{"id":633400,"date":"2026-05-09T19:20:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-09T19:20:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/633400\/"},"modified":"2026-05-09T19:20:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-09T19:20:09","slug":"should-california-pass-a-billionaires-tax","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/633400\/","title":{"rendered":"Should California pass a billionaire\u2019s tax?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img alt=\"Healthcare workers rally in support of a billionaire tax during a media briefing on April 27 in Los Angeles. An initiative for the tax to levy a one-time 5% tax on California billionaires has enough signatures to be on the November ballot.\" loading=\"eager\" fetchpriority=\"high\"   style=\"aspect-ratio:3 \/ 2\" class=\"x100 y100 opc bgpc ofcv bgscv block bg-gray200 mnh0px fill\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Healthcare workers rally in support of a billionaire tax during a media briefing on April 27 in Los Angeles. An initiative for the tax to levy a one-time 5% tax on California billionaires has enough signatures to be on the November ballot.<\/p>\n<p>Frederic J. Brown\/AFP\/Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Supporters of a prospective voter initiative that would impose a one-time, 5% tax on California billionaires say they have collected more than enough signatures for its inclusion on the November ballot.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The proposed stopgap measure, which is sponsored by two powerful labor unions, would tax the roughly 200 California residents whose assets exceed $1 billion. Ninety percent of the collected revenue would go to restore House Resolution 1\u2019s\u00a0cuts to healthcare, while 10% would go toward public education and state food assistance programs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>We asked two University of California faculty members with opposing views\u00a0\u2014 UC Davis law professor Darien Shanske and UC Berkeley economics professor Enrico Moretti\u00a0\u2014 to weigh in on the measure. After reading each take, please vote on which one you agree with more in our poll.<\/p>\n<p>Ask billionaires to pay their fair share<\/p>\n<p>As a community, Californians must decide who pays how much for the essential services we all rely on. In general, we have quite reasonably decided that the greater a person\u2019s ability to pay, the more that person should pay. The problem, however, is that that\u2019s not currently the case.<\/p>\n<p>San Francisco Chronicle Logo<\/p>\n<p>Make us a Preferred Source to get more of our news when you search.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=sfchronicle.com\" data-link=\"native\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Add Preferred Source\" class=\"td300 cp f aic jcc disabled:cd wsn px24 y40px px16 py8 buttonSm fs13 xs:fs16 xs:buttonLg bg-primaryAccessible hover:o80 c-white disabled:bg-gray300 disabled:c-gray600 border bn tac br2\"><\/p>\n<p>Add Preferred Source<\/p>\n<p><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Take, for instance, the structure of the income tax. The U.S. and California governments generally evaluate one\u2019s ability to pay based on one\u2019s income, taxing those earnings. But many billionaires don\u2019t earn much in traditional salaries, and hence <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/03\/15\/business\/billionaire-income-tax-loopholes.html\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">many billionaires don\u2019t pay much, if any, income tax<\/a>\u00a0\u2014 certainly not in proportion to their ability to pay.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s more, neither the U.S. nor California taxes wealth accumulated through stocks or other intangible means, so billionaires end up contributing far less proportionately of their economic income than the rest of us. Middle-class people already pay an annual 1% (approximately) wealth tax\u00a0\u2014 this is generally known as the property tax, which is a wealth tax on a small slice of the kind of wealth that middle-class people have (and note that the property tax <a href=\"https:\/\/itep.org\/america-used-to-have-a-wealth-tax-the-forgotten-history-of-the-general-property-tax\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">used<\/a> to reach the kind of intangible wealth that billionaires have).<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps these gaps in our tax system wouldn\u2019t matter so much if the rest of the system were efficiently and fairly paying for essential services, but that simply isn\u2019t the case. For example, to help pay for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/articles\/one-big-beautiful-bill-a-preliminary-assessment\/#:~:text=The%20One%20Big%20Beautiful%20Bill%20Act%20(OBBBA),**Increased%20spending%20on%20border%20security%20and%20defense**\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">staggeringly regressive<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/opinion\/finance\/434998-congress-worst-tax-idea-ever\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">poorly designed<\/a> tax cuts for the ultra wealthy, the Trump administration slashed roughly\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/calhospital.org\/file\/cha-summary-and-impact-estimate-of-obbba\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">$100 billion from<\/a> California\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizen.org\/article\/big-ugly-threat\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">healthcare system<\/a> over the next five years. Cuts that big will strip health insurance from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kff.org\/uninsured\/how-will-the-2025-reconciliation-law-affect-the-uninsured-rate-in-each-state\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">millions of people<\/a> and many of the hospitals and emergency rooms that we all rely on will be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.yahoo.com\/news\/articles\/83-california-hospitals-risk-due-175457039.html?guccounter=1&amp;guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&amp;guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAATnnakF6JWG5UOe0de58hyHRSXaIiKPwVpxfR0rEh8nqTqiyer0iUodDURwzqVs8nNH9gwN35wVYqQIh_gLZGkiOPRQ3-SuC5-Ocqw5q3xRbMOCP19fjwej57udbqILktYI2B_meW5Gi_bddjNwdETOlzksyn7lLnJ7ciTKIPMN\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">forced to close<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This is exactly why a modest, one-time tax on billionaires is so urgently needed, and why my co-drafters and I crafted the <a href=\"https:\/\/oag.ca.gov\/system\/files\/initiatives\/pdfs\/25-0024A1%20%28Billionaire%20Tax%20%29.pdf\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">California Billionaire Tax Act.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5996554\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">We designed<\/a> the tax based on models that have shown themselves to be administrable and fair. Among other key features: The modest, one-time tax has a five-year payment plan option (with a small deferral charge), an outright deferral option for billionaires who are illiquid and straightforward default formulas to value non-public assets.<\/p>\n<p>To be clear: California is governed by a <a href=\"https:\/\/leginfo.legislature.ca.gov\/faces\/codes_displaySection.xhtml?lawCode=CONS&amp;sectionNum=SECTION%201.