{"id":683295,"date":"2026-06-04T05:44:18","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T05:44:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/683295\/"},"modified":"2026-06-04T05:44:18","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T05:44:18","slug":"ten-predictions-for-sunny-mehtas-first-offseason-as-devils-general-manager","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/683295\/","title":{"rendered":"Ten Predictions For Sunny Mehta\u2019s First Offseason as Devils General Manager"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Note: These predictions are mine and mine alone, and do not necessarily reflect the views of any of the other AATJ staff.<\/p>\n<p>The Devils and Nico Hischier Agree To a Contract Extension<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.allaboutthejersey.com\/devils-issues-views-and-ge\/66534\/nico-hischiers-future-has-an-impact-on-everything-going-forward\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">As I\u2019ve said before<\/a>, the most important piece of business for the Devils this summer is to get Nico Hischier to agree to a contract extension.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">From a Devils perspective, it makes too much sense. Hischier is a jack-of-all trades player for this roster in that his hand is in everything. He plays in all situations. He is tasked with shutting down the opposition\u2019s top line defensively. He takes a physical pounding year after year. He plays hurt. He takes every important faceoff for the team. And while he does all of that, he chips in his 25+ goals and 70-ish points per season.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">There is already a lack of quality, top-six caliber centers in this league. The reason why simply allowing Hischier to leave isn\u2019t an option is that players like him are more difficult to replace than your run of the mill middle six winger. You can\u2019t just go out in the free agency market and pluck a top-six center that does everything from the non-existent center tree that they don\u2019t grow from. Mehta is smart enough to know that if he loses Hischier, he\u2019ll spend the next half decade trying to replace him.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Of course, this may or may not be up to Mehta in the first place. Hischier has leverage as he\u2019s entering a contract year, and it remains to be seen what he wants. If he decides he\u2019s ready for a change, there\u2019s not much that Mehta or the Devils can probably do to change his mind. But there is familiarity with Mehta from his time previously in the organization. Mehta is a sharp mind, and I don\u2019t doubt that he\u2019ll have a vision for where this organization is in the not too distant future.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Much like everything else in this article, this is a guess on my part, but now that the dust has settled from the 2025-26 season and emotions aren\u2019t so raw, I think Mehta will get that buy-in from the Devils captain and he signs an extension sometime this offseason. Maybe it\u2019ll be an extension in the same vein as Connor McDavid or Auston Matthews where it\u2019s short-term and puts the onus on the organization to figure out how to build a legitimately Stanley Cup contender in that timeframe. Maybe he decides he\u2019s very comfortable with the direction of the franchise and is willing to sign up for max term. Maybe it won\u2019t necessarily be done on July 1 and is instead done on October 1.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Regardless, I think it gets done.<\/p>\n<p>The Devils Keep The 12th Overall Pick in the 2026 NHL Draft<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">I understand why <a href=\"https:\/\/www.allaboutthejersey.com\/2026-devils-offseason\/69834\/could-the-new-jersey-devils-trade-their-first-round-pick-for-more-immediate-help\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the idea of trading the 2026 first round pick is a popular one<\/a>. The Devils need help on the NHL roster now, and Mehta is coming from a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhltradetracker.com\/user\/trade_list_by_GM\/Bill_Zito\/307\/1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Florida team that was aggressive in trading draft picks<\/a> to acquire players who could help them win sooner rather than later. Florida had previously traded a 2nd and Emil Heineman for Sam Bennett, a 1st and Devon Levi for Sam Reinhart, a 1st for Ben Chiarot, a 1st, 3rd and Owen Tippett for Claude Giroux, and a 1st, Jonathan Huberdeau, and MacKenzie Weegar for Matthew Tkachuk.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">I don\u2019t doubt that Mehta will be aggressive when it comes to trading draft picks for players. But I also think that Mehta will want to build this team for long-term success, and part of that is continuing to build through the draft.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">The Devils biggest need in their organizational pipeline is game-breaking forwards. They do have some interesting forwards who might eventually carve out a role in their middle or bottom six at the NHL level, but there are no forwards currently in the pipeline that I\u2019m confident will be a top-six caliber player that drives play and scores consistently. Blame the draft whiffs on Alex Holtz and Chase Stillman if you want, and blame the team trading futures and having less draft picks in general with which to take those swings, but it\u2019s all the more reason why they need to look at that area when they\u2019re on the clock.