{"id":779616,"date":"2026-07-23T09:46:19","date_gmt":"2026-07-23T09:46:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/779616\/"},"modified":"2026-07-23T09:46:19","modified_gmt":"2026-07-23T09:46:19","slug":"whats-a-fair-deal-for-jalen-duren-we-asked-nba-execs-for-their-best-offer","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/779616\/","title":{"rendered":"What\u2019s a fair deal for Jalen Duren? We asked NBA execs for their best offer"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Jalen Duren is the latest free-agent straggler.<\/p>\n<p>Inside a league that is increasingly worried about expensive rosters, NBA teams are squeezing players who hit what purports to be the open market. Duren, a restricted free agent, is this summer\u2019s personification of the trend.<\/p>\n<p>Organizations own the right of first refusal on restricted free agents, and because there is such consternation about high payrolls these days, they are deploying necessary leverage. With today\u2019s rules, not many teams enter the offseason with cap space. The ones who do understand that extending an offer sheet to a player of Duren\u2019s caliber is a fool\u2019s errand, considering the Detroit Pistons would likely match it and bring him back, as is their right.<\/p>\n<p>A restricted free agent, the NBA\u2019s most powerful oxymoron, is left in purgatory.<\/p>\n<p>Why Jalen Duren is still a free agent<\/p>\n<p>Hunter Patterson and Jeshua Kidd<\/p>\n<p>Last offseason, four restricted free agents (Cam Thomas, Jonathan Kuminga, Josh Giddey and Quentin Grimes) lingered late into summer, just as Duren has done in 2026. (The Clippers\u2019 Bennedict Mathurin and the Nuggets\u2019 Peyton Watson are the other unsigned restricted free agents of note.) Three weeks after the start of free agency, Duren remains unsigned. Cap space around the league has dried up. The Pistons provide the greatest chance for him to receive his market value.<\/p>\n<p>Because he made All-NBA in 2025-26, he is eligible for a five-year, $287 million contract that would begin at 30 percent of the salary cap. But Duren, who averaged 19.5 points and 10.5 rebounds on a No. 1 seed while earning All-NBA honors, certainly won\u2019t earn that much, not given the circumstances around him. Front offices are worried about the punitive penalties that come with crossing the second apron, a payroll threshold far above the luxury tax. Surpass it, and a team loses its ability to execute most types of trades and most kinds of signings. Additionally, he had a disappointing playoffs, with his scoring, rebounding and shooting efficiency all notably dropping.<\/p>\n<p>But Duren and the Pistons need each other. More than likely, they will have to compromise. One executive believes he has discovered a fitting one.<\/p>\n<p>The Athletic polled 13 members of rival front offices, asking what they would consider a \u201cfair\u201d contract for Duren. Respondents spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the situation freely.<\/p>\n<p>The Pistons\u2019 leverage is that no other team has the cap space to offer Duren a rich contract. But Duren\u2019s leverage is that he can accept the qualifying offer, which would entail returning to Detroit on a one-year, $9.6 million contract and becoming an unrestricted free agent next summer, able to sign with whomever he\u2019d like in 2027.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhile Detroit might look like they have most of the leverage, given that there are no cap-space teams out there, they\u2019re royally f\u2014\u2013 if he takes the qualifying (offer) and walks next year,\u201d one respondent to the poll said. \u201cSo, I think leverage is relatively even.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Two restricted free agents, Grimes and Thomas, accepted qualifying offers last offseason. Of course, they did not assume as much risk as Duren would. Detroit\u2019s current offer to Duren is significantly higher than the Brooklyn Nets\u2019 tiny offer was to Thomas. The Philadelphia 76ers didn\u2019t extend a formal offer to Grimes.<\/p>\n<p>One executive believes he\u2019s identified the fair deal for Duren and the Pistons: $204.5 million over five years.<\/p>\n<p>Here is how he came to that number: Hypothetically, if Duren were to sign the qualifying offer, then were to garner a four-year deal for the 25-percent max next summer, he would earn $204.5 million over the next five seasons. To save both sides a headache, the Pistons could pay him that right now.<\/p>\n<p>Yet, this exec is on the high end of the poll; $204.5 million, even though it\u2019s far below his max, is the second-most guaranteed money any of the respondents suggested.<\/p>\n<p>The largest proposed deal was $230 million over five years. Two executives considered $200 million over five years to be fair. The two other five-year deals were for $190 million and $180 million.<\/p>\n<p>The person who suggested the $190 million contract referenced the Pistons\u2019 other priorities from earlier in the summer, when they were reportedly preparing to offer guard Austin Reaves a four-year, $177 million contract before he re-upped with the Los Angeles Lakers.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf they were willing to give a max to Reaves, then they should be willing to do five years, $190 million for a younger player who made All-NBA at a more valuable position,\u201d the respondent said.<\/p>\n<p>The Pistons have a clean cap sheet moving forward. They currently sit $46 million below the luxury tax. The only large salary on their books for 2027-28 and beyond belongs to MVP candidate Cade Cunningham. Various rotation players \u2014 such as Duncan Robinson, John Collins and Isaiah Joe \u2014 are not guaranteed beyond 2026-27.<\/p>\n<p>Detroit would like to maintain its flexibility. After all, depending on how the Duren situation plays out, it could be a cap-space team in the coming years.<\/p>\n<p>This is not the first time that conversations between the Pistons and Duren have stalled. Just last summer, Duren was eligible for an extension, but the two sides were <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6977056\/2026\/01\/19\/nba-pistons-dawg-pound-jalen-duren-isaiah-stewart\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">so far apart that they never even got into negotiations<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The 22-year-old responded with a breakout season, taking a massive leap as a scorer, handling the basketball more, assuming the role of the go-to guy with Cunningham out with a collapsed lung for the end part of the schedule and improving as both a paint protector and pick-and-roll defender. Behind him and Cunningham, the Pistons soared to the top of the Eastern Conference standings.