{"id":67777,"date":"2025-08-08T14:24:51","date_gmt":"2025-08-08T14:24:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/67777\/"},"modified":"2025-08-08T14:24:51","modified_gmt":"2025-08-08T14:24:51","slug":"how-will-rigetti-computing-stock-react-to-its-upcoming-earnings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/67777\/","title":{"rendered":"How Will Rigetti Computing Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ:RGTI)<\/a> is scheduled to report its earnings on Tuesday, August 12, 2025. Historically, the stock has a higher probability of a negative one-day return following its earnings report. Over the past five years, RGTI stock has experienced a negative one-day return in 57% of these instances. The median one-day loss was -6.9%, with the maximum one-day negative return being -14.6%.<\/p>\n

For event-driven traders, historical patterns can offer an advantage. You can use this information in two ways:<\/p>\n

Position yourself before the earnings release, based on the historical odds.
\nPosition yourself after the earnings release, by analyzing the correlation between immediate and medium-term returns.<\/p>\n

While much will depend on how the company\u2019s results compare to analyst expectations, it is important to note that Rigetti is an early-stage quantum technology company that is not yet profitable. Analysts project that Rigetti\u2019s Q2 results will show a contraction, with an expected revenue of approximately $1.87 million and a net loss of $0.04 per share. This represents a decline in revenue from $3.09 million in the prior-year quarter, although the net loss has improved from $0.09 per share.<\/p>\n

Looking at fundamentals, the company\u2019s current market capitalization is $4.5 billion. Over the last twelve months, Rigetti generated $9.2 million in revenue<\/a> but was not profitable, with an operating loss of -$74 million<\/a> and a net loss of -$138 million<\/a>.<\/p>\n

That said, if you seek upside with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio<\/a> presents an alternative \u2014 having outperformed the S&P 500 and generated returns exceeding 91% since its inception. Separately, see \u2013 The Trade Desk: Buy TTD Stock Now At $65?<\/a><\/p>\n

See earnings reaction history of all stocks<\/a><\/p>\n

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Image by This_is_Engineering from Pixabay<\/p>\n

Rigetti Computing\u2019s Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return<\/p>\n

Some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:<\/p>\n

There are 15 earnings data points recorded over the last five years, with 6 positive and 9 negative one-day (1D) returns observed. In summary, positive 1D returns were seen about 40% of the time.
\nNotably, this percentage increases to 42% if we consider data for the last 3 years instead of 5.
\nMedian of the 6 positive returns = 7.8%, and median of the 9 negative returns = -6.9%<\/p>\n

Additional data for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns post earnings are summarized along with the statistics in the table below. Related \u2013 Why Is Rigetti Stock Soaring 70%?<\/a><\/p>\n

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RGTI 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return<\/p>\n

Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns<\/p>\n

A relatively less risky strategy (though not useful if the correlation is low) is to understand the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post earnings, find a pair that has the highest correlation, and execute the appropriate trade. For example, if 1D and 5D show the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves \u201clong\u201d for the next 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Here is some correlation data based on a 5-year and a 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns. Also, see \u2013 Can Rigetti Computing Stock See Another Tenfold Increase?<\/a><\/p>\n

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RGTI Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns<\/p>\n

Learn more about Trefis RV strategy<\/a> that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (combination of all 3, the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), to produce strong returns for investors. Separately, if you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock like Rigetti Computing, consider the High Quality portfolio<\/a>, which has outperformed the S&P and clocked >91% returns since inception.<\/p>\n

Invest with\u00a0Trefis\u00a0Market-Beating Portfolios<\/a><\/p>\n

See all\u00a0Trefis\u00a0Price Estimates<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ:RGTI) is scheduled to report its earnings on Tuesday, August 12, 2025. Historically, the stock has…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":67778,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[191,6059,49436,49438,49435,49437,74],"class_list":{"0":"post-67777","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-computing","8":"tag-computing","9":"tag-ionq","10":"tag-ionq-stock","11":"tag-rgti","12":"tag-rgti-stock","13":"tag-rgti-valuation","14":"tag-technology"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67777","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67777"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67777\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/67778"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67777"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67777"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67777"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}