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">The best course of action for the Devils is to identify forwards who, within a year or two of being drafted, can step into their NHL lineup and contribute. It will require a little bit of patience, but forwards historically develop much faster than defensemen and goaltenders and are more likely to be contributors in their age 19, 20, and 21 seasons.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">If recent history is any indicator, the Devils should be able to get a quality player at 12th overall. Anton Lundell, Matthew Boldy, and Martin Necas went in that slot in their respective draft years. The Devils would need to buck their recent trend of questionable draft choices, and it might take Mehta taking matters into his own hands rather than relying on the braintrust and amateur scouting department he is inheriting. But I do think Mehta will play the long-game and that begins with replenishing the forward pipeline via the draft.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Of course, there are other ways to get forwards who can help the team immediately, which we\u2019ll get into later.<\/p>\n<p>The Devils Don\u2019t Trade Dougie Hamilton<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">I felt for most of last season that Dougie Hamilton\u2019s days as a New Jersey Devil were numbered.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">There had been rumblings dating back to last offseason about how the Devils were shopping him, only for Hamilton to reject a trade to San Jose. Last season played out, and I was certain that the healthy scratch slash benching was going to be the catalyst for Hamilton to ultimately waive his no-trade clause and accept a deal. Add in Hamilton adopting the radio silence approach when it comes to dealing with the media and it was one of those situations that just felt inevitable. Hamilton had already played his final game as a Devil.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">That may ultimately still be the case, but I have a suspicion that Hamilton will still be a Devil come Opening Night in October.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">For starters, I still think there are a lot of roadblocks to a potential Hamilton trade. Even noting that the \u201creal dollars\u201d owed to him after July 1, 2026 is relatively miniscule, a $9M AAV cap hit for two more years is still a big number for teams to try to fit in. Add in that he has a 10-team trade list, AKA a 21-team no trade list, and Hamilton still has plenty of control over his situation, as is his contractual right. Odds are, he\u2019s not going to leave unless he signs off on leaving.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Add in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7313162\/2026\/05\/28\/nhl-offseason-trade-board-trocheck-knies-robertson\/?utm_medium=social&amp;utm_campaign=twhq&amp;source=twitterhq\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Chris Johnston leaving Dougie Hamilton off of The Athletic\u2019s Trade Board entirely<\/a> and the situation gives me pause.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Hamilton has his flaws as a player, but generally speaking, the puck is going in the right direction when its on his stick. The Devils don\u2019t have a lot of options on the backend who are capable of generating offense, and the biggest issue with the Devils last season was their inability to put the puck in the back of the net. There\u2019s certainly an argument to be made that the Devils still could use a player like Hamilton, and as Johnston mentioned on a recent podcast, he might be the type of player who has the analytical profile that Sunny Mehta is looking for. Mehta doesn\u2019t have to go looking for the next Dougie Hamilton right now when he already has Dougie Hamilton at home and bigger fish to fry this summer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">I don\u2019t think Hamilton is necessarily untouchable, and I get the argument to the contrary that his $9M AAV could be better used elsewhere. But I think its more likely the Devils trade a different RHD this summer.<\/p>\n<p>The Devils Trade Simon Nemec for a Top Six Forward (Or the Assets To Go Get One)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">I don\u2019t know how attached Mehta is going to be to anyone on this Devils roster, but I certainly don\u2019t think \u201crunning it back\u201d is going to fly either. There will be changes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">How many changes will likely be dependant upon what, if anything, he can do with the various players who have some sort of no-trade protection that he has inherited from previous GM Tom Fitzgerald. But there are players who don\u2019t have any protection who I think could be on the move and one of them is Simon Nemec.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">For what its worth, I think Nemec\u2019s issues are mostly of the \u201ccoachable\u201d variety and my preference would be to keep him rather than trade him. But the reality of the situation is that he\u2019s up for a contract, his name has been out there before on the trading block under the previous regime, and Mehta didn\u2019t draft him. He also still has value as trade chip, and its possible that Mehta decides the time to cash that chip in is now.