  &#10;                    (&#10;                    &#10;                      &#10;                        &#10;                          M&#10;                        &#10;                        &#10;                          Z&#10;                        &#10;                        &#10;                          2&#10;                        &#10;                      &#10;                    &#10;                    )&#10;                  &#10;                &#10;               using newest hadronic cross-section data. Eur. Phys. J. C 77, 827 (2017).\" href=\"#ref-CR12\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2317_2\">12<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 13\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Malaescu, B. &amp; Zhang, Z. A new evaluation of the hadronic vacuum polarisation contributions to the muon anomalous magnetic moment and to &#010;                $$\\alpha ({M}_{Z}^{2})$$&#010;                &#010;                  &#x3B1;&#010;                  (&#010;                  &#010;                    &#010;                      M&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      Z&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      2&#010;                    &#010;                  &#010;                  )&#010;                &#010;              . Eur. Phys. J. C 80, 241 (2020).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR13\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2320\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">13<\/a>. (Such a combination was originally proposed in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 14\" title=\"Blum, T. et al. Calculation of the hadronic vacuum polarization contribution to the muon anomalous magnetic moment. Phys. Rev. Lett. 121, 022003 (2018).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR14\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2324\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">14<\/a>. There, however, lattice results were replaced by e+e\u2212\u2009\u2192\u2009hadrons data above a much earlier Euclidean time, t\u2009\u2265\u20091\u2009fm.) Here and in the rest of the paper, the expression \u2018data-driven\u2019 refers to predictions based on measurements of the hadron spectrum in e+e\u2212 annihilation and \u03c4-decay experiments. Before combining the two results, we verify that the lattice and the data-driven determinations of part of this long-distance \u2018tail\u2019 contribution agree within errors. We compute this tail contribution using the most precise measurements of the two-pion spectrum by BaBar<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 15\" title=\"Aubert, B. et al. Precise measurement of the e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) cross section with the Initial State Radiation method at BABAR. Phys. Rev. Lett. 103, 231801 (2009).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR15\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2340\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">15<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 16\" title=\"Lees, J. P. et al. Precise measurement of the e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) cross section with the Initial-State Radiation Method at BABAR. Phys. Rev. D 86, 032013 (2012).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR16\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2343\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">16<\/a>, KLOE<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Ambrosino, F. et al. Measurement of &#x3C3;(e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;&#x3B3;(&#x3B3;)) and the dipion contribution to the muon anomaly with the KLOE detector. Phys. Lett. B 670, 285&#x2013;291 (2009).\" href=\"#ref-CR17\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2347\">17<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Ambrosino, F. et al. Measurement of &#x3C3;(e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;) from threshold to 0.85 GeV2 using initial state radiation with the KLOE detector. Phys. Lett. B 700, 102&#x2013;110 (2011).\" href=\"#ref-CR18\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2347_1\">18<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Babusci, D. et al. Precision measurement of &#x3C3;(e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;&#x3B3;)\/&#x3C3;(e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3BC;+&#x3BC;&#x2212;&#x3B3;) and determination of the &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212; contribution to the muon anomaly with the KLOE detector. Phys. Lett. B 720, 336&#x2013;343 (2013).\" href=\"#ref-CR19\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2347_2\">19<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 20\" title=\"Anastasi, A. et al. Combination of KLOE &#010;                $$\\sigma ({e}^{+}{e}^{-}\\to {\\pi }^{+}{\\pi }^{-}\\gamma (\\gamma ))$$&#010;                &#010;                  &#x3C3;&#010;                  &#010;                    (&#010;                    &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          e&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          +&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          e&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x2212;&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#x2192;&#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x3C0;&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          +&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x3C0;&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x2212;&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#x3B3;&#010;                      (&#010;                      &#x3B3;&#010;                      )&#010;                    &#010;                    )&#010;                  &#010;                &#010;               measurements and determination of &#010;                $${a}_{\\mu }^{{\\pi }^{+}{\\pi }^{-}}$$&#010;                &#010;                  &#010;                    &#010;                      a&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      &#x3BC;&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x3C0;&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          +&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x3C0;&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x2212;&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                    &#010;                  &#010;                &#010;               in the energy range 0.10 &lt; s &lt; 0.95 GeV2. J. High Energy Phys. 2018, 173 (2018).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR20\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2350\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">20<\/a> and CMD-3 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 2\" title=\"Ignatov, F. V. et al. Measurement of the e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212; cross section from threshold to 1.2 GeV with the CMD-3 detector. Phys. Rev. D 109, 112002 (2024).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR2\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2355\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2<\/a>), as well as the one obtained from hadronic \u03c4 decays<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 21\" title=\"Davier, M. et al. The discrepancy between &#x3C4; and e+e&#x2212; spectral functions revisited and the consequences for the muon magnetic anomaly. Eur. Phys. J. C 66, 127&#x2013;136 (2010).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR21\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2359\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">21<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 22\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Malaescu, B., Yuan, C.-Z. &amp; Zhang, Z. Update of the ALEPH non-strange spectral functions from hadronic &#x3C4; decays. Eur. Phys. J. C 74, 2803 (2014).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR22\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2362\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">22<\/a>. These experiments almost fully cover the relevant energy range. For estimating the uncertainty of the tail observable, we also use other experiments with partial coverage. The two-pion spectra of these experiments are supplemented by the contributions from all of the other hadronic final states, as described in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 23\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Lutz, A.-M., Malaescu, B. &amp; Zhang, Z. Tensions in e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) measurements: the new landscape of data-driven hadronic vacuum polarization predictions for the muon g &#x2212; 2. Eur. Phys. J. C 84, 721 (2024).