{"id":777501,"date":"2026-07-22T08:27:10","date_gmt":"2026-07-22T08:27:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/777501\/"},"modified":"2026-07-22T08:27:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-22T08:27:10","slug":"3m-open-odds-just-how-big-of-a-favorite-is-scottie-scheffler-entering-tpc-twin-cities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/777501\/","title":{"rendered":"3M Open odds: Just how big of a favorite is Scottie Scheffler entering TPC Twin Cities?"},"content":{"rendered":"

The PGA Tour arrives back stateside in Minnesota where the 3M Open<\/a> will be played at TPC Twin Cities this week for $8.8 million in prize money.<\/p>\n

Kurt Kitayama is the reigning champ and Scottie Scheffler is the field headliner.<\/a> Young stars Jackson Koivun, Ben James and Gordon Sargent are all playing, too, coming in with strong results this summer. <\/p>\n

For Scheffler, the world No. 1 is looking to win for the first time since January and for the second time on Tour this year. Statistically, it\u2019s been an impeccable year for Scheffler.<\/a> In the winner\u2019s circle? Nobody on the planet would complain about a season with 10 top-5 finishes (ties included) but Scheffler may be the exception to that rule.<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s take a look at how big of a favorite oddsmakers make Scheffler coming off a T-4 at Royal Birkdale a few days ago.<\/p>\n

2026 3M Open favorites (as of July 21, courtesy of DraftKings)<\/p>\n

Scottie Scheffler (+265)Kurt Kitayama (+2250)Maverick McNealy (+2350)Hideki Matsuyama (+2800)Tom Kim (+2900)Keith Mitchell (+3200)Jake Knapp (+3500)Jackson Koivun (+3600)Pierceson Coody (+4100)Jackson Suber (+4400)Corey Conners (+4800)Doug Ghim (+4900)Max Homa (+5100)Ben James (+5100)Sungjae Im (+5100)3M Open winner prediction (Scottie Scheffler insurance*)<\/p>\n

Picking Scheffler is just not fun so we\u2019ll avert everyone\u2019s eyes and attention away from the main board to DraftKings\u2019 second option for favorites which is labeled \u201cWinner Without Scottie Scheffler.\u201d This is the asterisked Scottie Scheffler insurance above, removing the heavy-favorite from all recommended plays below \u2014 of which we have four! Why not go big following the year\u2019s final major, especially when driving on the road with such great protection.<\/p>\n

Sungjae Im (+4000)Jordan Smith (+4200)Sam Stevens (+4500)Steven Fisk (+9400)<\/p>\n

It\u2019s all about living in the mid-range this week, and staying clear of any Scheffler runaway potential on Sunday. Im was fantastic early Thursday at The Open but wilted. A 2022 runner-up at this tournament, Im ranks first in approach shots under 100 yards this year in Tour and is 14th in shots gained around-the-green. There\u2019s something to this guy: Once he gets within range, he\u2019s as elite as anybody. Will he get us there is the question? Time will tell.<\/p>\n

Smith is probably someone who is safer to play in the T-20 market but we kept coming back to how well he\u2019s been striking the ball, and the results over the last two weeks (T-21 at the Scottish, T-18 at The Open) show a player who is in peak form right now. And perhaps he\u2019s been all season with a T-15 at the WM Phoenix Open, solo third at Valspar and T-16 at RBC Heritage. All over the country \u2014 signature event, non-signature event, this guy has been cooking. <\/p>\n

As for Stevens, don\u2019t have to go too far back to see that he was solo second here a year ago and has been great throughout the year like Smith (seven T-25 finishes, 17-out-of-21 made cuts). He\u2019s probably nobody\u2019s favorite this week after a pair of missed cuts across the pond but rested is an advantage with a majority of the field playing abroad in either the U.K. or the Dominican Republic last week. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\"Corales<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Italy\u2019s Stefano Mazzoli posted a final round 6-under 66 to overcome a four-shot deficit at the PGA Tour\u2019s Corales Puntacana Championship on Sunday.<\/p>\n

Fisk is a recent performance play, a true long-shot flier where the number is too big for us to ignore. The ISCO Championship winner took a week off after his playoff victory in Louisville<\/a> and has just two rounds in the 70s since his MC at Aronomink. Safe to say he\u2019s rested and will be playing this weekend in north Minneapolis. <\/p>\n

3M Open first-round leader<\/p>\n

Going to offer up two straight players as this market feels somewhat reminiscent to investing into the \u201cWinner Without\u201d field mentioned above: Tom Kim (+4500) and Doug Ghim (+5900). Kim should be fresh after a surprising missed cut at Royal Birkdale following his return to the winner\u2019s circle a week prior at the Scottish Open<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Nonetheless, there\u2019s a smidge of doubt that he can keep it up for 72 holes so we\u2019ll look to take advantage of him coming in here absolutely locked in after said MC across the pond. He doesn\u2019t have amazing course history though (T-28 last year, T-26 in 2022) so can\u2019t offer him in good faith to win on Sunday. <\/p>\n

Similarly, there\u2019s a compressed ceiling on the level of trust Ghim will take us the distance. However, this is a player who did shoot in the 60s on Thursdays for three straight months this year until a MC at the Scottish Open. Translation: He\u2019s a great bet early. Doubly, he\u2019s super rested having not played at The Open which is something we were eying in this field with all our wagers.<\/p>\n

And, so we don\u2019t totally shun Scottie from our betting card … It\u2019s parlay time! To finish T-10 in the first round, Scottie Scheffler (+172) and Corey Conners (+600). Together that\u2019s +1800. Why not live a little, it\u2019s summer time!<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\"The<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

The PGA Tour makes its return to the Twin Cities this week. Here\u2019s a look at the field, which includes world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and defending champion Kurt Kitayama.<\/p>\n

3M Open best bet<\/p>\n

We\u2019ll go with another parlay, this time to the T-30 (ties included) market and string together a trio of non-Scheffler names from the top 15 favorites listed above: Kurt Kitayama (-154), Keith Mitchell (-122) and Jackson Koivun (-112). You can play those ones solo as listed but the most fun version is together at +470. Like it? We love it.<\/p>\n

If you want to add in a fourth, we recommend Aaron Wise (+245). He takes us all the way to +1860. <\/p>\n

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The PGA Tour arrives back stateside in Minnesota where the 3M Open will be played at TPC Twin…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":728537,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[427,99],"class_list":["post-777501","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-golf","tag-golf","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777501","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=777501"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777501\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/728537"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=777501"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=777501"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=777501"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}