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">I don\u2019t think Nemec is a finished product as a player, but if Mehta isn\u2019t sold on him being a top-pairing RHD, it would make sense to move on from him now while he\u2019s still a valuable trade asset. Nemec does play a premium position and he does enough things well that there would be interest in him on the market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">I\u2019m not saying they should trade Nemec for some 30-year old winger who is already in his decline. I don\u2019t know if the supposed \u201cMatthew Knies for Nemec plus\u201d trade is still an option after Toronto won the draft lottery. But I do know if I were Mehta, I\u2019d be looking to make my version of the Jamie Drysdale for Cutter Gauthier trade. And I suspect there\u2019s at least one team out there not entirely pleased with a recent top six forward draft pick where that kind of swap could make sense.<\/p>\n<p>The Devils Trade Dawson Mercer, likely with Nemec, to Upgrade at Forward<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">In regards to Dawson Mercer, he\u2019s become a player you can pencil in for around 20 goals per season, but his average of 37 points per season the last three years is well below what you\u2019d expect from a forward who has played in every game of every season to this point of his career and has consistently had a top six role the last couple seasons. It\u2019s not that he\u2019s a bad player, but its one of those things where if you\u2019re going to improve your top six, you need to look at the weaker links in said top six for more production to find those areas to improve. In the Devils case, it would be finding a more consistently productive player than Mercer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Mercer is entering the final season of his contract (making $4M AAV) before hitting RFA once again, and ideally, he\u2019s probably better suited to be the 8th or 9th best forward on a good hockey team than the 4th or 5th that he currently is on the Devils. I\u2019m not necessarily opposed to keeping Mercer if the idea is to find another top six RW to slot in over him and move Mercer down to the third line, but I\u2019m also not opposed to the idea of using Mercer in a trade to get a better top six forward and seeing if someone like Lenni Hameenaho can grow into that third line role.<\/p>\n<p>The Devils Will Trade One Of Jonas Siegenthaler or Brenden Dillon<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">If you read my articles around the trade deadline, you\u2019ll know that one of the themes I\u2019ve been on is how the Devils need to shake up their blueline. Moving one (or both) of Hamilton and Nemec would certainly be a start to that, but if they go down that road, they\u2019re moving off of some of the few defensemen who can move the puck and\/or create offense.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">You could argue this would be a balance to that. I think the Devils move one of their defensive defenseman as well, with the intention of filling the open roster spots with players who better fit what Mehta envisions moving forward.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Contracts matter though, and while I\u2019m sure Mehta would love to move off of the four years remaining on Johnathan Kovacevic\u2019s (and perhaps even Brett Pesce\u2019s) contract, those players do have a full NTC for this season. Luke Hughes isn\u2019t going anywhere, nor should he. So what options does that leave? The two veteran defensive defensemen with light trade protection in Siegenthaler and Dillon.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Siegenthaler, who turned 29 earlier this month, has been with the Devils for parts of six seasons. He has shown to be a very good defensive defenseman when he\u2019s healthy. He has 2 years left on his deal at $3.4M AAV and a ten-team no-trade list. It\u2019s not like Siegenthaler has a contract that is problematic, but he is what he is as a player.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">As for Dillon, he\u2019s a bit older as he\u2019s entering his age 36 season next year. He has one year at $4M AAV left on his deal. Dillon has been a good veteran presence on this roster and $4M is a fair price for what he brings as a player. He also has a 10-team no-trade list.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Neither Siegenthaler nor Dillon will contribute much offensively. It\u2019s just not who they are as players.<\/p>\n<p>The Devils Buy Out Maxim Tsyplakov But Hold On to Stefan Noesen<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Tsyplakov came over to the Devils in the Ondrej Palat trade, and while he was ok in a fourth line role, he is a bit overpriced at $2.25M AAV for next season. For a team that doesn\u2019t have a ton of cap space to begin with but does have a bunch of fourth liner types who could push for a roster spot, I could see him being the odd man out.