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR23\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2366\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">23<\/a>. The tail contribution is dominated by centre-of-mass energies below the \u03c1-meson peak, a region in which all of the measurements agree very well. The tail only accounts for less than 5% of our final, lattice-dominated result for \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\). The <a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"supplementary material anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#MOESM1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Supplementary Information<\/a> describes our determination of this contribution and further justifies its use in our calculation.<\/p>\n<p>(2) Finite L and T corrections gave the largest contribution to the error in 2017 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 24\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Hadronic vacuum polarization contribution to the anomalous magnetic moments of leptons from first principles. Phys. Rev. Lett. 121, 022002 (2018).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR24\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2413\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">24<\/a>). Even in our 2020 calculation<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2417\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>, it was still a substantial source of uncertainty. Here our determination of the tail contribution using a data-driven approach reduces those corrections by a factor of about two and the associated uncertainties by roughly three. We compute those corrections using the dedicated simulations of ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2421\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>, supplemented by next-to-next-to-leading order chiral perturbation theory for distances beyond 11\u2009fm (refs.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2426\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 25\" title=\"Aubin, C. et al. Light quark vacuum polarization at the physical point and contribution to the muon g &#x2212; 2. Phys. Rev. D 101, 014503 (2020).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR25\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2429\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">25<\/a>). Those results are checked against nonperturbative analytical approaches to finite-volume corrections<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Meyer, H. B. Lattice QCD and the timelike pion form factor. Phys. Rev. Lett. 107, 072002 (2011).\" href=\"#ref-CR26\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2433\">26<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Lellouch, L. &amp; L&#xFC;scher, M. Weak transition matrix elements from finite-volume correlation functions. Commun. Math. Phys. 219, 31&#x2013;44 (2001).\" href=\"#ref-CR27\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2433_1\">27<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"L&#xFC;scher, M. Two particle states on a torus and their relation to the scattering matrix. Nucl. Phys. B 354, 531&#x2013;578 (1991).\" href=\"#ref-CR28\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2433_2\">28<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Hansen, M. T. &amp; Patella, A. Finite-volume effects in &#10;                $${(g-2)}_{\\mu }^{{\\rm{HVP}},{\\rm{LO}}}$$&#10;                &#10;                  &#10;                    &#10;                      (&#10;                      g&#10;                      &#x2212;&#10;                      2&#10;                      )&#10;                    &#10;                    &#10;                      &#x3BC;&#10;                    &#10;                    &#10;                      &#10;                        &#10;                          HVP&#10;                        &#10;                      &#10;                      ,&#10;                      &#10;                        &#10;                          LO&#10;                        &#10;                      &#10;                    &#10;                  &#10;                &#10;              . Phys. Rev. Lett. 123, 172001 (2019).\" href=\"#ref-CR29\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2433_3\">29<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 30\" title=\"Hansen, M. T. &amp; Patella, A. Finite-volume and thermal effects in the leading-HVP contribution to muonic (g &#x2212; 2). J. High Energy Phys. 2020, 29 (2020).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR30\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2436\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">30<\/a> that we complement with experimental \u03c0+\u03c0\u2212 cross-section data below 1.3\u2009GeV. Details are given in the <a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"supplementary material anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#MOESM1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Supplementary Information<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>(3) The continuum extrapolation of the isovector contribution to \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) was the largest source of uncertainty in our 2020 computation<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2481\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a> and we have dedicated substantial resources to further control it. The uncertainties were mainly because of long-distance, taste-breaking effects that are present in staggered-fermion computations. Here we add a new, finer lattice spacing. The corresponding simulations have a numerical cost close to that required for the full 2020 computation. In ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2485\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a> the smallest lattice spacing was 0.064\u2009fm. The new lattice spacing is 0.048\u2009fm. Because the leading discretization effects are proportional to the square of the lattice spacing, results at this new lattice spacing have cut-off effects reduced by a factor of nearly two. We further account for the fact that different t regions in G(t) have different cut-off effects by dividing the integral of equation\u2009(<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"equation anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#Equ2\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2<\/a>) into four t intervals delimited by sigmoid functions. Such intervals or \u2018windows\u2019 were first proposed in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 14\" title=\"Blum, T. et al. Calculation of the hadronic vacuum polarization contribution to the muon anomalous magnetic moment. Phys. Rev. Lett. 121, 022003 (2018).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR14\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2505\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">14<\/a>. The first window corresponds to the Euclidean-time interval 0.0 to 0.4\u2009fm, known as the short-distance window<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 14\" title=\"Blum, T. et al. Calculation of the hadronic vacuum polarization contribution to the muon anomalous magnetic moment. Phys. Rev. Lett. 121, 022003 (2018).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR14\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2509\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">14<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 31\" title=\"Aoyama, T. et al. The anomalous magnetic moment of the muon in the Standard Model. Phys. Rep. 887, 1&#x2013;166 (2020).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR31\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2512\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">31<\/a> and denoted \\({a}_{\\mu ,00-04}^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) here. We use three more intervals between 0.4 and 2.8\u2009fm (separated at 2.0 and 2.4\u2009fm) because this choice yields a reduced uncertainty on the final result for \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\). We carry out the continuum extrapolation in those windows separately. We then add the individual extrapolated results to obtain the contribution to \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) from the Euclidean-time interval from 0 to 2.8\u2009fm, taking correlations into account. The uncertainty on the light-connected contribution is decreased by the new ensembles by 37% and by using the data-driven approach to compute the tail by an extra 22%. The whole procedure is detailed in the <a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"supplementary material anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#MOESM1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Supplementary Information<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>(4) We improve the determination of the physical point, which is now based on a very precise computation