Spain -115 (3-Way Moneyline) vs. PortugalBelgium to Advance (-116) vs. USASpain vs. Portugal Best Bet<\/p>\n
I can’t help but feel like Spain has somehow become underrated after entering the tournament as the betting favorites to win it all. Ahead of the Round of 16, Spain leads all teams in expected goal differential per 90 minutes<\/a> at +1.76. What’s most impressive about their metrics is that they have allowed just 0.54 expected goals against per 90 minutes, by far the best number amongst all teams.<\/p>\n Portugal’s numbers haven’t been nearly as impressive, sporting an expected goal differential per 90 minutes of +0.11. Cristiano Ronaldo, if we’re being honest, has hurt his team more than he has helped them by demanding to be the centerpiece despite clearly not being the player he once was. That’ll still work against inferior opponents, but it’s going to come back to haunt them against Spain.<\/p>\n Pick: Spain -115 (3-Way Moneyline)<\/p>\n Belgium vs. United States Best Bet<\/p>\n The United States has a real problem in this game. Belgium’s offense has been spectacular in this tournament with an expected goals for of 2.43, the second-best mark amongst all teams. The United States won’t be able to contain them; their best hope is to match them. The Americans will need someone to step up offensively while also keeping the Belgian offense at bay.<\/p>\n Belgium has the better underlying numbers while also facing superior competition compared to the United States. They should be bigger favorites to advance, so I’ll back them at -116.<\/p>\n Pick: Belgium to Advance (-116)<\/p>\n Follow Iain on\u00a0X<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0Instagram<\/a><\/p>\n With the latest FanDuel promo code<\/a> new-user offer, you can get $350 in bonus bets. <\/a>Create your new FanDuel account today, bet $5 for seven straight days and get $350 in bonus bets back.\u00a0<\/p>\n Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n You can check out all of\u00a0Iain’s bets here<\/a>!<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\"){kind=icon}
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