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Ideally, the Devils would flip Tsyplakov to another team that values what he brings to the table. Tsyplakov doesn\u2019t have any trade protection, unless you consider the fact he\u2019s an overpaid fourth liner to be his trade protection. But at the end of the day, he\u2019s another player that Mehta is inheriting that he didn\u2019t pick for this roster, and I would expect that Mehta would value the $1.5M in cap savings more than anything Tsyplakov can do on the ice.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">As for Noesen, I think he\u2019s a guy the Devils keep as they let him play out his contract. Or at least start the season with the Devils.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Obviously, injuries have hampered Noesen as last season was more or less a complete washout for him. But he does bring some things to the table this team needs. He has a willingness to go netfront and score greasy goals. He plays an abrasive style of hockey. We saw in 2024-25 how well he can fit into Sheldon Keefe\u2019s system and what the Devils are trying to do. Regardless, I don\u2019t think Noesen has much trade value right this second, and the Devils are still going to need players to play for them at the end of the day. I\u2019m going to guess he stays.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Perhaps it doesn\u2019t work out, the injuries are just too much, and he\u2019s physically shot at 33 years old. Or perhaps it does and Noesen is either a valuable depth piece or he plays his way into becoming a valuable piece to flip at the trade deadline. Either way, there\u2019s enough upside there where its worth trying.<\/p>\n<p>The Devils Sign LW A.J. Greer<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Devils fans should be familiar with Greer, as he came to the Devils in the trade that sent Kyle Palmieri and Travis Zajac to the Islanders back in 2021. For whatever reason, Greer was unable to break through and crack a Devils roster in 2021-22 that saw the need to play Mason Geertsen 25 times, so he spent most of his time as a Devil in the AHL.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Of course, it was after Greer left New Jersey that he established himself as a pest and an NHL regular. After making stops in Boston and Calgary, he landed in Florida where he was a depth piece for Florida\u2019s championship team in 2024-25. He followed that up with an unexpected 17 goal, 15 assist season this past year before heading into free agency once again.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">I\u2019m sure some people reading this knowing the Devils need more skill are rolling their eyes at the suggestion of adding another grit and sandpaper type of player. But I also view this as a situation where Mehta has an affinity for the player and it being plausible that he goes after him on July 1. Mehta went as far as to mention Greer by name in one of his media availabilities, albeit in the context of Greer wanting a copy of Mehta\u2019s poker strategy book.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">The moneyball, analytics-based approach, at least in theory, would be that rather than paying Greer market value, Mehta identifies the next Greer at a fraction of the cost. And maybe that\u2019s what he indeed decides to do. But I don\u2019t think signing Greer is the type of move that breaks your budget in the first place, and I think if the bidding for his services got to the point where we\u2019re talking 3-4 years or better than Stefan Noesen money, I\u2019d take the bet that he doesn\u2019t shoot 16.3% again or score 17 goals again.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">That said, I do think he\u2019d be an upgrade over most of the fourth line wingers the Devils have trotted out there the last few years. And Mehta wouldn\u2019t be the first person who brings in people that he is familiar with from his previous stop.<\/p>\n<p>The Devils Add a Goaltender on July 1st | The Devils Utilize the Second Buyout Window to Buy Out Jacob Markstrom<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.allaboutthejersey.com\/2026-devils-offseason\/69374\/is-a-goalie-move-in-the-cards-this-summer-for-the-devils?commentID=e17e9226-e4b1-45d2-8faf-110319cc27e5\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tim wrote the other day about whether a goaltending move is in the cards<\/a>. I don\u2019t know if it actually is in the cards, but looking at the Devils situation, it might make sense to move on from one of the biggest mistakes of the Tom Fitzgerald era.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Trading for Jacob Markstrom was one thing. Tom Fitzgerald rushing to hand him a 2-year contract extension at $6M AAV when he had yet to show last season that he was capable of playing well <a href=\"https:\/\/www.allaboutthejersey.com\/devils-business\/62485\/the-timing-with-the-jacob-markstrom-extension-talks-makes-no-sense\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">was a questionable move at the time<\/a>. Markstrom proceeded to turn in one of the worst seasons of his NHL career.