of the muonic decay rate of the charged pion. As a cross-check, we also perform the determination using the mass of the \u03a9\u2212 baryon as input and find good agreement between the two approaches. The uncertainty associated with the physical point determination was already small in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2629\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a> and is even smaller here. For details, see the <a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"supplementary material anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#MOESM1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Supplementary Information<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>(5) The uncertainties on the isospin-symmetry-breaking contributions obtained in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2639\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a> were already sufficiently small to reach the precision sought here. Our error on this contribution is now slightly increased: the isospin-breaking error on the pion decay rate is larger than it was on the \u03a9\u2212 baryon. Also we perform a variety of cross-checks that confirm our earlier results on the isospin-breaking contributions. Our present uncertainty details are given in the <a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"supplementary material anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#MOESM1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Supplementary Information<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>By far the largest contributions to the various windows considered in this work come from connected light-quark diagrams. We focus on these here and discuss the other contributions in the <a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"supplementary material anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#MOESM1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Supplementary Information<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>For the connected contribution of the light u and d quarks to the intermediate-distance (ID) window, we find \\({a}_{\\mu ,04-10}^{\\text{LO-HVP,light}}\\,=\\)\\(206.92(37)(34)[50]\\times 1{0}^{-10}\\), in which the first and second numbers in parentheses refer to the statistical and systematic uncertainties, respectively, and the number in square brackets is their quadrature sum, the total uncertainty. As shown in Fig.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"figure anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#Fig2\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2a<\/a>, our result agrees with eight other lattice calculations of this quantity<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2770\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Lehner, C. &amp; Meyer, A. S. Consistency of hadronic vacuum polarization between lattice QCD and the R ratio. Phys. Rev. D 101, 074515 (2020).\" href=\"#ref-CR32\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2773\">32<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Wang, G., Draper, T., Liu, K.-F. &amp; Yang, Y.-B. Muon g &#x2212; 2 with overlap valence fermions. Phys. Rev. D 107, 034513 (2023).\" href=\"#ref-CR33\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2773_1\">33<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Aubin, C., Blum, T., Golterman, M. &amp; Peris, S. Muon anomalous magnetic moment with staggered fermions: is the lattice spacing small enough? Phys. Rev. D 106, 054503 (2022).\" href=\"#ref-CR34\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2773_2\">34<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"C&#xE8;, M. et al. Window observable for the hadronic vacuum polarization contribution to the muon g &#x2212; 2 from lattice QCD. Phys. Rev. D 106, 114502 (2022).\" href=\"#ref-CR35\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2773_3\">35<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Alexandrou, C. et al. Lattice calculation of the short and intermediate time-distance hadronic vacuum polarization contributions to the muon magnetic moment using twisted-mass fermions. Phys. Rev. D 107, 074506 (2023).\" href=\"#ref-CR36\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2773_4\">36<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Bazavov, A. et al. Light-quark connected intermediate-window contributions to the muon g &#x2212; 2 hadronic vacuum polarization from lattice QCD. Phys. Rev. D 107, 114514 (2023).\" href=\"#ref-CR37\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2773_5\">37<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 38\" title=\"Blum, T. et al. Update of Euclidean windows of the hadronic vacuum polarization. Phys. Rev. D 108, 054507 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR38\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2776\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">38<\/a>, including our previous determination, within less than one standard deviation.<\/p>\n<p>Fig. 2: Comparison of our intermediate-window results with others in the literature.<img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"figure-2-desc ai-alt-disclaimer-figure-2-1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/41586_2026_10449_Fig2_HTML.png\" alt=\"Fig. 2: Comparison of our intermediate-window results with others in the literature.\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"685\" height=\"329\"\/>The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.<\/p>\n<p>a, Light contribution to the ID window, \\({a}_{\\mu ,04-10}^{\\text{LO-HVP,light}}\\). Our result is the orange square and the pink squares correspond to other lattice computations: Fermilab Lattice\/HPQCD\/MILC \u201924 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 45\" title=\"Bazavov, A. et al. Hadronic vacuum polarization for the muon g &#x2212; 2 from lattice QCD: complete short and intermediate windows. Phys. Rev. D 111, 094508 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR45\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2836\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">45<\/a>), RBC\/UKQCD \u201923 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 38\" title=\"Blum, T. et al. Update of Euclidean windows of the hadronic vacuum polarization. Phys. Rev. D 108, 054507 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR38\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2840\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">38<\/a>), ETM \u201922 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 36\" title=\"Alexandrou, C. et al. Lattice calculation of the short and intermediate time-distance hadronic vacuum polarization contributions to the muon magnetic moment using twisted-mass fermions. Phys. Rev. D 107, 074506 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR36\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2844\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">36<\/a>), Mainz\/CLS \u201922 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 35\" title=\"C&#xE8;, M. et al. Window observable for the hadronic vacuum polarization contribution to the muon g &#x2212; 2 from lattice QCD. Phys. Rev. D 106, 114502 (2022).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR35\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2848\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">35<\/a>), Aubin et al. \u201922 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 34\" title=\"Aubin, C., Blum, T., Golterman, M. &amp; Peris, S. Muon anomalous magnetic moment with staggered fermions: is the lattice spacing small enough? Phys. Rev. D 106, 054503 (2022).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR34\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2853\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">34<\/a>), \u03c7QCD \u201922 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 33\" title=\"Wang, G., Draper, T., Liu, K.-F. &amp; Yang, Y.-B. Muon g &#x2212; 2 with overlap valence fermions. Phys. Rev. D 107, 034513 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR33\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2860\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">33<\/a>), Lehner and Meyer \u201920 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 32\" title=\"Lehner, C. &amp; Meyer, A. S. Consistency of hadronic vacuum polarization between lattice QCD and the R ratio. Phys. Rev. D 101, 074515 (2020).