{"id":641837,"date":"2026-05-14T02:58:10","date_gmt":"2026-05-14T02:58:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/641837\/"},"modified":"2026-05-14T02:58:10","modified_gmt":"2026-05-14T02:58:10","slug":"2026-pga-championship-odds-picks-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-predictions-by-model-that-nailed-17-majors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/641837\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 PGA Championship odds, picks: Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy predictions by model that nailed 17 majors"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The 2026 PGA Championship begins Thursday morning at 6:45 a.m. ET as Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pa., will host its second major ever. Scottie Scheffler dominated last year&#8217;s PGA Championship, winning by five strokes at Quail Hollow. He&#8217;ll look to become the fourth player in the stroke-play era to win back-to-back PGA Championships. History is on the line for others as well with Brooks Koepka looking to become the fourth player to ever win at least four PGA Championships, while Jordan Spieth is looking to complete the career Grand Slam.<\/p>\n<p>Scheffler is the +480 favorite in the 2026 PGA Championship odds, with Koepka at +3500 and Spieth at +5500. Rory McIlroy is looking to become the first golfer since 1975 to to win the Masters and the PGA Championship in one year, and he&#8217;s second on the PGA odds board at +950. Cameron Young (+1200) and Jon Rahm (+1500) are among the other top contenders. Before locking in any 2026 PGA Championship picks, be sure to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-pga-championship-odds-picks-advanced-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-predictions-for-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-cameron-young\/#ttag=05112026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipNames\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">see the 2026 PGA Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/martech.cbssports.com\/bt\/redirect\/prod?b=draftkings&amp;c=sport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"mtech-link\">Bet on the 2026 PGA Championship at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $100 instantly after a $5 bet<\/a>:\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>SportsLine&#8217;s proprietary <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/golf\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">golf betting<\/a> model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulates every PGA Tour event 10,000 times. This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters &#8212; its fifth Masters in a row &#8212; as well as last year&#8217;s PGA Championship and Open Championship.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Now that the 2026 PGA Championship field is locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-pga-championship-odds-picks-advanced-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-predictions-for-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-cameron-young\/#ttag=05112026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipNames\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>2026 PGA Championship predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Cameron Young<\/p>\n<p>One pick from the model for the PGA Championship 2026: Young (+1200), the No. 3 ranked golfer in the world who is also third on the odds board, stumbles and doesn&#8217;t even crack the top five. Young&#8217;s had a breakout season, winning the Players and then the Cadillac Championship earlier this month, but he hasn&#8217;t had nearly the same success at majors. He&#8217;s 0 for 19 in his major tournament career, with as many missed cuts (seven) as top-25 finishes. His results over his last three PGA Championship starts are 47th, 63rd and a missed cut.<\/p>\n<p>Young is on the short list for being the best ball striker on tour, with top 25 rankings in all of the major categories. However, putting is another story as he ranks 50th in strokes gained: putting. That could be an issue at Aronimink, which is a course that Young has no experience at. The Philly-area course is known for its fast, contoured putting surfaces, and that could undo all of the great work Young normally does when reaching the green. Given his such short golf odds, there are better players to utilize your PGA bets on.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/martech.cbssports.com\/bt\/redirect\/prod?b=fanduel&amp;c=sport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"mtech-link\">Sign up here to wager on the 2026 PGA Championship and earn $150 in bonus bets with a winning $5 wager at FanDuel:<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The model has also locked in its projection for Scheffler (+480), who could become the first back-to-back PGA champion since Tiger Woods (2006-07). After winning 13 tournaments over 2024 and 2025, Scheffler hasn&#8217;t quite kept pace this year. It began with a victory in his first start, but that remains his only win, while three other golfers have multiple victories in 2026. However, the World No. 1 still finds a way to seemingly always be in contention as he has six top 10s across his nine starts.