{"id":662743,"date":"2026-05-24T18:47:28","date_gmt":"2026-05-24T18:47:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/662743\/"},"modified":"2026-05-24T18:47:28","modified_gmt":"2026-05-24T18:47:28","slug":"state-actuary-4-billion-pension-transfer-raises-odds-of-future-taxpayer-bailouts-washington","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/662743\/","title":{"rendered":"State actuary: $4 billion pension transfer raises odds of future taxpayer bailouts | Washington"},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"ltr\">(The Center Square) &#8211; State pension officials warned Tuesday that a new law allowing the Legislature to pull nearly $4 billion from a retirement plan for first responders will significantly increase the likelihood of future taxpayer bailouts.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">State lawmakers created the Law Enforcement Officers\u2019 and Firefighters\u2019 Retirement System Plan 1, or\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.drs.wa.gov\/plan\/leoff1\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">LEOFF Plan 1<\/a>, in 1969 for individuals hired before October 1977. Roughly 80% is funded by taxpayers through the state general fund, with the other 20% split between local agencies and their employees.\u200b<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">The retirement plan became the target of state Democrats in 2025, as they faced a multi-billion-dollar budget deficit, but the majority party didn\u2019t pass\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/app.leg.wa.gov\/billsummary?BillNumber=2034&amp;Initiative=False&amp;Year=2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">House Bill 2034<\/a> until this year amid another shortfall.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u201cIf I were a member and I saw that funding drop that significantly, I would imagine that there&#8217;s going to be a lot of communication between them and us, saying, \u2018What are you doing?\u2019\u201d Anthony Murrieeta, representing employers on the Select Committee on Pension Policy, said during a meeting on Tuesday.\u200b<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u201cI really want to make sure that whatever is being done, those benefits are protected,\u201d Murrieeta said.\u200b<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">HB 2034, which every Republican and even some Democrats voted against, will\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/lawfilesext.leg.wa.gov\/biennium\/2025-26\/Pdf\/Bill%20Reports\/House\/2034-S2.E%20HBR%20FBR%2026.pdf?q=20260520090125\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">terminate<\/a> that pension plan on June 30, 2029 and transfer 110% of its projected benefit value into a new account. The plan is expected to hold\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/app.leg.wa.gov\/committeeschedules\/Home\/Document\/300415#toolbar=0&amp;navpanes=0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">$7.7 billion<\/a>, or roughly 226% of its outstanding liabilities, ahead of the 2029 transfer.\u200b<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">The law allows the state to pull an estimated $3.9 billion from the pension to spend in the general fund.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Many Republicans, such as Rep. Travis Courture, R-Allyn, who sits on the select committee but was not at Tuesday&#8217;s meeting, have repeatedly <a href=\"https:\/\/traviscouture.houserepublicans.wa.gov\/2026\/02\/16\/pensions-over-politics-rep-travis-couture-fights-the-4-billion-raid\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">called<\/a> the upcoming transfer in 2029 a $4 billion pension &#8220;raid.&#8221;\u00a0<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Murrieeta said the use of retirement benefits to fill the state\u2019s general fund shortfall raises \u201cred flags.\u201d<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">The committee reviewed a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/app.leg.wa.gov\/committeeschedules\/Home\/Document\/300416#toolbar=0&amp;navpanes=0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">fiscal note<\/a> from the Office of the State Actuary that showed the likelihood of an unfunded actuarial accrued liability, or UAAL, emerging by 2045 increased from 5% to 40% due to HB 2034. The analysis was based on 2,000 economic simulations with varying investment returns.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u201cThis represents the risk of required UAAL payments by the state increasing by a factor of roughly 8 (or eightfold) over this 20-year timeframe,\u201d according to the fiscal note\u2019s analysis of the simulations.\u200b<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Murrieeta questioned whether leaving the reinstated pension plan at 110% of its projected liabilities, just a 10% cushion, would be adequate to fund the retirement benefits of thousands of aging retirees.\u200b<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Sen. Steve Conway, D-Tacoma, said that\u2019s a \u201cfair\u201d concern, and noted there will be additional reviews.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Actuary Michael Harbour said the $3.9 billion that HB 2034 allows the state to use in the general fund assumes an inflation rate of 2.75% and an investment return of 7.25%. If inflation is only 1.75%, the figure rises to $4.2 billion; but if inflation reaches 3.75%, the transfer will fall to $3.7 billion by 2029.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Similarly, if LEOFF Plan 1 investment returns only amount to 2.25%, the estimated transfer will drop even further to $2.5 billion; if returns are 12.25%, the $3.9 billion figure will increase to $5.7 billion.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u201cFor each of these scenarios, we&#8217;re only changing one variable or assumption at a time, and the actual results could fall outside of these ranges that we identified,\u201d Harbour explained; \u201cIn other words, if you are relying on that $3.9 billion for budgeting purposes, please be aware of the potential uncertainty.\u201d<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Harbour confirmed that nothing will come out of the LEOFF Plan 1 until 2029, and that the Office of the State Actuary will continue reviewing its projections and making adjustments over the next few years.\u200b<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">A group of retirees, including Dave Reichert, a former congressman and King County Sheriff who lost a 2024 gubernatorial bid to Gov. Bob Ferguson, has filed a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thecentersquare.com\/washington\/article_953f1e80-54f0-4610-8d2c-11f7964cb659.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">lawsuit<\/a> seeking to block the transfer in 2029.\u200b<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u201cI would say to anyone that has a public pension, teachers or public employees, you could well be next,&#8221; Reichert told The Center Square in an interview a few weeks ago after filing the lawsuit.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"(The Center Square) &#8211; State pension officials warned Tuesday that a new law allowing the Legislature to pull&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":662744,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[39],"tags":[28,101,257,147,530,2002],"class_list":["post-662743","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-personal-finance","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-general","tag-personal-finance","tag-personalfinance","tag-washington"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662743","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=662743"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662743\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/662744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=662743"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=662743"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=662743"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}