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">It was the type of move that if that wasn\u2019t a fireable offense, then there is no such thing as a fireable offense for Tom Fitzgerald. David Blitzer might not have specifically cited the Markstrom contract as THE reason why the Devils moved on from Fitzgerald, but it\u2019s certainly a part of the equation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">In comes Sunny Mehta, and one of the first moves he made was moving on from beleaguered goaltending coach Dave Rogalski. This made sense, as Rogalski was on the job for far too long with far too few results to point to to justify continuing to go down that road. Making a change there and literally trying anything different is justifiable.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">That said, Mehta is ultimately going to be judged as Devils general manager on wins and losses. The clock starts for Mehta on Opening Night in October.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">If there are ANY reservations on Mehta\u2019s part in regards to Markstrom\u2019s ability to bounce back, why would he stick his neck out for an aging goaltending that he didn\u2019t trade for and he didn\u2019t sign to said extension? Why would he do that when at the end of the day, Mehta is going to be judged on the games that Markstrom either is or isn\u2019t winning? He\u2019s already clearly seen something he didn\u2019t like with the goaltending that they moved on from Rogalski, so why stop there?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">I took it a step further in the comments section of Tim\u2019s post.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup _1bij9g78 _1mt21p01\">Is Jacob Markstrom still one of the best 32 goaltenders in the NHL to where he should be a starter?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup _1bij9g78 _1mt21p01\">It\u2019s debatable but I would say probably not.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup _1bij9g78 _1mt21p01\">In fact, among goaltenders who played at least 30 games (51 qualifiers), he\u2019s 43rd in GSAx, 45th in save percentage, 39th in GAA, and 44th in wins above replacement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup _1bij9g78 _1mt21p01\">He\u2019s 50th in low danger unblocked save percentage, so he\u2019s definitely not stopping the softies. But he\u2019s also 41st in high danger unblocked save percentage, meaning he\u2019s not stopping the tougher shots either.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup _1bij9g78 _1mt21p01\">Is Markstrom one of the best 64 goaltenders in the NHL where he should have a guaranteed roster spot?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup _1bij9g78 _1mt21p01\">Again, debatable, but I\u2019d say probably not.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup _1bij9g78 _1mt21p01\">If I lower that games played threshold to 10 games, which basically covers all backups and anyone from the AHL who got some run due to injury (72 qualifiers), Markstrom is 62nd in GSAx, 58th in save percentage, 48th in GAA, and 63rd in WAR. He\u2019s 69th in low danger save unblocked save percentage and 53rd in high danger unblocked save percentage. (all stats courtesy of MoneyPuck, by the way)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Does that sound like a no-doubt-about it, unquestioned #1 NHL goaltender to you? Because it doesn\u2019t to me, and I doubt it will for Mehta as well.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Is it possible Markstrom is better next season? Of course its possible. He\u2019s also a 36 year old goaltender who will turn 37 next season and its possible this is just what he is at this point.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">If I were Mehta, do I want to be saddled with the mistakes from the previous administration? Or do I want to cut my losses now, save $2.75M against the cap, and take my chances looking elsewhere for an acceptable solution when I\u2019m going to be judged on wins and losses starting on Day 1?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">Taking on dead cap space in future years isn\u2019t ideal. But neither is having a sunk cost at $6M AAV costing you games in the here and now. So I know which one I would pick.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">I lump these two predictions together as the former will likely be an indicator for the latter.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1upudxki _174s0un1 _174s0un0 _1mt21p01\">If the Devils were to sign a UFA goaltender or swing a trade for a younger option like Devon Levi, Sebastian Cossa, Jesper Wallstedt, or whoever, that\u2019s probably a pretty strong indicator that Mehta is likely to move on from Markstrom and pair the incoming netminder with Jake Allen.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Note: These predictions are mine and mine alone, and do not necessarily reflect the views of any of&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":683296,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[66],"tags":[48326,385,99,48327],"class_list":["post-683295","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nhl","tag-devils-issues","tag-nhl","tag-sports","tag-views-analysis"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/683295","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=683295"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/683295\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/683296"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=683295"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=683295"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=683295"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}