{"id":765440,"date":"2026-07-16T02:40:07","date_gmt":"2026-07-16T02:40:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/765440\/"},"modified":"2026-07-16T02:40:07","modified_gmt":"2026-07-16T02:40:07","slug":"2026-open-championship-odds-picks-from-10000-computer-simulations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/765440\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 Open Championship odds: Picks from 10,000 computer simulations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The 2026 Open Championship tees off on Thursday, July 16, at Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, England. The first tee times come at 1:35 a.m. ET.\u00a0 Scottie Scheffler, who tees off at 4:58 a.m. ET, is the defending Open Championship winner, while Jordan Spieth won this event the last time it was at Royal Birkdale in 2017. Scheffler is the +750 favorite (risk $100 to win $750) in the latest 2026 Open Championship odds. McIlroy is next on the PGA odds board this week at +850.<\/p>\n<p>Englishmen Matt Fitzpatrick (+1300) and Tommy Fleetwood (+1500), Jon Rahm (+2000) and Xander Schauffele (+2500) are among the other top Open Championship 2026 contenders. Before locking in any 2026 Open Championship picks, be sure to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=07042026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionship\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">see the 2026 British Open predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Paramount+ Premium is now included with every SportsLine membership! Watch the NFL on CBS, UFC, select PGA events, Champions League and more than 40,000 episodes and movies.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/join\/#ttag=07042026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionshipP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Join right here to get both for one low price<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>SportsLine&#8217;s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/golf\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">golf betting<\/a> picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters &#8212; its fifth Masters in a row &#8212; as well as last year&#8217;s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">sports betting<\/a> picks could have seen massive returns on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">betting sites<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Now that the 2026 Open Championship field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=07042026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionship\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Visit our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/draftkings-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0review to see their latest offers and get started.<\/p>\n<p>2026 Open Championship predictions\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>One major surprise the model is calling for at the Open Championship 2026: Fleetwood, who is tied for the fourth-lowest odds on the board at +1500, stumbles and doesn&#8217;t finish in the top 5. He&#8217;s a golfer to fade in Open Championship best bets. Fleetwood has a pair of top-5 finishes at the Open Championship, but also missed the cut in 2024 and finished outside the top 10 last year. He finished 27th the last time this event was at the Royal Birkdale. With no finishes better than T11 in any major this year, the model has found better values on the board.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=07042026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionship\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See who else to fade here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Another surprise: Ludvig Aberg is a top-3 contender on the projected leaderboard despite never having won a major and having longer odds at +3300. This will be just his third British Open appearance, but he finished in the top 25 in this event last year. He&#8217;s also been steady at the majors this year, which was highlighted by a T4 finish at the PGA Championship. He&#8217;s one of the best drivers in both distance and accuracy on tour right now, and that quality alone makes him a top contender at Royal Birkdale.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=07042026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionship\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See who else to pick here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>New to sports trading? Visit our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/kalshi-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Kalshi promo code<\/a> review to see their latest offers and get started.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>How to make 2026 Open Championship picks<\/p>\n<p>The model is also targeting several longshots, including one shocking pick who is going off around 50-1.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=07042026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionship\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">You can only see the model&#8217;s picks here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Who will win the 2026 Open Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Open Championship odds below and then <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=07042026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionship\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that&#8217;s nailed 17 golf majors<\/a>, including three in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>2026 Open Championship odds, field<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-open-championship-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=07042026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_OpenChampionship\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Get full 2026 Open Championship picks, best bets and predictions here<\/a>.