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR32\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2864\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">32<\/a>) and our previous result BMW \u201920 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2868\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>). The blue circles denote data-driven determinations of Benton et al. \u201923 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 39\" title=\"Benton, G. et al. Data-driven determination of the light-quark connected component of the intermediate-window contribution to the muon g &#x2212; 2. Phys. Rev. Lett. 131, 251803 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR39\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2872\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">39<\/a>) and BMW \u201920 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2877\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>). These two results are based on the KNT19 data compilation<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 40\" title=\"Keshavarzi, A., Nomura, D. &amp; Teubner, T. Muon g &#x2212; 2 and &#010;                $$\\alpha ({M}_{Z}^{2})$$&#010;                &#010;                  &#x3B1;&#010;                  (&#010;                  &#010;                    &#010;                      M&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      Z&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      2&#010;                    &#010;                  &#010;                  )&#010;                &#010;              : a new data-based analysis. Phys. Rev. D 97, 114025 (2018).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR40\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2881\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">40<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 41\" title=\"Keshavarzi, A., Nomura, D. &amp; Teubner, T. g &#x2212; 2 of charged leptons, &#010;                $$\\alpha ({M}_{Z}^{2})$$&#010;                &#010;                  &#x3B1;&#010;                  (&#010;                  &#010;                    &#010;                      M&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      Z&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      2&#010;                    &#010;                  &#010;                  )&#010;                &#010;              , and the hyperfine splitting of muonium. Phys. Rev. D 101, 014029 (2020).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR41\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2884\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">41<\/a>. b, Full ID window, \\({a}_{\\mu ,04-10}^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\). Here, in the data-driven case, we show results<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 23\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Lutz, A.-M., Malaescu, B. &amp; Zhang, Z. Tensions in e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) measurements: the new landscape of data-driven hadronic vacuum polarization predictions for the muon g &#x2212; 2. Eur. Phys. J. C 84, 721 (2024).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR23\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2933\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">23<\/a> that use the measurements of the two-pion spectrum obtained in individual electron\u2013positron annihilation experiments and in \u03c4 decays, as explained in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 23\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Lutz, A.-M., Malaescu, B. &amp; Zhang, Z. Tensions in e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) measurements: the new landscape of data-driven hadronic vacuum polarization predictions for the muon g &#x2212; 2. Eur. Phys. J. C 84, 721 (2024).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR23\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2937\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">23<\/a>. The error bars correspond to the standard error of the mean.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, our new result for \\({a}_{\\mu ,04-10}^{\\text{LO-HVP,light}}\\) differs from the data-driven one presented in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e2994\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a> by 4.3\u03c3. This number was obtained by using the total result \\({a}_{\\mu ,04-10}^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) from the data-driven approach and subtracting all but the light-connected contributions measured in our 2020 lattice simulations. There is another published result using the data-driven approach by Benton et al.<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 39\" title=\"Benton, G. et al. Data-driven determination of the light-quark connected component of the intermediate-window contribution to the muon g &#x2212; 2. Phys. Rev. Lett. 131, 251803 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR39\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3043\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">39<\/a>. These two results for the light-connected ID window are the only data-driven ones published. They are both based on the KNT data compilation<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 40\" title=\"Keshavarzi, A., Nomura, D. &amp; Teubner, T. Muon g &#x2212; 2 and &#010;                $$\\alpha ({M}_{Z}^{2})$$&#010;                &#010;                  &#x3B1;&#010;                  (&#010;                  &#010;                    &#010;                      M&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      Z&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      2&#010;                    &#010;                  &#010;                  )&#010;                &#010;              : a new data-based analysis. Phys. Rev. D 97, 114025 (2018).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR40\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3048\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">40<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 41\" title=\"Keshavarzi, A., Nomura, D. &amp; Teubner, T. g &#x2212; 2 of charged leptons, &#010;                $$\\alpha ({M}_{Z}^{2})$$&#010;                &#010;                  &#x3B1;&#010;                  (&#010;                  &#010;                    &#010;                      M&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      Z&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      2&#010;                    &#010;                  &#010;                  )&#010;                &#010;              , and the hyperfine splitting of muonium. Phys. Rev. D 101, 014029 (2020).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR41\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3051\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">41<\/a> that does not include the more recent CMD-3 measurement nor the ones from \u03c4 decays. Their difference with our new result, as shown in Fig.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"figure anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#Fig2\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2a<\/a>, reinforces the disagreement between the lattice and data-driven determinations found in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3058\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>, which was a first strong indication that the lattice<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3062\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a> and reference predictions for \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 31\" title=\"Aoyama, T. et al. The anomalous magnetic moment of the muon in the Standard Model. Phys. Rep. 887, 1&#x2013;166 (2020).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR31\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3097\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">31<\/a>) could not both be correct.<\/p>\n<p>Note that the exact value of \\({a}_{\\mu ,04-10}^{\\text{LO-HVP,light}}\\) depends on the scheme used to define the isospin-symmetric limit of QCD. Our scheme, originally defined in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3146\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>, is specified in the <a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"supplementary material anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#MOESM1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Supplementary Information<\/a>. In ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 38\" title=\"Blum, T. et al. Update of Euclidean windows of the hadronic vacuum polarization. Phys. Rev. D 108, 054507 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR38\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3153\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">38<\/a>, it is shown that the difference between the value of \\({a}_{\\mu ,04-10}^{\\text{LO-HVP,light}}\\) obtained in the RBC\/UKQCD scheme and in our scheme is approximately 0.10(24)\u2009\u00d7\u200910\u221210, smaller than even our present uncertainties. The differences with other schemes used by the other collaborations are probably on the same level. However, we emphasize that this scheme dependence in no way affects our final result for \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) nor for the full value of \\({a}_{\\mu ,04-10}^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) that includes all flavour, isospin-breaking contributions. Both are unambiguous physical quantities.