{"id":777805,"date":"2026-07-22T12:20:13","date_gmt":"2026-07-22T12:20:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/777805\/"},"modified":"2026-07-22T12:20:13","modified_gmt":"2026-07-22T12:20:13","slug":"mercury-vs-sparks-prediction-odds-best-wnba-prop-bet-for-wednesday-july-22","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/777805\/","title":{"rendered":"Mercury vs. Sparks Prediction, Odds, Best WNBA Prop Bet for Wednesday, July 22"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7s\">The Phoenix Mercury snapped a long losing streak on Sunday against the Connecticut Sun, and they\u2019ll close out the first half with a matinee matchup against Dearica Hamby and the Los Angeles Sparks.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7v\">Los Angeles is still without Kelsey Plum (leg), and it has struggled mightily without her, going 3-10 in the 13 games that she\u2019s missed. As a result, the Sparks hold the No. 10 seed in the W and are on a four-game skid.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7y\">Phoenix is just two games behind the Sparks at this point in the regular season, and it actually has a better net rating (minus-4.6) than Los Angeles (minus-6.1).\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"81\">Oddsmakers have set the Sparks at home in their final game before the All-Star break, but L.A. is two games under .500 at crypto.com Arena and three games under .500 against Western Conference teams in 2026.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-4\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"84\">So, is this a spot where the Mercury can pull off an upset win?<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-5\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"87\">Here\u2019s a breakdown of the odds, my favorite prop bet and a prediction for Wednesday\u2019s contest.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Mercury vs. Sparks Odds, Spread and Total<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-7\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8d\"><a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-8\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8g\">Spread<\/p>\n<p>Mercury +1.5 (-112)Sparks -1.5 (-108)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-10\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8m\">Moneyline<\/p>\n<p>Mercury: -102Sparks: -118<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-12\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8s\">Total<\/p>\n<p>178.5 (Over -110\/Under -110)Mercury vs. Sparks How to WatchDate: Wednesday, July 22Time: 3:00 p.m. ESTVenue: crypto.com ArenaHow to Watch (TV): Arizona\u2019s Family 3TV, Merc+, Spectrum Sports Network, WNBA League PassMercury record: 9-18Sparks record: 10-15Mercury vs. Sparks Injury ReportsMercury Injury ReportSparks Injury ReportKelsey Plum &#8212; outKiana Williams &#8212; questionableMercury vs. Sparks Best WNBA Prop BetsMercury Best WNBA Prop BetKahleah Copper 20+ Points (-139)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-24\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9s\">Mercury guard Kahleah Copper has been asked to take on a massive role on offense this season, averaging 20.5 points on 15.9 shots per game.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-25\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9v\">She\u2019s shooting just 42.0 percent from the field, but Copper has 20 or more points in eight of her last 10 contests. On top of that, she dropped 41 points in her last meeting with the Sparks and had 22 in their first matchup.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-26\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9y\">L.A. not only is 14th in the league in defensive rating, but it allows the most points per game in the WNBA.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-27\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a1\">Since Copper is going to get a ton of shots on Wednesday, I think she\u2019s a must-bet at this number, which is set right around her season average.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Mercury vs. Sparks Prediction and Pick<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-29\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a7\">This season, these teams have combined for 213 points (in overtime) and 185 points in two meetings.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-30\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"aa\">While Phoenix has hit the UNDER in 10 of 14 road games in 2026, I think the OVER (8-4 in Sparks\u2019 home games) is the play on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-31\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ad\">Both of these teams ranks in the bottom five in the league in defensive rating, and the Sparks allow the most points per game in the W.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-32\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ag\">Los Angeles loves to play with pace (No. 2 in the WNBA), and that has contributed to it hitting the OVER in 68 percent of its games in 2026.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-33\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"aj\">Now, there is some risk involved here since both of these teams are in the bottom five in the league in offensive rating over their last 10 games, but the Sparks have combined for 179 or more points in eight of their last 11 contests.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-34\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"am\">On top of that, L.A. is still sixth in the W in points per game despite not being the most efficient offensive team.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-35\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ap\">Pick: OVER 178.5 <a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">(-110 at DraftKings)<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-37\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"au\">Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-38\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ax\">If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-39\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"b0\">Find Peter Dewey&#8217;s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1BIvWO-S-TFepu-8DBiXfx10kJJ4Zi7ctpMBVYK9oCZQ\/edit?usp=sharing\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">WNBA betting record here<\/a>\u00a0(futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/betstamp.app\/u\/peter2dewey\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetStamp here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-40\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"b3\">Claim the latest\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/betting\/sportsbook-promos\/draftkings-promo-code\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0offer today. Sign up and get\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">$200 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\" class=\"shrink-0\"\/>Add us as a preferred source on Google<a aria-label=\"Follow si.com on Google News\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=si.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"flex h-[30px] w-[30px] shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full bg-primary font-group-large text-sm font-medium text-white transition-colors hover:bg-secondary focus:bg-secondary md:w-auto md:gap-2.5 md:px-4 md:py-[5px]\">Follow<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Phoenix Mercury snapped a long losing streak on Sunday against the Connecticut Sun, and they\u2019ll close out&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":777806,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[73],"tags":[99,434],"class_list":["post-777805","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-wnba","tag-sports","tag-wnba"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777805","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=777805"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777805\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/777806"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=777805"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=777805"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=777805"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}