<br \/>(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)<\/p>\n<p>Scottie Scheffler +700<br \/>Rory McIlroy +850<br \/>Matt Fitzpatrick +1300<br \/>Tommy Fleetwood +1500<br \/>Jon Rahm +2000<br \/>Xander Schauffele +2500<br \/>Chris Gotterup +2700<br \/>Viktor Hovland +2700<br \/>Robert MacIntyre +2700<br \/>Collin Morikawa +3000<br \/>Wyndham Clark +3300<br \/>Ludvig \u00c5berg +3300<br \/>Justin Rose +3300<br \/>Cameron Young +3500<br \/>Tyrrell Hatton +3500<br \/>Si Woo Kim +4000<br \/>Shane Lowry +4500<br \/>Sam Burns +4500<br \/>Russell Henley +5000<br \/>Min Woo Lee +5500<br \/>Justin Thomas +5500<br \/>Tom Kim +5500<br \/>Patrick Cantlay +6000<br \/>Patrick Reed +6000<br \/>Aaron Rai +6500<br \/>Alex Fitzpatrick +6500<br \/>Joaquin Niemann +6500<br \/>Bryson DeChambeau +6500<br \/>Hideki Matsuyama +7000<br \/>Brooks Koepka +8000<br \/>Jordan Spieth +8000<br \/>Harris English +8000<br \/>JJ Spaun +8000<br \/>Rickie Fowler +10000<br \/>Maverick McNealy +10000<br \/>Brian Harman +10000<br \/>Adam Scott +10000<br \/>Nicolai H\u00f8jgaard +10000<br \/>Kurt Kitayama +10000<br \/>Akshay Bhatia +10000<br \/>Kristoffer Reitan +10000<br \/>Ben Griffin +10000<br \/>Corey Conners +12500<br \/>Eugenio Chacarra +12500<br \/>Matt Wallace +12500<br \/>Ryan Gerard +12500<br \/>Keegan Bradley +12500<br \/>Alex Noren +12500<br \/>Victor Perez +12500<br \/>Alex Smalley +15000<br \/>Jordan Smith +15000<br \/>Tom McKibbin +15000<br \/>Cameron Smith +15000<br \/>Sepp Straka +17500<br \/>Jacob Bridgeman +17500<br \/>Bud Cauley +17500<br \/>Haotong Li +17500<br \/>Marco Penge +17500<br \/>Max Homa +17500<br \/>Ryan Fox +17500<br \/>Casey Jarvis +17500<br \/>Nick Taylor +17500<br \/>Harry Hall +17500<br \/>Keith Mitchell +17500<br \/>Jason Day +17500<br \/>Eric Cole +17500<br \/>J.T. Poston +17500<br \/>Johnny Keefer +17500<br \/>Michael Thorbjornsen +17500<br \/>David Puig +22500<br \/>Jake Knapp +22500<br \/>Sahith Theegala +22500<br \/>Rasmus H\u00f8jgaard +22500<br \/>Andrew Novak +22500<br \/>Thomas Detry +22500<br \/>Michael Kim +22500<br \/>Max Greyserman +22500<br \/>Angel Ayora +22500<br \/>Gary Woodland +22500<br \/>Sungjae Im +25000<br \/>Jayden Schaper +25000<br \/>John Parry +25000<br \/>Pierceson Coody +25000<br \/>Sam Stevens +25000<br \/>Laurie Canter +25000<br \/>Michael Brennan +25000<br \/>Matthew Jordan +25000<br \/>Ryo Hisatsune +25000<br \/>Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +25000<br \/>Sami Valimaki +35000<br \/>Hennie du Plessis +35000<br \/>Daniel Hillier +35000<br \/>Jackson Suber +35000<br \/>Scott Vincent +35000<br \/>Lucas Herbert +35000<br \/>Daniel Berger +35000<br \/>Bernd Wiesberger +35000<br \/>Nico Echavarria +35000<br \/>Matt Mccarty +35000<br \/>Stewart Cink +35000<br \/>Aldrich Potgieter +35000<br \/>Billy Horschel +50000<br \/>Shaun Norris +50000<br \/>Keita Nakajima +50000<br \/>Daniel Brown +50000<br \/>Francesco Molinari +50000<br \/>Kota Kaneko +75000<br \/>Jesper Svensson +75000<br \/>Andy Sullivan +75000<br \/>Francesco Laporta +75000<br \/>Antoine Rozner +75000<br \/>Peter Uihlein +100000<br \/>Alejandro De Castro Piera +100000<br \/>Nevill Ruiter +100000<br \/>Matthew Southgate +100000<br \/>Baard Bjoernevik Skogen +100000<br \/>Travis Smyth +100000<br \/>Dan Bradbury +100000<br \/>Naoyuki Kataoka +100000<br \/>MJ Daffue +100000<br \/>Marcus Plunkett +100000<br \/>Cameron John +100000<br \/>Tiger Christensen +100000<br \/>Ryutaro Nagano +100000<br \/>Jeong Woo Ham +100000<br \/>Lev Grinberg +100000<br \/>Martin Couvra +100000<br \/>Jack Buchanan +100000<br \/>Joakim Lagergren +100000<br \/>Frederic Lacroix +100000<br \/>Stuart Grehan +100000<br \/>Matthew Baldwin +100000<br \/>Kazuki Higa +100000<br \/>Sam Bairstow +100000<br \/>Darren Clarke +100000<br \/>Fifa Laopakdee +100000<br \/>David Duval +100000<br \/>Padraig Harrington +100000<br \/>Mason Howell +100000<br \/>Ren Yonezawa +100000<br \/>Jiho Yang +100000<br \/>James Nicholas +100000<br \/>Michael Hollick +100000<br \/>David Howard +100000<br \/>Mateo Pulcini +100000<br \/>Kazuma Kobori +100000<br \/>Henrik Stenson +100000<br \/>Tim Wiedemeyer +100000<br \/>Jack McDonald +100000<br \/>Adrien Saddier +100000<br \/>Caleb Surratt +100000<br \/>Alistair Docherty +100000<br \/>Jose Luis Ballester +100000<br \/>Austen Truslow +100000<br \/>Tom Sloman +100000<br \/>Joe Dean +100000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The 2026 Open Championship tees off on Thursday, July 16, at Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, England.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":765441,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[320321,320315,320320,320319,320316,320317,320318,427,99],"class_list":["post-765440","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-golf","tag-2026-british-open","tag-2026-open-championship","tag-2026-open-championship-best-bets","tag-2026-open-championship-field","tag-2026-open-championship-odds","tag-2026-open-championship-picks","tag-2026-open-championship-predictions","tag-golf","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/765440","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=765440"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/765440\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/765441"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=765440"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=765440"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=765440"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}