<\/p>\n<p>In Fig.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"figure anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#Fig2\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2b<\/a>, we show a comparison of our result for the full ID window contribution, \\({a}_{\\mu ,04-10}^{\\text{LO-HVP}}=236.29(41)(39)[57]\\), with the five other lattice determinations of that quantity. Here the results do not depend on any scheme choice and agreement is still excellent. Also plotted are the individual data-driven results<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 23\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Lutz, A.-M., Malaescu, B. &amp; Zhang, Z. Tensions in e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) measurements: the new landscape of data-driven hadronic vacuum polarization predictions for the muon g &#x2212; 2. Eur. Phys. J. C 84, 721 (2024).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR23\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3358\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">23<\/a> obtained using the same datasets as for computing the central value of the tail. Those results show notable tensions that forbid an overall comparison between the lattice and data-driven approaches. However, important progress is being made on understanding the sources of those differences and we expect that the situation on the data-driven side will be clarified soon. The differences may be partly because of the treatment of radiative corrections, as explained in refs.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 23\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Lutz, A.-M., Malaescu, B. &amp; Zhang, Z. Tensions in e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) measurements: the new landscape of data-driven hadronic vacuum polarization predictions for the muon g &#x2212; 2. Eur. Phys. J. C 84, 721 (2024).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR23\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3362\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">23<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 42\" title=\"Lees, J. P. et al. Measurement of additional radiation in the initial-state-radiation processes e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3BC;+&#x3BC;&#x2212;&#x3B3; and e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;&#x3B3; at BABAR. Phys. Rev. D 108, L111103 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR42\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3365\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">42<\/a>. Although the difference of our lattice result with that obtained using KLOE\u2019s measurement<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Ambrosino, F. et al. Measurement of &#x3C3;(e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;&#x3B3;(&#x3B3;)) and the dipion contribution to the muon anomaly with the KLOE detector. Phys. Lett. B 670, 285&#x2013;291 (2009).\" href=\"#ref-CR17\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3369\">17<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Ambrosino, F. et al. Measurement of &#x3C3;(e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;) from threshold to 0.85 GeV2 using initial state radiation with the KLOE detector. Phys. Lett. B 700, 102&#x2013;110 (2011).\" href=\"#ref-CR18\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3369_1\">18<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Babusci, D. et al. Precision measurement of &#x3C3;(e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;&#x3B3;)\/&#x3C3;(e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3BC;+&#x3BC;&#x2212;&#x3B3;) and determination of the &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212; contribution to the muon anomaly with the KLOE detector. Phys. Lett. B 720, 336&#x2013;343 (2013).\" href=\"#ref-CR19\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3369_2\">19<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 20\" title=\"Anastasi, A. et al. Combination of KLOE &#010;                $$\\sigma ({e}^{+}{e}^{-}\\to {\\pi }^{+}{\\pi }^{-}\\gamma (\\gamma ))$$&#010;                &#010;                  &#x3C3;&#010;                  &#010;                    (&#010;                    &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          e&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          +&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          e&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x2212;&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#x2192;&#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x3C0;&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          +&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x3C0;&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x2212;&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#x3B3;&#010;                      (&#010;                      &#x3B3;&#010;                      )&#010;                    &#010;                    )&#010;                  &#010;                &#010;               measurements and determination of &#010;                $${a}_{\\mu }^{{\\pi }^{+}{\\pi }^{-}}$$&#010;                &#010;                  &#010;                    &#010;                      a&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      &#x3BC;&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x3C0;&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          +&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x3C0;&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x2212;&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                    &#010;                  &#010;                &#010;               in the energy range 0.10 &lt; s &lt; 0.95 GeV2. J. High Energy Phys. 2018, 173 (2018).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR20\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3372\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">20<\/a> is 6.2\u03c3, it reduces to 3.5\u03c3 for the BaBar measurement<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 15\" title=\"Aubert, B. et al. Precise measurement of the e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) cross section with the Initial State Radiation method at BABAR. Phys. Rev. Lett. 103, 231801 (2009).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR15\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3383\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">15<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 16\" title=\"Lees, J. P. et al. Precise measurement of the e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) cross section with the Initial-State Radiation Method at BABAR. Phys. Rev. D 86, 032013 (2012).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR16\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3386\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">16<\/a> and even to 1.3\u03c3 for the one by CMD-3 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 2\" title=\"Ignatov, F. V. et al. Measurement of the e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212; cross section from threshold to 1.2 GeV with the CMD-3 detector. Phys. Rev. D 109, 112002 (2024).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR2\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3393\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2<\/a>). Compared with the determination obtained through \u03c4 decays<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 21\" title=\"Davier, M. et al. The discrepancy between &#x3C4; and e+e&#x2212; spectral functions revisited and the consequences for the muon magnetic anomaly. Eur. Phys. J. C 66, 127&#x2013;136 (2010).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR21\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3397\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">21<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 22\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Malaescu, B., Yuan, C.-Z. &amp; Zhang, Z. Update of the ALEPH non-strange spectral functions from hadronic &#x3C4; decays. Eur. Phys. J. C 74, 2803 (2014).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR22\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3400\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">22<\/a>, the difference is 2.7\u03c3. With an alternative evaluation of the \u03c4 data<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 43\" title=\"Masjuan, P., Miranda, A. &amp; Roig, P. &#x3C4; data-driven evaluation of Euclidean windows for the hadronic vacuum polarization. Phys. Lett. B 850, 138492 (2024).