{"id":791407,"date":"2026-07-29T13:45:15","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T13:45:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/791407\/"},"modified":"2026-07-29T13:45:15","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T13:45:15","slug":"valkyries-vs-mercury-prediction-odds-best-wnba-prop-bet-for-wednesday-july-29","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/791407\/","title":{"rendered":"Valkyries vs. Mercury Prediction, Odds, Best WNBA Prop Bet for Wednesday, July 29"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Golden State Valkyries have won nine of their last 10 games and flew up the WNBA standings before the All-Star break, establishing themselves as real contenders to win a title.<\/p>\n

Now, the Valkyries hit the road on Wednesday to face Kahleah Copper and the Phoenix Mercury. Phoenix is going to need a massive second half to get into playoff contention, as it is currently eight games under .500.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Golden State is 2-0 against the Mercury this season, though both of those matchups were played at Chase Center. Now, Gabby Williams and Co. are looking to build on that success on the road to remain in the mix for the top spot in the WNBA standings.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Phoenix has struggled in the 2026 season after making the Finals in 2025, and it has yet to cover the spread in a single game as a home underdog. Does that change tonight?<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s a look at the odds, a player prop to bet and my prediction for this Western Conference showdown.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Valkyries vs. Mercury Odds, Spread and Total<\/p>\n

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a><\/p>\n

Spread<\/p>\n

Valkyries -5.5 (-110)Mercury +5.5 (-110)<\/p>\n

Moneyline<\/p>\n

Valkyries: -225Mercury: +182<\/p>\n

Total<\/p>\n

155.5 (Over -111\/Under -109)Valkyries vs. Mercury How to WatchDate: Wednesday, July 29Time: 10:00 p.m. ESTVenue: Mortgage Matchup CenterHow to Watch (TV): USA Network, CNBC, Arizona Family of Sports, KPIX+, Merc+Valkyries record: 19-8Mercury record: 10-18Valkyries vs. Mercury Injury ReportsValkyries Injury ReportGabby Williams — questionableMercury Injury ReportValkyries vs. Mercury Best WNBA Prop BetsMercury Best WNBA Prop BetKahleah Copper UNDER 2.5 Assists (-166)<\/p>\n

Mercury star Kahleah Copper is averaging just 1.8 assists per game in the 2026 season, and now she\u2019s taking on a Golden State team that is No. 1 in the league in defensive rating, opponent points per game and opponent assists per game.<\/p>\n

Copper cleared this line in her first meeting with the Valkyries (four dimes), but she had just one assist in their last matchup. Overall, the star guard has just seven games all season (out of 27) with three or more assists.<\/p>\n

Given the matchup, I\u2019d be shocked to see Copper put up a big assist number, as Golden State is allowing just 18.4 opponent assists per game.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Valkyries vs. Mercury Prediction and Pick<\/p>\n

Earlier today, I shared in my WNBA Best Bets column \u2013 Peter\u2019s Points<\/a> \u2013 why I\u2019m trusting Golden State to cover on the road:\u00a0<\/p>\n

Golden State already has two wins (both at home) by six or more points against this Phoenix team, and it comes out of the break with the best defensive rating in the WNBA.<\/p>\n

The Mercury have not been good in the 2026 season, as they rank 10th in the league in net rating (minus-4.2), 12th in offensive rating and 12th in defensive rating. Alyssa Thomas has been floated in trade rumors ahead of the deadline, a sign that the Mercury are ready to change their core despite making the Finals in 2025.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Phoenix has yet to cover the spread as a home underdog this season (0-4 to date), and I don\u2019t expect it to upset this Golden State team that was rolling before the break, winning nine of its last 10 games.<\/p>\n

The Valkyries are an elite defensive team, and they should be able to slow a Mercury offense that is ninth in the league in both effective field goal percentage and assist-to-turnover ratio. Plus, the Valkyries are a league-best 3-2 against the spread as road favorites, posting an average scoring margin of plus-10.2 points per game in those matchups.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Pick: Valkyries -5.5 (-110 at DraftKings)<\/a><\/p>\n

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n

Find Peter Dewey’s\u00a0WNBA betting record here<\/a>\u00a0(futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on \u00a0BetStamp here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Claim the latest DraftKings promo code<\/a> offer today. Sign up and get $150 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet.<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"Add us as a preferred source on GoogleFollow<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Golden State Valkyries have won nine of their last 10 games and flew up the WNBA standings…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":791408,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[73],"tags":[99,434],"class_list":["post-791407","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-wnba","tag-sports","tag-wnba"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/791407","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=791407"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/791407\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/791408"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=791407"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=791407"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=791407"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}