![\"Argentina's](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SR_26.06.02_world-cup_featured.png\")
Argentina\u2019s Lionel Messi lifts the World Cup trophy following his team\u2019s victory against France in the final match of the Qatar 2022 World Cup on Dec. 18, 2022. (Franck Fife\/AFP via Getty Images)<\/p>\nArgentina\u2019s Lionel Messi lifts the World Cup trophy following his team\u2019s victory against France in the final match of the Qatar 2022 World Cup on Dec. 18, 2022. (Franck Fife\/AFP via Getty Images)<\/p>\n
Before the men\u2019s soccer World Cup<\/a> kicks off on June 11 in the United States, Mexico and Canada, we asked 3,507 Americans how likely they are to follow the competition and who they think will win.<\/p>\n Overall, most Americans (66%) say they are not too or not at all likely to follow the competition. However, 28% say they are at least somewhat likely to follow it, including 14% who say they are very or extremely likely to do so.<\/p>\n We fielded this survey in March, nearly three months before the tournament begins, so interest in the World Cup might look different closer to the tournament. But these results are broadly consistent with a 2023 Pew Research Center survey<\/a> that found that many Americans don\u2019t follow sports closely.<\/p>\n About this research<\/p>\n This Pew Research Center analysis explores Americans\u2019 interest in the men\u2019s soccer World Cup and who they expect to win.<\/p>\n Why did we do this?<\/p>\n The Center does high-quality research to inform the public, journalists and decision-makers. Studying views of the upcoming World Cup fits with our long-standing research on Americans\u2019 preferences when it comes to entertainment<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0leisure<\/a>.<\/p>\n Learn more about Pew Research Center<\/a>.<\/p>\n How did we do this?<\/p>\n We surveyed 3,507 adults from March 23 to 29, 2026. Everyone who took part is a member of the Center\u2019s American Trends Panel<\/a>. The survey represents the views of the full U.S. adult population.<\/p>\n Here are our survey questions<\/a>, the detailed responses<\/a> and our survey methodology<\/a>.<\/p>\n Terminology<\/p>\n The term\u00a0immigrants\u00a0refers to respondents born outside the 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia or Puerto Rico. When the data is available, this group also includes people born outside these places to parents born outside these places.<\/p>\n The term\u00a0U.S. born\u00a0refers to respondents born in the 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia or Puerto Rico. When the data is available, this group also includes those born elsewhere to at least one parent who was born in the 50 U.S. states, D.C. or Puerto Rico.<\/p>\n Who do Americans predict will win the World Cup?<\/p>\n Spain, Brazil and Argentina are among top World Cup winner predictions<\/p>\n Among U.S. adults who say they are somewhat\/very\/extremely likely to follow the World Cup, % who say they think __ will win the 2026 World Cup<\/p>\n Note: Open-ended question. Teams mentioned in fewer than 2% of responses are not shown.<\/p>\n Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted March 23-29, 2026.<\/p>\n PEW RESEARCH CENTER<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t\t\t\tShare on X<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t\t\t\tShare on Facebook<\/p>\n Spain, Brazil and Argentina are among top World Cup winner predictions<\/p>\n Among U.S. adults who say they are somewhat\/very\/extremely likely to follow the World Cup, % who say they think __ will win the 2026 World Cup<\/p>\n Team%Spain9Brazil8Argentina8U.S.7France7Germany4Portugal3Mexico3England2Not sure41<\/p>\n Note: Open-ended question. Teams mentioned in fewer than 2% of responses are not shown.<\/p>\n Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted March 23-29, 2026.<\/p>\n PEW RESEARCH CENTER<\/p>\n ChartData<\/p>\n Download ImageShare<\/p>\n Among the 28% of Americans who are at least somewhat likely to follow the games, there is no consensus on who will win. In an open-ended question, a large share (41%) said they are unsure of who they think will win, and those who offered a prediction are divided.<\/p>\n Around one-in-ten (9%) of those planning to watch the men\u2019s World Cup say they expect Spain to win. That would be the country\u2019s second title.<\/p>\n Another 8% expect Argentina to repeat as the champion. And the same share say Brazil will win, which would be its sixth title.<\/p>\n France received 7% of responses, and another 7% predict the U.S. will win its first men\u2019s World Cup.<\/p>\n Smaller shares predicted that Germany, Mexico, Portugal or England will win.<\/p>\n Who is planning to follow the World Cup?<\/p>\n Immigrants are more than twice as likely as U.S.-born adults to follow the World Cup<\/p>\n % who say they are somewhat\/very\/extremely likely to follow the 2026 World Cup<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t\t\t * Estimates for Asian adults are representative of English speakers only. Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted March 23-29, 2026.<\/p>\n PEW RESEARCH CENTER<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t\t\t\tShare on X<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t\t\t\tShare on Facebook<\/p>\n Immigrants are more than twice as likely as U.S.-born adults to follow the World Cup<\/p>\n % who say they are somewhat\/very\/extremely likely to follow the 2026 World Cup<\/p>\n Group%GroupingTotal28TotalMen33GenderWomen24GenderWhite23RaceHispanic42RaceBlack29RaceAsian*44RaceAges 18-2931Age30-4931Age50-6428Age65+22AgeU.S. born23OriginImmigrant54Origin<\/p>\n * Estimates for Asian adults are representative of English speakers only. Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted March 23-29, 2026.<\/p>\n PEW RESEARCH CENTER<\/p>\n ChartData<\/p>\n Download ImageShare<\/p>\n Although most Americans are unlikely to follow the World Cup, about three-in-ten expect to follow it. Some groups are more likely than others to say this.<\/p>\n For instance, men are slightly more likely than women to say they are at least somewhat likely to follow the tournament. Adults ages 18 to 64 are also more likely than those 65 and older to say they\u2019ll follow it.<\/p>\n Additionally, Hispanic and Asian Americans are more likely than White and Black Americans to say they\u2019ll pay attention to the tournament. And immigrants (54%) are much more likely than U.S.-born adults (23%) to say this.<\/p>\n Related: By a wide margin, Americans say football \u2013 not baseball \u2013 is \u2018America\u2019s sport\u2019<\/a><\/p>\n Note: Here are our survey questions<\/a>, the detailed responses<\/a> and our survey methodology<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Argentina\u2019s Lionel Messi lifts the World Cup trophy following his team\u2019s victory against France in the final match…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":679993,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[23,3,21,19,22,20,25,24],"class_list":["post-679992","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-united-states","tag-america","tag-news","tag-united-states","tag-united-states-of-america","tag-unitedstates","tag-unitedstatesofamerica","tag-us","tag-usa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/679992","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=679992"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/679992\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/679993"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=679992"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=679992"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=679992"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SR_26.05.00_WorldSoccer_Update310px-copy@2x.png\")
<\/p>\n![\"Chart\"](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/immigrants_are_more_than_twice_as_likely_as_us-born_adults_to_follow_the_world_cup-302375-1780407810.png\")
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Note: White, Black and Asian adults include those who report being only one race and are not Hispanic. Hispanics are of any race.<\/p>\n
Note: White, Black and Asian adults include those who report being only one race and are not Hispanic. Hispanics are of any race.<\/p>\n