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR43\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3408\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">43<\/a>, the difference is even smaller. These numbers illustrate the known discrepancies between measurements at energies around the \u03c1-meson peak. Note that these contributions are highly suppressed in the tail observable. Nevertheless, we take into account these discrepancies by performing the analysis of the tail with and without the most extreme experiments. The associated uncertainty is an order of magnitude below our final error on \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\). Details can be found in the <a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"supplementary material anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#MOESM1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Supplementary Information<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Our result for the light-connected contribution to the short-distance window, \\({a}_{\\mu ,00-04}^{\\text{LO-HVP,light}}=47.85(5)(13)[14]\\times 1{0}^{-10}\\), is in excellent agreement with five other lattice computations of this quantity<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 36\" title=\"Alexandrou, C. et al. Lattice calculation of the short and intermediate time-distance hadronic vacuum polarization contributions to the muon magnetic moment using twisted-mass fermions. Phys. Rev. D 107, 074506 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR36\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3547\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">36<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 38\" title=\"Blum, T. et al. Update of Euclidean windows of the hadronic vacuum polarization. Phys. Rev. D 108, 054507 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR38\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3550\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">38<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Kuberski, S. et al. Hadronic vacuum polarization in the muon g &#x2212; 2: the short-distance contribution from lattice QCD. J. High Energy Phys. 2024, 172 (2024).\" href=\"#ref-CR44\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3553\">44<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Bazavov, A. et al. Hadronic vacuum polarization for the muon g &#x2212; 2 from lattice QCD: complete short and intermediate windows. Phys. Rev. D 111, 094508 (2025).\" href=\"#ref-CR45\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3553_1\">45<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 46\" title=\"Spiegel, S. &amp; Lehner, C. High-precision continuum limit study of the HVP short-distance window. Phys. Rev. D 111, 114517 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR46\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3556\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">46<\/a>. We also consider the window observable proposed in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 34\" title=\"Aubin, C., Blum, T., Golterman, M. &amp; Peris, S. Muon anomalous magnetic moment with staggered fermions: is the lattice spacing small enough? Phys. Rev. D 106, 054503 (2022).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR34\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3560\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">34<\/a>, from 1.5 to 1.9\u2009fm, and we obtain \\({a}_{\\mu ,15-19}^{\\text{LO-HVP,light}}=97.57(1.76)(1.17)[2.11]\\times 1{0}^{-10}\\). Again we find a good agreement with the other two computations of this quantity<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 34\" title=\"Aubin, C., Blum, T., Golterman, M. &amp; Peris, S. Muon anomalous magnetic moment with staggered fermions: is the lattice spacing small enough? Phys. Rev. D 106, 054503 (2022).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR34\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3662\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">34<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 37\" title=\"Bazavov, A. et al. Light-quark connected intermediate-window contributions to the muon g &#x2212; 2 hadronic vacuum polarization from lattice QCD. Phys. Rev. D 107, 114514 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR37\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3665\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">37<\/a>. A more detailed comparison of our results for the above windows is provided in the <a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"supplementary material anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#MOESM1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Supplementary information<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Now, summing the connected-light and disconnected contributions obtained in our four chosen Euclidean-time intervals and combining them with all of the other required contributions, including the data-driven tail, we obtain \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}=715.1(2.5)(2.3)[3.4]\\times 1{0}^{-10}\\), as detailed in the <a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"supplementary material anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#MOESM1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Supplementary Information<\/a>. This result agrees with our earlier 2017 and 2020 determinations but reduces uncertainties by a factor of 5.5 compared with the former and of 1.6 to the latter. The difference between our result and the 2020 result is 7.6\u2009\u00d7\u200910\u221210, with an uncertainty of 5.2\u2009\u00d7\u200910\u221210, indicating that the new result is 1.5\u03c3 higher. To obtain that result, we assume zero correlation among some of the systematics. When assuming full correlation, the uncertainty becomes 4.5\u2009\u00d7\u200910\u221210 and, in this case, the new result is 1.7\u03c3 higher.<\/p>\n<p>Adding our determination of \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) to the other standard-model contributions compiled in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 3\" title=\"Aliberti, R. et al. The anomalous magnetic moment of the muon in the Standard Model: an update. Phys. Rep. 1143, 1&#x2013;158 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR3\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3814\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">3<\/a> yields a\u03bc\u2009=\u200911,659,205.2(3.6)\u2009\u00d7\u200910\u221210. In Fig.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"figure anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#Fig3\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">3<\/a>, we compare this result with the world average of the direct measurements of the magnetic moment of the muon<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 4\" title=\"Aguillard, D. P. et al. Measurement of the positive muon anomalous magnetic moment to 127 ppb. Phys. Rev. Lett. 135, 101802 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR4\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3828\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">4<\/a>. Our prediction differs from that measurement by \u22120.5\u03c3. Also given are the Muon g\u2009\u2212\u20092 Theory Initiative combinations from the years 2020 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 31\" title=\"Aoyama, T. et al. The anomalous magnetic moment of the muon in the Standard Model. Phys. Rep. 887, 1&#x2013;166 (2020).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR31\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3838\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">31<\/a>) and 2025 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 3\" title=\"Aliberti, R. et al. The anomalous magnetic moment of the muon in the Standard Model: an update. Phys. Rep. 1143, 1&#x2013;158 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR3\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3842\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">3<\/a>), in which the \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) contribution was obtained only from the data-driven and only from the lattice approach, respectively. As well as these combinations, we also provide individual results in both approaches. As the figure shows, some of the data-driven results are in serious tension both with our and the lattice-only estimates. Our \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) is in good agreement with the latest Theory Initiative combination and our uncertainty is a factor of 1.8 smaller.<\/p>\n<p>Fig. 3: Comparison of standard-model predictions for the muon anomalous magnetic moment with its measured value.<img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"figure-3-desc ai-alt-disclaimer-figure-3-1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/41586_2026_10449_Fig3_HTML.png\" alt=\"Fig. 3: Comparison of standard-model predictions for the muon anomalous magnetic moment with its measured value.