<\/p>\n<p>Always contending is also the case with recent majors for Scheffler, who has finished in the top seven in each of his last six major tournaments. But he has no course experience with Aronimink as he will compete on it for the first time, and Scheffler&#8217;s underlying metrics haven&#8217;t kept up with his otherworldly 2025 form. Last year he led the tour in strokes gained: approach the green but sits 40th this year, as that will be something to keep an eye on at a course known for its fast greens.<\/p>\n<p>The model has also examined McIlroy&#8217;s (+950) chances of becoming the seventh golfer to win three PGA Championships. Since winning his second green jacket in a row, McIlroy has played in just one event and finished 19th at last week&#8217;s Truist Championship. Outside of the Masters, the Irishman has just one other top 10 finish on the season, but he clearly elevates his level of play at majors. He has a pair of top-3 finishes at the PGA Championship, in addition to his two victories, as his four top-3s here are tied for his most at any major.<\/p>\n<p>McIlroy has played Aronimink once before at the 2018 BMW Championship where he placed fifth with a score of 18-under-par. He struggled to break par at last year&#8217;s PGA Championship, doing so just once over four rounds as he finished in 47th place at 3-over. That came just one month after winning his first Masters, so it will be interesting to see how McIlroy does a month after winning his second Masters Tournament. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-pga-championship-odds-picks-advanced-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-predictions-for-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-cameron-young\/#ttag=05112026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipNames\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See the full PGA Championship projections from the model here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>How to make 2026 PGA Championship picks<\/p>\n<p>The model is also targeting several longshots, including one who is going off around 60-1.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-pga-championship-odds-picks-advanced-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-predictions-for-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-cameron-young\/#ttag=05112026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipNames\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">You can only see the model&#8217;s picks here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Who will win the 2026 PGA Championship, which longshots will stun the golfing world, and where will Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy finish? Check out the 2026 PGA Championship odds below and then <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-pga-championship-odds-picks-advanced-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-predictions-for-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-cameron-young\/#ttag=05112026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipNames\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that&#8217;s nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025, and five straight Masters<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>2026 PGA Championship odds, favorites\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-pga-championship-odds-picks-advanced-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-predictions-for-scottie-scheffler-rory-mcilroy-cameron-young\/#ttag=05112026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_PGAChampionshipNames\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Get full 2026 PGA Championship picks, best bets and predictions here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Odds via FanDuel (subject to change)<\/p>\n<p>Scottie Scheffler +480<br \/>Rory McIlroy +950<br \/>Cameron Young +1200<br \/>Jon Rahm +1500<br \/>Ludvig \u00c5berg +1600<br \/>Xander Schauffele +1800<br \/>Matt Fitzpatrick +2200<br \/>Bryson DeChambeau +2200<br \/>Tommy Fleetwood +2500<br \/>Brooks Koepka +3500<br \/>Collin Morikawa +4000<br \/>Patrick Cantlay +4000<br \/>Justin Rose +4500<br \/>Justin Thomas +5000<br \/>Rickie Fowler +5000<br \/>Min Woo Lee +5500<br \/>Jordan Spieth +5500<br \/>Sam Burns +5500<br \/>Russell Henley +5000<br \/>Chris Gotterup +5500<br \/>Viktor Hovland +5500<br \/>Adam Scott +6000<br \/>Si Woo Kim +6500<br \/>Nicolai H\u00f8jgaard +6000<br \/>J.J. Spaun +6000<br \/>Tyrrell Hatton +6000<br \/>Robert MacIntyre +7000<br \/>Patrick Reed +8000<br \/>Hideki Matsuyama +8000<br \/>Kurt Kitayama +8000<br \/>Maverick McNealy +8000<br \/>Sepp Straka +8000<br \/>Shane Lowry +10000<br \/>Joaquin Niemann +10000<br \/>Kristoffer Reitan +10000<br \/>Harris English +10000<br \/>Akshay Bhatia +10000<br \/>Ben Griffin +10000<br \/>Thomas Detry +10000<br \/>Alex Fitzpatrick +10000<br \/>Keegan Bradley +10000<br \/>Alex Smalley +10000<br \/>Jason Day +15000<br \/>Gary Woodland +12500<br \/>Matt McCarty +12500<br \/>David Puig +12500<br \/>Jacob Bridgeman +12500<br \/>Harry Hall +15000<br \/>Alex Noren +15000<br \/>Pierceson Coody +15000<br \/>Michael Thorbjornsen +15000<br \/>Sungjae Im +17500<br \/>Sahith Theegala +17500<br \/>Ryan Gerard +17500<br \/>Keith Mitchell +17500<br \/>Aaron Rai +17500<br \/>Nick Taylor +17500<br \/>Wyndham Clark +17500<br \/>Marco Penge +17500<br \/>Rasmus H\u00f8jgaard +17500<br \/>Corey Conners +17500<br \/>Haotong Li +22500<br \/>Samuel Stevens +22500<br \/>Ryo Hisatsune +22500<br \/>Max Homa +22500<br \/>Daniel Berger +22500<br \/>Brian Harman +22500<br \/>Sudarshan Yellamaraju +22500<br \/>Taylor Pendrith +25000<br \/>Ricky Castillo +25000<br \/>Dustin Johnson +25000<br \/>Jordan Smith +25000<br \/>Bud Cauley +25000<br \/>Matt Wallace +25000<br \/>Michael Brennan +25000<br \/>Tom McKibbin +35000<br \/>Ryan Fox +35000<br \/>Angel Ayora +35000<br \/>Christiaan Bezuidenhout +35000<br \/>Andrew Novak +35000<br \/>Stewart Cink +35000<br \/>J.T. Poston +35000<br \/>Cameron Smith +35000<br \/>Andrew Putnam +50000<br \/>Daniel Hillier +50000<br \/>Jayden Schaper +50000<br \/>Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +50000<br \/>Bernd Wiesberger +50000<br \/>Denny McCarthy +50000<br \/>Aldrich Potgieter +50000<br \/>Casey Jarvis +50000<br \/>Steven Fisk +50000<br \/>Richard Hoey +50000<br \/>Lucas Glover +50000<br \/>Max Greyserman +50000<br \/>Michael Kim +50000<br \/>Patrick Rodgers +50000<br \/>Max McGreevy +50000<br \/>Austin Smotherman +50000<br \/>Mikael Lindberg +50000<br \/>Nico Echavarria +50000<br \/>Stephan Jaeger +75000<br \/>Sami Valimaki +75000<br \/>Chris Kirk +75000<br \/>Billy Horschel +75000<br \/>John Parry +75000<br \/>Garrick Higgo +75000<br \/>Matti Schmid +75000<br \/>Ian Holt +100000<br \/>Tom Hoge +100000<br \/>Jimmy Walker +100000<br \/>Braden Shattuck +100000<br \/>Bryce Fisher +100000<br \/>Jhonattan Vegas +100000<br \/>Michael Block +100000<br \/>Y.E. Yang +100000<br \/>Luke Donald +100000<br \/>Johnny Keefer +100000<br \/>Ben Kern +100000<br \/>Elvis Smylie +100000<br \/>Timothy Wiseman +100000<br \/>Jared Jones +100000<br \/>Paul McClure +100000<br \/>Derek Berg +100000<br \/>Garrett Sapp +100000<br \/>Ryan Vermeer +100000<br \/>Dan Brown +100000<br \/>Adam Schenk +100000<br \/>Francisco Bid\u00e9 +100000<br \/>Austin Hurt +100000<br \/>Padraig Harrington +100000<br \/>Adrien Saddier +100000<br \/>Emiliano Grillo +100000<br \/>Martin Kaymer +100000<br \/>Kota Kaneko +100000<br \/>Ben Polland +100000<br \/>Brian Campbell +100000<br \/>Shaun Micheel +100000<br \/>Jason Dufner +100000<br \/>Jordan Gumberg +100000<br \/>David Lipsky +100000<br \/>William Mouw +100000<br \/>Michael Kartrude +100000<br \/>Joe Highsmith +100000<br \/>Mark Geddes +100000<br \/>Davis Riley +100000<br \/>Tyler Collet +100000<br \/>Chris Gabriele +100000<br \/>Andy Sullivan +100000<br \/>Zach Haynes +100000<br \/>Travis Smyth +100000<br \/>Ryan Lenahan +100000<br \/>Kazuki Higa +100000<br \/>Chandler Blanchet +100000<br \/>Jesse Droemer +100000<br \/>Brandt Snedeker +100000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The 2026 PGA Championship begins Thursday morning at 6:45 a.m. ET as Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":641838,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[272416,40534,277199,427,193771,36896,277198,274439,274300,274299,274301,201055,193769,201056,6082,277197,5758,99],"class_list":["post-641837","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-golf","tag-2026-pga-championship","tag-cameron-young","tag-cameron-young-pga","tag-golf","tag-golf-odds","tag-golf-picks","tag-mcilroy-pga-championship-picks","tag-pga-championship-2026","tag-pga-championship-odds","tag-pga-championship-picks","tag-pga-championship-predictions","tag-pga-odds","tag-pga-picks","tag-pga-predictions","tag-rory-mcilroy","tag-scheffler-pga-championship-picks","tag-scottie-scheffler","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/641837","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=641837"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/641837\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/641838"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=641837"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=641837"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=641837"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}