&amp;article=XVI\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">balanced budget rule<\/a>, so it cannot just borrow to forestall these cuts and hope that the federal government regains its senses.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Nor should we be fooled by possibly well-intentioned counter-proposals\u00a0that are not shovel-ready. Federal healthcare cuts are here now. Thousands of healthcare workers have already been laid off. Speaking of which, despite fear-mongering to the contrary, <a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6433598\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">no voter should be scared<\/a> into abandoning their common sense by the threats of billionaires moving. There is\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbpp.org\/blog\/tax-related-migration-is-grossly-exaggerated-a-research-preview\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">little evidence<\/a> to suggest that those fears are warranted. In any event, the deadline to change residency for purposes of this tax has passed.<\/p>\n<p>At the end of the day, public policy is about choices. We can choose to let these catastrophic cuts happen. Or we can choose to reverse the Robin Hood structure of our tax system by finally asking billionaires to chip in for the essential public services we all rely on.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"cci_tagline_name\" title=\"CCI Tagline Name\">Darien Shanske is a professor of law at UC Davis and co-author of the California Billionaire Tax Act.<\/p>\n<p>Tax will hurt California, benefit Texas and Florida<\/p>\n<p>The billionaire tax risks damaging California\u2019s economy for years to come. Based on my own research and a growing body of evidence on how high earners respond to state taxation, I believe this tax will make the state meaningfully less attractive to the next generation of startup founders and reduce jobs for Californians. The true cost of this measure will not be paid by billionaires, but by California workers. The main winners will be low-tax red states like Texas and Florida.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>The central question for the proposed tax is whether, in a country where taxpayers can move freely across state borders, its targets will simply leave our state. <a href=\"https:\/\/eml.berkeley.edu\/~moretti\/billionaires.pdf\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">In research I conducted with the Federal Reserve\u2019s Daniel Wilson,<\/a> we tracked the geographic location of Forbes 400 billionaires over time to study what happens when states tax large fortunes. We found that billionaires\u2019 location is sensitive to states that tax their wealth: When a state starts charging an estate tax\u00a0\u2014 the closest real-world analogue to a wealth tax\u00a0\u2014 1 in 5 billionaires leave. The ultra-wealthy have the means and the financial incentive to relocate, and they often do.<\/p>\n<p>California already maintains the most progressive tax structure in the nation. Its top marginal income tax rate of 13.3% is the highest in the country\u00a0\u2014 compared to zero in states like Texas and Florida. That gap puts California at a structural disadvantage in competing with other states, making it harder to retain high-income residents and their businesses. The proposed wealth tax would make the calculus for staying in California worse. Several of California\u2019s most prominent technology founders have already shifted their primary residences to lower-tax states. Since there will be fewer billionaires left to tax, the tax revenues will be lower than the proponents promise.<\/p>\n<p>The most profound damage, however, isn\u2019t about where today\u2019s billionaires live\u00a0\u2014 it\u2019s about where tomorrow\u2019s billionaires choose to build. The high-tech and biotech sectors that underpin California\u2019s dynamism were built by entrepreneurs who chose to plant their roots here. Losing future startup founders would be enormously consequential for California\u2019s economic health.<\/p>\n<p>Consider, for example, the future cost of forgoing someone like Sergei Brin, a Google co-founder. Today, the company that he started employs 85,000 people in California, with wages, benefits, and stock compensation totaling $32 billion annually. Its employees pay $2.3 billion in taxes per year, with corporate taxes adding another $1.3 billion. Losing even only a few future\u00a0Googles\u00a0\u2014 because their founders chose Austin, Texas, or Miami instead of Silicon Valley\u00a0\u2014 would outweigh the revenue the wealth tax is expected to raise. The long-run damage to the innovation ecosystem that makes California exceptional would be severe.<\/p>\n<p>The proponents of the tax argue that billionaires will not leave because this is a one-time tax. But the \u201cone-time\u201d nature of the tax is unlikely to be credible to employers. California has a history of converting temporary taxes into permanent ones. In 2012, voters approved a new high-earner tax framed as a temporary measure; it was later extended for 16 years and will likely be made permanent this year. For a founder looking at a decades-long horizon for their company, the uncertainty of a wealth tax extension acts as a tax of its own.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Guest opinions in Open Forum and Insight are produced by writers with expertise, personal experience or original insights on a subject of interest to our readers. Their views do not necessarily reflect the opinion of The Chronicle editorial board, which is committed to providing a diversity of ideas to our readership.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sfchronicle.com\/standards\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Read more about our transparency and ethics policies<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I support higher taxes on the ultra wealthy, as economic research clearly shows that they do not pay their fair share. However, tax increases on billionaires should be handled at the federal level, where it is significantly harder for taxpayers to relocate. A tax imposed only by California will weaken the country\u2019s most progressive state \u2014 and strengthen the red states that compete with it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"cci_endnote_contact\" title=\"CCI End Note Contact\">Enrico Moretti is a professor of economics at UC Berkeley.<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Healthcare workers rally in support of a billionaire tax during a media briefing on April 27 in Los&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":633401,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[2356,13961,97,252,253,251459,1767,111],"class_list":["post-633400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-health-care","tag-california","tag-election","tag-health","tag-health-care","tag-healthcare","tag-open-forum","tag-opinion","tag-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/633400","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=633400"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/633400\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/633401"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=633400"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=633400"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=633400"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}