\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"685\" height=\"508\"\/>The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.<\/p>\n<p>Top, world-average measurement of a\u03bc (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 4\" title=\"Aguillard, D. P. et al. Measurement of the positive muon anomalous magnetic moment to 127 ppb. Phys. Rev. Lett. 135, 101802 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR4\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3925\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">4<\/a>) and the standard-model prediction of this work. The latter is denoted by the orange band and is obtained by adding the value of \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) computed here to the results for all of the other contributions summarized in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 3\" title=\"Aliberti, R. et al. The anomalous magnetic moment of the muon in the Standard Model: an update. Phys. Rep. 1143, 1&#x2013;158 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR3\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3960\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">3<\/a>. Middle, predictions using recent lattice computations for \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\), RBC\/UKQCD (refs.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 14\" title=\"Blum, T. et al. Calculation of the hadronic vacuum polarization contribution to the muon anomalous magnetic moment. Phys. Rev. Lett. 121, 022003 (2018).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR14\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3996\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">14<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 38\" title=\"Blum, T. et al. Update of Euclidean windows of the hadronic vacuum polarization. Phys. Rev. D 108, 054507 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR38\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e3999\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">38<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 51\" title=\"Blum, T. et al. Long-distance window of the hadronic vacuum polarization for the muon g &#x2212; 2. Phys. Rev. Lett. 134, 201901 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR51\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4002\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">51<\/a>), Mainz\/CLS<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 52\" title=\"Djukanovic, D. et al. The hadronic vacuum polarization contribution to the muon g &#x2212; 2 at long distances. J. High Energy Phys. 2025, 98 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR52\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4006\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">52<\/a> and our previous computation<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Bors&#xE1;nyi, S. et al. Leading hadronic contribution to the muon magnetic moment from lattice QCD. Nature 593, 51&#x2013;55 (2021).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4010\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>. The Muon g\u2009\u2212\u20092 Theory Initiative combination from 2025 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 3\" title=\"Aliberti, R. et al. The anomalous magnetic moment of the muon in the Standard Model: an update. Phys. Rep. 1143, 1&#x2013;158 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR3\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4017\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">3<\/a>), which is obtained using lattice results for \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\), is labelled \u2018White paper \u201925\u2019. Bottom, predictions using the data-driven approach for \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) including the most precise measurements of the two-pion spectrum in electron\u2013positron annihilation and \u03c4-decay experiments<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 23\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Lutz, A.-M., Malaescu, B. &amp; Zhang, Z. Tensions in e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) measurements: the new landscape of data-driven hadronic vacuum polarization predictions for the muon g &#x2212; 2. Eur. Phys. J. C 84, 721 (2024).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR23\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4087\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">23<\/a>. These correspond to BaBar<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 15\" title=\"Aubert, B. et al. Precise measurement of the e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) cross section with the Initial State Radiation method at BABAR. Phys. Rev. Lett. 103, 231801 (2009).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR15\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4091\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">15<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 16\" title=\"Lees, J. P. et al. Precise measurement of the e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) cross section with the Initial-State Radiation Method at BABAR. Phys. Rev. D 86, 032013 (2012).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR16\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4094\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">16<\/a>, KLOE<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Ambrosino, F. et al. Measurement of &#x3C3;(e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;&#x3B3;(&#x3B3;)) and the dipion contribution to the muon anomaly with the KLOE detector. Phys. Lett. B 670, 285&#x2013;291 (2009).\" href=\"#ref-CR17\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4098\">17<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Ambrosino, F. et al. Measurement of &#x3C3;(e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;) from threshold to 0.85 GeV2 using initial state radiation with the KLOE detector. Phys. Lett. B 700, 102&#x2013;110 (2011).\" href=\"#ref-CR18\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4098_1\">18<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" title=\"Babusci, D. et al. Precision measurement of &#x3C3;(e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;&#x3B3;)\/&#x3C3;(e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3BC;+&#x3BC;&#x2212;&#x3B3;) and determination of the &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212; contribution to the muon anomaly with the KLOE detector. Phys. Lett. B 720, 336&#x2013;343 (2013).\" href=\"#ref-CR19\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4098_2\">19<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 20\" title=\"Anastasi, A. et al. Combination of KLOE &#010;                $$\\sigma ({e}^{+}{e}^{-}\\to {\\pi }^{+}{\\pi }^{-}\\gamma (\\gamma ))$$&#010;                &#010;                  &#x3C3;&#010;                  &#010;                    (&#010;                    &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          e&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          +&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          e&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x2212;&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#x2192;&#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x3C0;&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          +&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x3C0;&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x2212;&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#x3B3;&#010;                      (&#010;                      &#x3B3;&#010;                      )&#010;                    &#010;                    )&#010;                  &#010;                &#010;               measurements and determination of &#010;                $${a}_{\\mu }^{{\\pi }^{+}{\\pi }^{-}}$$&#010;                &#010;                  &#010;                    &#010;                      a&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      &#x3BC;&#010;                    &#010;                    &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x3C0;&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          +&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                      &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x3C0;&#010;                        &#010;                        &#010;                          &#x2212;&#010;                        &#010;                      &#010;                    &#010;                  &#010;                &#010;               in the energy range 0.10 &lt; s &lt; 0.95 GeV2. J. High Energy Phys. 2018, 173 (2018).