{"id":761298,"date":"2026-07-13T23:44:10","date_gmt":"2026-07-13T23:44:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/761298\/"},"modified":"2026-07-13T23:44:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-13T23:44:10","slug":"rapidly-rising-producer-prices-could-hurt-the-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/761298\/","title":{"rendered":"Rapidly rising producer prices could hurt the economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A whole bunch of inflation data comes out this week, because the Bureau of Labor Statistics puts out its inflation reports in pairs: the consumer price index, followed by the producer price index.<\/p>\n<p>The CPI is easy to understand: It measures how much consumers are paying for stuff. <\/p>\n<p>PPI is a little more complex. It\u2019s often described as &#8220;inflation at the wholesale level.&#8221; But that&#8217;s only part of the story, because it measures inflation in the prices that businesses are charging <a class=\"externallink\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/opub\/btn\/volume-13\/misconceptions-ppi.htm\">all buyers<\/a> \u2014 whether it&#8217;s other businesses or consumers.<\/p>\n<p>Both CPI and PPI are running hotter than the Federal Reserve&#8217;s 2% target, but producer prices are rising faster than consumer prices \u2014 but what happens in the PPI doesn\u2019t always stay in the PPI.<\/p>\n<p>Part of the reason why the consumer and producer price indexes have been moving up at different rates is because they measure different things.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOne of the big things is rent,\u201d said Menzie Chinn, an economics professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. \u201cThat\u2019s a very big component of the CPI, and that\u2019s not showing up in the PPI.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Over the last few years, rent growth has been <a class=\"externallink\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/graph\/?g=1X3dw\">slowing down.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat\u2019s happening there, which is not at all incorporated in PPI, can drive a wedge between the two series,\u201d Chinn said.<\/p>\n<p>All that weight the consumer price index puts on rent also means CPI isn\u2019t as affected by the <a title=\"\" class=\"interallink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketplace.org\/story\/2026\/07\/08\/how-end-of-iran-ceasefire-will-affect-oil-markets#trump-calls-off-iran-ceasefire-a-move-that-obviously-will-push-oil-prices-up\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">cost of fuel.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cConsumers spend a lot of their budget on housing,\u201d said Laura Veldkamp, an economics professor at Columbia Business School. \u201cAnd housing doesn\u2019t respond so quickly to the price of fuel.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Veldkamp said the producer price index is much more sensitive to energy costs, because fuel is such an important part of what producers do.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEven if they\u2019re not buying fuel itself, maybe they bought apples or blueberries, or shirts,\u201d she said. \u201cBut they had to be <a title=\"\" class=\"interallink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketplace.org\/story\/2026\/06\/29\/high-energy-prices-only-partly-to-blame-for-soaring-shipping-costs\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">transported to the location where they\u2019ll be sold,<\/a> and that transportation requires fuel.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>That added pressure puts businesses in a tough spot, according to Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist with Manulife John Hancock Investments.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey either get lower profit margins, or they have to pass this on to consumers,\u201d Miskin said. \u201cAnd the question becomes, \u2018Can consumers take on that higher price point?\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s why inflation at the producer level can eventually hit consumers \u2014 especially for groceries, toothpaste, and other consumer staples.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThese are very low-margin businesses, so they don\u2019t have that much wiggle room to not pass the price on,\u201d Miskin said.<\/p>\n<p>But Miskin said businesses don\u2019t always have the pricing power to pass on rising costs.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey\u2019ll cut their variable costs, to make sure that their margins are as intact as they can make them,\u201d he said. \u201cVariable costs often include labor.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In other words, a slower labor market \u2014 which means less consumer spending. That\u2019s why it can be a bad sign when producer prices rise faster.<\/p>\n<p>Related Topics<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A whole bunch of inflation data comes out this week, because the Bureau of Labor Statistics puts out&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":761299,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[28,11529,101,248093,2402,638,325951],"class_list":["post-761298","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-consumer-price-index","tag-economy","tag-fuel-costs","tag-inflation","tag-producer-price-index","tag-rent-costs"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/761298","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=761298"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/761298\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/761299"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=761298"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=761298"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=761298"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}