A’ja Wilson: -360Paige Bueckers: +850Olivia Miles: +1000Caitlin Clark: +1300Breanna Stewart: +3500Sabrina Ionescu: +15000Rhyne Howard: +15000Allisha Gray: +15000Jessica Shepard: +15000Marina Mabrey: +20000Kelsey Mitchell: +20000Aliyah Boston: +20000Sonia Citron: +20000Gabby Williams: +20000Jackie Young: +25000Angel Reese: +25000A\u2019ja Wilson<\/p>\n
Wilson\u2019s two-way impact is a major reason why she\u2019s the favorite to win MVP this season.<\/p>\n
The Aces star is not only averaging 26.2 points per game, but she leads the other top candidates in win shares while also putting up 1.6 steals and 2.0 blocks per game. Las Vegas relies heavily on Wilson on both ends of the floor, and she remains the league\u2019s best scorer, shooting 53.7 percent from the field and 44.1 percent from 3.\u00a0<\/p>\n
If the Aces end up with a top-two seed, it\u2019s going to be really hard to make a case for anyone other than Wilson to win MVP, especially since her advanced numbers (win shares, box plus\/minus, player impact estimate) are all at the top of the league.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Paige Bueckers<\/p>\n
The Dallas Wings won just 10 games in the 2025 season, so Bueckers\u2019 play in 2026 has been a huge part to them turning things around and becoming a true playoff contender.<\/p>\n
The second-year guard is averaging 20.9 points, 4.2 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game while shooting 51.3 percent from the field and 39.7 percent from 3. Bueckers has also accumulated 4.0 win shares for the No. 4-seeded Wings.\u00a0<\/p>\n
I think Bueckers, Miles and Clark are all interchangeable as the No. 2 player in this market, but there\u2019s no doubt that the Wings\u2019 turnaround falls on the shoulders of Bueckers and All-Star Jessica Shepard. If voters want to make the case for Dallas seeing the biggest year-to-year change of any team, then Bueckers certainly is deserving of this honor.\u00a0<\/p>\n
She\u2019s yet to play a game in the second half, but the star guard has Dallas just four games out of the No. 1 seed and one game out of the No. 2 seed in the league.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Olivia Miles<\/p>\n
Rookie Olivia Miles has accumulated 4.4 win shares in her first WNBA season, and she\u2019s been a major reason why the Lynx have the best record in the WNBA.\u00a0<\/p>\n
A rookie winning MVP would be shocking, but Miles is putting up MVP numbers, averaging 19.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 6.0 assists per game. The Lynx guard may see her role decrease a bit with Napheesa Collier healthy again, but Miles opened the second half with 24 points, six boards and eight dimes in a win over Toronto.\u00a0<\/p>\n
If the Lynx hold on to the No. 1 seed, I could see Miles closing as the No. 2 candidate behind Wilson. However, oddsmakers don\u2019t believe that the Lynx\u2019s record alone is enough to vault her over Wilson at this point in the season.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Caitlin Clark<\/p>\n
Clark is making a serious push to win MVP after scoring 45 points in a win to spark the Fever on a 4-0 stretch. The star guard doesn\u2019t have the win share numbers that these other candidates do (2.9), but she\u2019s also played in less games due to a back injury.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Overall, Clark is averaging 21.5 points, 3.8 rebounds and 7.9 dimes per game while shooting 44.3 percent from the field and 35.4 percent from 3.\u00a0<\/p>\n
It\u2019s going to take a second half run up the standings from Indiana to truly give Clark a chance to win MVP, but her odds have improved since the All-Star break<\/a>. If there\u2019s one thing going for Clark, it\u2019s that she seems to be the player that could challenge Wilson in terms of scoring average by the end of the season.<\/p>\n A few more huge shooting performances that lead to Fever wins could put Clark\u2019s numbers ahead of Miles or Bueckers, even if the other two guards are on teams with better records.\u00a0 <\/p>\n Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n Find Peter Dewey’s\u00a0WNBA betting record here<\/a>\u00a0(futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on \u00a0BetStamp here<\/a>.<\/p>\n Create a new FanDuel Sportsbook account, and you can get up to $1,000 in bonus bets.<\/a> Register now and make a $5 wager each day for five days to claim your FanDuel promo code <\/a>offer today.<\/p>\n
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