{"id":745969,"date":"2026-07-06T06:36:11","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T06:36:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/745969\/"},"modified":"2026-07-06T06:36:11","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T06:36:11","slug":"dollar-near-2-week-low-as-rate-hike-bets-fall-embattled-yen-in-focus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/745969\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar near 2-week low as rate-hike bets fall, embattled yen in focus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar steadied near a two-week low on Monday as investors scaled back bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this year, while the yen remained pinned near a 40-year low, keeping investors nervous about what Tokyo might do next.<\/p>\n<p>Richard A. Brooks | Afp | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. dollar steadied near a two-week low on Monday as investors\u00a0scaled back bets on a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/federal-reserve\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Federal Reserve<\/a> rate hike this year, while the yen\u00a0remained pinned near a 40-year\u00a0low, keeping investors nervous about what Tokyo might do next.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/EUR=\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">euro<\/a>\u00a0was at $1.1435, not far from its strongest level in two weeks, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/GBP=\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sterling<\/a>\u00a0last bought $1.3351. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/.DXY\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">dollar index<\/a>, which measures the U.S. currency against six other units, was at 100.9 in early trading.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/JPY=\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">yen<\/a>\u00a0was at 161.57 per U.S. dollar, just off the 1986 low of 162.84 it touched last week,\u00a0as traders\u00a0remain nervous about possible\u00a0intervention\u00a0after a sudden\u00a0surge in buying briefly lifted the currency on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/KRW=\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">South Korean won<\/a>\u00a0firmed a touch on the first day of its historic 24-hour onshore spot dollar-won trading. It was fetching 1,534 per dollar.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline0\"\/>Dollar on backfoot<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. dollar clocked its biggest weekly drop last week since April after the U.S.\u00a0payrolls report\u00a0showed job growth slowed sharply in June, easing market expectations of a rate hike from the Fed.<\/p>\n<p>OCBC strategists though said the decline in the unemployment rate points to a still-tight labor market and should help keep Fed tightening expectations intact.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The broader USD outlook remains constructive,&#8221; they said, maintaining their view of a moderate 2-3% appreciation in the dollar\u00a0in the\u00a0second half of 2026.<\/p>\n<p>The dwindling oil prices have helped ease some of the inflationary concerns, with investor focus this week on the minutes of the Fed&#8217;s June meeting to help gauge policymakers&#8217; thinking around the rates outlook.<\/p>\n<p>Strategists at Commonwealth Bank of Australia said the minutes may be shorter or provide less insight than usual given Fed Chair Kevin Warsh&#8217;s view the central bank has provided too much guidance in the past.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline1\"\/>Yen vigil in place<\/p>\n<p>The yen\u00a0remains firmly in the spotlight, hovering near\u00a0a 40-year low as the threat of official intervention keeps traders on edge, even though analysts\u00a0doubt any move by Tokyo would deliver lasting support.<\/p>\n<p>Intervention risk is more likely to trigger bouts of volatility and temporary corrections than a lasting reversal in USD\/JPY, according to OCBC strategists.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Without a meaningful shift in underlying macro fundamentals, verbal warnings and outright intervention alone are unlikely to change the broader direction of the pair,&#8221; they said.<\/p>\n<p>Investors are also concerned about Japanese officials\u00a0abandoning\u00a0their habit of telegraphing risks, instead signaling a more targeted campaign to squeeze speculators and raise the cost of betting against the yen.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The market knows it risks intervention,&#8221; said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn\u00a0Global\u00a0Forex. &#8220;We continue to see signs in the options market that some large pools of capital have bought short-dated dollar puts to protect long dollar positions in the case of intervention.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The U.S. dollar steadied near a two-week low on Monday as investors scaled back bets on a Federal&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":745970,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[929,116,28,122,7906,8069,9008,8877,68084,33611,3471,32047,45588,223818,162559,17205,26166,320255,8068],"class_list":["post-745969","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-australian-dollar","tag-breaking-news-markets","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-currency-markets","tag-dxy-us-dollar-currency-index","tag-eur-usd","tag-federal-reserve-system","tag-forex-markets","tag-gbp-usd","tag-japan","tag-japanese-yen","tag-kevin-warsh","tag-money-markets","tag-south-korean-won","tag-tokyo","tag-u-s-dollar","tag-us-dollar-korean-won-fx-spot-rate","tag-usd-jpy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/745969","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=745969"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/745969\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/745970"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=745969"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=745969"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=745969"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}