{"id":788936,"date":"2026-07-28T08:24:22","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T08:24:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/788936\/"},"modified":"2026-07-28T08:24:22","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T08:24:22","slug":"top-picks-from-the-mlb-betting-splits-for-monday-july-27th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/788936\/","title":{"rendered":"Top Picks from the MLB Betting Splits for Monday July 27th"},"content":{"rendered":"

Today a new week begins with a 12 game MLB slate<\/a> to choose from. Let\u2019s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN MLB Betting Splits<\/a>, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.<\/p>\n

The Orioles (51-55) just dropped two of three against the Braves, losing yesterday\u2019s series finale 3-2 in extra innings as -105 home dogs. On the other hand, the Tigers (50-56) just split a four-game series against the Royals, dropping yesterday\u2019s series finale 5-4 as -190 home favorites.<\/p>\n

In tonight\u2019s series opener, the Orioles tap righty Kyle Bradish (7-9, 4.39 ERA) and the Tigers turn to fellow righty Keider Montero (7-5, 3.14 ERA).<\/p>\n

This line opened with Detroit listed as a -115 home favorite and Baltimore a -105 road dog.<\/p>\n

Sharps have quietly sided with the short home chalk, pushing the Tigers up from -115 to -120.<\/p>\n

At DraftKings, Detroit is receiving 59% of moneyline bets and 69% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, the Tigers are taking in 83% of moneyline bets and 94% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a \u201clow bets, higher dollars\u201d sharp split in favor of the home chalk.<\/p>\n

Monday favorites off a loss who made the playoffs the previous season, like the Tigers here, are 34-20 (63%) with a 5% ROI this season. <\/p>\n

Non-division favorites in the opening game of a new series who made the playoffs the previous season are 123-71 (63%) with a 7% ROI this season. When both teams are below .500, as is the case here, the home favorite priced -140 or less is 76-54 (58%) with a 6% ROI this season.<\/p>\n

Montero has posted a 1.96 ERA in six July appearances, allowing only 4 earned runs in 18.1 innings pitched. Detroit is 7-2 in his last nine appearances. He is 5-3 with a 2.48 ERA in night games. <\/p>\n

The Tigers are 29-25 at home. The Orioles are 22-28 on the road. <\/p>\n

The Cubs (59-46) just took two of three against the Pirates but failed to complete the sweep, losing yesterday\u2019s series finale 8-7 as +115 road dogs. Meanwhile, the Cardinals (53-52) just lost two of three against the Reds, dropping yesterday\u2019s series finale 5-3 in extras as -135 home favorites.<\/p>\n

In tonight\u2019s series opener, the Cubs send out lefty David Peterson (5-7, 5.97 ERA) and the Cardinals turn to fellow southpaw Matthew Liberatore (5-7, 5.18 ERA).<\/p>\n

This line opened with Chicago listed as a -115 road favorite and St. Louis a -105 home dog.<\/p>\n

Sharps have jumped on the Cubs laying short chalk, pushing Chicago up from -115 to -125.<\/p>\n

At DraftKings, the Cubs are taking in 79% of moneyline bets and 97% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, Chicago is only receiving 44% of moneyline bets and 74% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a \u201clow bets, higher dollars\u201d split in favor of the road chalk, especially the wiseguys in the desert.<\/p>\n

Monday favorites off a loss who made the playoffs the previous season, like the Cubs here, are 34-20 (63%) with a 5% ROI this season. <\/p>\n

When the line moves in their direction, the Cubs are 38-23 (62%) with an 8% ROI this season, the 4th most profitable line move team in MLB.<\/p>\n

Chicago has the better bats, hitting .247 with a .339 OBP and 541 runs scored compared to St. Louis hitting .240 with a .316 OBP and 466 runs scored.<\/p>\n

The Cubs are hitting .263 against lefties (3rd best in MLB) while the Cardinals are hitting .241 (15th). <\/p>\n

Chicago is 29-24 on the road. St. Louis is 27-29 at home. <\/p>\n

The Red Sox (54-50) just took two of three against the Blue Jays, winning yesterday\u2019s series finale 6-1 as -145 home favorites. On the other hand, the Athletics (44-61) just dropped two of three against the Twins, losing yesterday\u2019s series finale 11-8 as +135 road dogs.<\/p>\n

In tonight\u2019s series opener, the Red Sox hand the ball to lefty Payton Tolle (5-6, 3.31 ERA) and the Athletics counter with righty Jack Perkins (2-5, 6.75 ERA).<\/p>\n

This line opened with Boston listed as a -150 road favorite and the Athletics a +130 home dog.<\/p>\n

Sharps have laid the wood with the Red Sox, steaming Boston up from -150 to -175 or even -180 across the market.<\/p>\n

At DraftKings, Boston is taking in 93% of moneyline bets and 99% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, the Red Sox are receiving 79% of moneyline bets and 99% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a one-way \u201clow bets, higher dollars\u201d sharp bet discrepancy in favor of the road chalk.<\/p>\n

Non-division favorites in the opening game of a new series who made the playoffs the previous season, like the Red Sox here, are 123-71 (63%) with a 7% ROI this season. Non-division road favorites off a win receiving line movement in their favor are 78-47 (62%) with a 7% ROI this season. <\/p>\n

Tolle has posted a 2.83 ERA on the road and a 2.67 ERA at night compared to a 3.72 ERA at home and a 5.24 ERA during the day.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the A\u2019s are 1-8 in Perkins\u2019 last nine starts. He has posted a 10.03 ERA in three July starts, allowing 13 earned runs in 11.2 innings pitched. <\/p>\n

Boston has a massive edge in the bullpen, sporting a team ERA of 3.05 (1st in MLB) compared to 5.53 for the Athletics (dead last). <\/p>\n

The Red Sox are 29-21 on the road this season, 5th best in MLB. The Athletics are 16-28 at home, the worst in MLB.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Today a new week begins with a 12 game MLB slate to choose from. Let\u2019s examine where smart…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":788937,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[4818,58858,9894,831,48262,28624,99,5461],"class_list":["post-788936","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-sports","tag-athletics","tag-cardinals","tag-cubs","tag-featured","tag-orioles","tag-red-sox","tag-sports","tag-tigers"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/788936","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=788936"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/788936\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/788937"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=788936"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=788936"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=788936"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}