<\/p>\n<p>Then came a curious playoff performance.<\/p>\n<p>Duren\u2019s scoring cratered. His activity dissipated. A hulking, 6-foot-10 center who was once impossible to ignore became uninvolved for long stretches.<\/p>\n<p>The postseason has stuck in the minds of some, including one executive who suggested another oddly specific contract for Duren: $157.1 million over four years. Duren\u2019s four-year, 25-percent max would climb $27 million higher than that. Still, this executive said he dinged him for his poor play during Detroit\u2019s first-round series against the Orlando Magic and second-round loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers.<\/p>\n<p>Six other respondents suggested four-year contracts. Three deemed $140 million fair. One was for $135 million; one was for $130 million, and the smallest hypothetical deal, both in total money and average annual value, was $120 million over four years.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe market has kinda shrunk on him,\u201d the executive who proposed $120 million said. \u201cSo, I don\u2019t think you can get above (Walker Kessler\u2019s contract). There\u2019s not a single team that\u2019s willing to do that right now. They could really squeeze (him) and say, $25 million a year, but Duren\u2019s not gonna feel good, which means (they\u2019re) not gonna feel good.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Of the seven four-year deals, $157.1 million was the most expensive. But how did this executive arrive at such an idiosyncratic number? It\u2019s the exact midpoint between what Kessler signed for this summer and the 25-percent max.<\/p>\n<p>The Kessler contract was a common reference point for the poll participants. A few weeks ago, the fourth-year center, who is two years older than Duren, signed a four-year, $129.4 million contract with the Lakers, who also traded two first-round picks to complete the acquisition.<\/p>\n<p>Kessler is a play finisher and rim-protector who has yet to contribute to a winning team. Duren, from the same draft class and playing the same position, is already an All-Star.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s more than Kessler got,\u201d said one of the participants who dubbed $140 million fair. \u201c(Duren is) more available and proven. (It\u2019s) in a similar range to (Houston Rockets center) Alperen \u015eeng\u00fcn, who I view as an All-Star caliber center but not someone who is a consistent year-in and year-out All-Star. And (it\u2019s) slightly below (Rudy) Gobert, who is\/was an All-NBA defender.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The front office staffer who suggested $130 million over four years did so because it was exactly in line with the contract for the Lakers\u2019 new center.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI can\u2019t see him signing for less than Walker, yet I don\u2019t see why Detroit needs to move beyond that either,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>As recently as only a few years ago, it was commonplace to dole out giant contracts to young, star-level restricted free agents. The league changes fast.<\/p>\n<p>The type of max contract a player is eligible to receive depends on how long he\u2019s been in the NBA. Before his seventh season, he can make up to 25 percent of the salary cap. Seven-to-nine-year vets can make up to 30 percent of it. Guys who have been around for 10-plus years can earn up to 35 percent.<\/p>\n<p>There are a few exceptions, including Duren.<\/p>\n<p>Reaching All-NBA in 2025-26 made Duren eligible for the 30-percent max, the five-year, $287 million contract that he certainly won\u2019t ink. His 25-percent max, the one that teams once would hand to young stars without much pushback, would be worth $239 million over five seasons. Over four years, it could earn him $185 million.<\/p>\n<p>But the culture around these deals has changed. Last summer, the Oklahoma City Thunder negotiated two core pieces of a reigning champion, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, down to the 25-percent max on extensions after their third seasons rather than letting them enter restricted free agency after their fourth years. (Williams\u2019 starting salary would have risen to 30 percent had he qualified last season.) The Rockets, who are notorious sticklers in these types of moments, bartered \u015eeng\u00fcn down to a contract that started at 22 percent of the cap.<\/p>\n<p>Less than two weeks ago, 22-year-old superstar <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7437992\/2026\/07\/11\/victor-wembanyama-contract-spurs-nba-players-supermax\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Victor Wembanyama went that direction on his own<\/a>, agreeing to the 25-percent max, even though the 30-percent one would have been a no-brainer for the San Antonio Spurs. In the second-apron era, Wembanyama wanted to give his organization flexibility.<\/p>\n<p>So, players in Duren\u2019s situation are now taking less. Organizations are offering less. And an All-Star like Duren is left in limbo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Jalen Duren is the latest free-agent straggler. Inside a league that is increasingly worried about expensive rosters, NBA&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":779617,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[64],"tags":[4576,355,99],"class_list":["post-779616","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nba","tag-detroit-pistons","tag-nba","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/779616","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=779616"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/779616\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/779617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=779616"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=779616"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=779616"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}