{"id":637621,"date":"2026-05-12T01:29:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-12T01:29:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/637621\/"},"modified":"2026-05-12T01:29:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-12T01:29:12","slug":"how-accurate-are-college-football-preseason-polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/637621\/","title":{"rendered":"How Accurate Are College Football Preseason Polls?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7b\">May and June are the months in which the college preseason magazines begin to appear on bookshelves across the nation. Their arrival means one thing to fans: the college football season is nearing.<\/p>\n<p>As we all know, the Indiana Hoosiers went 16-0 last year to capture the first football national championship in school history.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7e\">Curt Cignetti\u2019s team won the trophy in just his second year as the Hoosiers\u2019 head coach. Even more amazing is that Indiana lost only two games in those two years.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7h\">That\u2019s a 27-2 record. To give Husker fans some perspective, in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/college\/nebraska\/football\/dave-feit-s-greatest-huskers-by-the-numbers-15-tommie-frazier-tom-osborne-hall-of-fame-national-champions-mvp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">1994 and 1995<\/a>, Nebraska went 25-0 and won two national championships. During the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/college\/nebraska\/football\/dave-feit-s-greatest-huskers-by-the-numbers-14-jerry-tagge-gerry-gdowski-national-championship-quarterback-bob-devaney-tom-osborne\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">1970 and \u201971<\/a> seasons, the Huskers went 24-0-1 and nabbed another <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/college\/nebraska\/football\/dave-feit-s-greatest-huskers-by-the-numbers-20-johnny-rodgers-bob-devaney-lyell-bremser-oklahoma-game-of-the-century\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">two national crowns<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-4\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7k\">For longtime Husker fans, Indiana\u2019s 27-2 record and one national championship, while impressive, doesn\u2019t equal Nebraska\u2019s. What is impressive is that Indiana\u2019s amazing success was achieved in just the first two years of Cignetti\u2019s tenure at Indiana.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-5\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7n\">So I got to thinking, how were Indiana and Miami, the two College Football Playoff finalists, ranked in last year\u2019s preseason polls? Did anybody list either of these teams in its top two? <\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s find out.<\/p>\n<p>Following is a list of several leading preseason polls. The first numerical rankings are their top two teams before the season began and the second is how they ranked Indiana and Miami in the preseason.<\/p>\n<p>The last section is the AP\u2019s final poll.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7q\">ESPN<br \/>Preseason top two:<br \/>1.) Texas<br \/>2.) Penn State <\/p>\n<p>How Indiana and Miami were ranked in the preseason: \u00a0<br \/>17.) Indiana<br \/>10.) Miami<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-7\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7t\">Lindy\u2019s<br \/>1.) Texas<br \/>2.) Georgia<br \/>31.) Indiana<br \/>10.) Miami<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-8\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7w\">Sporting News<br \/>1.) Texas<br \/>2.) Ohio State<br \/>25.) Indiana<br \/>10.) Miami<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-9\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7z\">So how did Phil Steele (the guru of college football) fare?<br \/>Phil Steele<br \/>1.) Penn State<br \/>2.) Clemson<br \/>20.) Indiana<br \/>10.) Miami<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-10\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"82\">What were the preseason rankings in the AP poll?<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"85\">The Associated Press<br \/>1.) Texas<br \/>2.) Ohio State<br \/>19.) Indiana<br \/>10.) Miami<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-12\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"88\">Based on those preseason rankings, no one came close to Indiana beating the Miami Hurricanes for the 2025 national championship.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-13\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8b\">The final AP top 10 teams on Jan. 20, 2026:<br \/>1.) Indiana<br \/>2.) Miami<br \/>3.) Ole Miss<br \/>4.) Oregon<br \/>5.) Georgia<br \/>6.) Ohio State<br \/>7.) Texas Tech<br \/>8.) Texas A&amp;M<br \/>9.) Alabama<br \/>10.) Notre Dame.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-14\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8e\">In the case of getting it wrong about Indiana, no one (except maybe Curt Cignetti) could have predicted the kind of year Hoosier QB Fernando Mendoza was going to have. (Mendoza, a transfer from the University of California, would also finish the year hoisting the Heisman Trophy.)<\/p>\n<p>And who knew Indiana\u2019s defense would be good enough to get the Hoosiers to the pinnacle of the college football world in \u201925?<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-15\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8h\">The point here is not to bash the magazines for not getting things right, but to say how difficult it is to predict how college football teams will perform in any given year. The portal, NIL and revenue sharing have made it nearly impossible to get it right. <\/p>\n<p>But we\u2019ll continue to buy the mags anyway, won\u2019t we?<\/p>\n<p>Who knows? Someday, someone might get it right.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-17\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8m\">Stay up to date on all things Huskers by bookmarking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/college\/nebraska\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Nebraska Cornhuskers On SI<\/a>, subscribing to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@huskermax1183\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">HuskerMax on YouTube<\/a> and visiting <a href=\"https:\/\/www.huskermax.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">HuskerMax.com<\/a> daily.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\" class=\"shrink-0\"\/>Add us as a preferred source on Google<a aria-label=\"Follow si.com on Google News\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=si.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"flex h-[30px] w-[30px] shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full bg-primary font-group-large text-sm font-medium text-white transition-colors hover:bg-secondary focus:bg-secondary md:w-auto md:gap-2.5 md:px-4 md:py-[5px]\">Follow<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"May and June are the months in which the college preseason magazines begin to appear on bookshelves across&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":637622,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[67],"tags":[399,398,396,397,99],"class_list":["post-637621","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ncaa-football","tag-football","tag-ncaa","tag-ncaa-football","tag-ncaafootball","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/637621","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=637621"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/637621\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/637622"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=637621"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=637621"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=637621"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}