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR20\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4101\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">20<\/a> and CMD-3 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 2\" title=\"Ignatov, F. V. et al. Measurement of the e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212; cross section from threshold to 1.2 GeV with the CMD-3 detector. Phys. Rev. D 109, 112002 (2024).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR2\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4105\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2<\/a>) for e+e\u2212 annihilation and Tau for \u03c4 decays<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 21\" title=\"Davier, M. et al. The discrepancy between &#x3C4; and e+e&#x2212; spectral functions revisited and the consequences for the muon magnetic anomaly. Eur. Phys. J. C 66, 127&#x2013;136 (2010).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR21\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4114\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">21<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 22\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Malaescu, B., Yuan, C.-Z. &amp; Zhang, Z. Update of the ALEPH non-strange spectral functions from hadronic &#x3C4; decays. Eur. Phys. J. C 74, 2803 (2014).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR22\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4117\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">22<\/a>. The earlier Theory Initiative combination from 2020 (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 31\" title=\"Aoyama, T. et al. The anomalous magnetic moment of the muon in the Standard Model. Phys. Rep. 887, 1&#x2013;166 (2020).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR31\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4121\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">31<\/a>), which is obtained using the data-driven results, is labelled \u2018White paper \u201920\u2019. Note, all standard-model predictions include non-HVP contributions from \u2018White paper \u201925\u2019, except for \u2018White paper \u201920\u2019. The error bars are the standard error of the mean.<\/p>\n<p>In the near future, we expect more data for the e+e\u2212\u2009\u2192\u2009\u03c0+\u03c0\u2212 cross-section<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 47\" title=\"Colangelo, G. et al. Prospects for precise predictions of a&#x3BC; in the Standard Model. Preprint at &#010;                https:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/2203.15810&#010;                &#010;               (2022).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR47\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4144\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">47<\/a>. Beyond consolidating our present understanding<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 23\" title=\"Davier, M., H&#xF6;cker, A., Lutz, A.-M., Malaescu, B. &amp; Zhang, Z. Tensions in e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;(&#x3B3;) measurements: the new landscape of data-driven hadronic vacuum polarization predictions for the muon g &#x2212; 2. Eur. Phys. J. C 84, 721 (2024).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR23\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4149\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">23<\/a>,<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 42\" title=\"Lees, J. P. et al. Measurement of additional radiation in the initial-state-radiation processes e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3BC;+&#x3BC;&#x2212;&#x3B3; and e+e&#x2212; &#x2192; &#x3C0;+&#x3C0;&#x2212;&#x3B3; at BABAR. Phys. Rev. D 108, L111103 (2023).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR42\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4152\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">42<\/a> of the tensions in the measurements of that cross-section, these new data should improve the data-driven determination of \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\). Also, the possibility of directly measuring HVP in the space-like region is being investigated by the MUonE collaboration<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 48\" title=\"Abbiendi, G. et al. Measuring the leading hadronic contribution to the muon g&#x2212;2 via &#x3BC;e scattering. Eur. Phys. J. C 77, 139 (2017).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR48\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4187\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">48<\/a>. Finally, combinations of lattice and data-driven results, beyond the simple one presented here, ought to be pursued, following, for example, the methods put forward in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 49\" title=\"Davier, M. et al. Hadronic vacuum polarization: comparing lattice QCD and data-driven results in systematically improvable ways. Phys. Rev. D 109, 076019 (2024).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR49\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4191\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">49<\/a>. Investigations along all of those lines are underway.<\/p>\n<p>The precise measurement and standard-model prediction for the muon anomalous magnetic moment reflect substantial scientific progress. Experimentally, Fermilab\u2019s \u2018Muon g\u2009\u2212\u20092\u2019 collaboration has measured a\u03bc to 0.127\u2009ppm (ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 4\" title=\"Aguillard, D. P. et al. Measurement of the positive muon anomalous magnetic moment to 127 ppb. Phys. Rev. Lett. 135, 101802 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR4\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4205\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">4<\/a>). Furthermore, there is the \u2018Muon g\u2009\u2212\u20092\/EDM\u2019 experiment under development at KEK\u2019s J-PARC<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 50\" title=\"Abe, M. et al. A new approach for measuring the muon anomalous magnetic moment and electric dipole moment. Prog. Theor. Exp. Phys. 2019, 053C02 (2019).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR50\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4212\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">50<\/a> to measure this quantity using a completely new and independent experimental approach. On the theoretical side, physicists from around the world have performed complex calculations (see, for example, ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 3\" title=\"Aliberti, R. et al. The anomalous magnetic moment of the muon in the Standard Model: an update. Phys. Rep. 1143, 1&#x2013;158 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR3\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4217\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">3<\/a>), some based on further precise measurements, incorporating all aspects of the standard model and many quantum field theory refinements. It is notable that the electromagnetic, electroweak and strong interactions, which require very different computational tools, can be combined into a single calculation with such precision. The result for \\({a}_{\\mu }^{\\text{LO-HVP}}\\) presented here, combined with other contributions to a\u03bc summarized in ref.\u2009<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 3\" title=\"Aliberti, R. et al. The anomalous magnetic moment of the muon in the Standard Model: an update. Phys. Rep. 1143, 1&#x2013;158 (2025).\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10449-z#ref-CR3\" id=\"ref-link-section-d62022307e4256\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">3<\/a>, provides a standard-model prediction with a precision of 0.31\u2009ppm. At such a level of precision, the agreement found between experiment and theory, to within less than one standard deviation, is a great success for the standard model and, from a broader perspective, for renormalized quantum field theory.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The muon is a short-lived elementary particle with spin 1\/2 and a mass 207\u2009times larger than that of&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":600821,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[49],"tags":[1159,1160,37202,199,79,133176],"class_list":{"0":"post-600820","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-physics","8":"tag-humanities-and-social-sciences","9":"tag-multidisciplinary","10":"tag-phenomenology","11":"tag-physics","12":"tag-science","13":"tag-theoretical-particle-physics"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/600820","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=600820"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/600820\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/600821"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=600820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=600820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=600820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}