{"id":736788,"date":"2026-07-01T11:37:21","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T11:37:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/736788\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T11:37:21","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T11:37:21","slug":"a-well-balanced-us-labor-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/736788\/","title":{"rendered":"A Well-Balanced US Labor Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"w-full object-cover rounded-theme aspect-[16\/9] bg-bgr-tone\" loading=\"eager\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/photo-1768839724944-6f7101c5a4da.jpeg\" alt=\"A Well-Balanced US Labor Market\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The stock prices of ADP, Paychex, and ManpowerGroup sold off sharply\u00a0last year\u00a0as hiring cooled. Employers froze their headcounts\u00a0as they assessed\u00a0the impacts\u00a0of Trump&#8217;s tariffs and of AI technologies on their businesses (chart). On May 8, we wrote that the labor market was showing early signs of improvement and that employment-related stocks may have bottomed. So far, so good.<\/p>\n<p>Employers\u00a0now\u00a0seem to have a clearer, more optimistic sense of the economic outlook. As a result, payroll employment growth has improved in recent months and should continue to do so. Employment-related stocks still have room to run in this scenario.<\/p>\n<p>We expect the June employment report (released on Thursday) to show a gain of 188,000, matching the three-month average through May, with the unemployment rate remaining at 4.3%.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gateway-328.png\" class=\"kg-image\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>            Join thousands who rely on QuickTakes<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0 0 1rem 0; opacity: 0.9;\">Unlock the rest of this QuickTakes post \u2014 plus all premium content<\/p>\n<p>                \u2713 5\u20138 market-moving QuickTakes each week (vs 1\u20133 on free)<br \/>\n                \u2713 Weekly video commentary from Dr. Yardeni<br \/>\n                \u2713 Complete research archive at your fingertips<\/p>\n<p>            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.yardeniquicktakes.com\/membership\/\" onclick=\"plausible(&#039;CTA_Click&#039;, {props: {location: &#039;paywall&#039;, member_status: &#039;logged_out&#039;, button_text: &#039;Unlock Everything&#039;, page_type: &#039;post&#039;, content_visibility: &#039;paid&#039;}})\" class=\"btn-shimmer-white\" style=\"display: inline-flex; align-items: center; gap: 0.375rem; font-weight: 600; color: #2e7e74; padding: 0.75rem 2rem; border-radius: 9999px; text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.3s; box-shadow: 0 10px 15px -3px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                Unlock Everything<\/p>\n<p>            <\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 1rem;\">Already have an account? <a data-portal=\"signin\" href=\"#\/portal\/signin\" onclick=\"plausible('Signin_Click', {props: {location: 'paywall'}})\">Sign in<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The stock prices of ADP, Paychex, and ManpowerGroup sold off sharply\u00a0last year\u00a0as hiring cooled. Employers froze their headcounts\u00a0as&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":736789,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[28,101],"class_list":["post-736788","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/736788","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=736788"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/736788\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/736789"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=736788"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=736788"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=736788"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}