{"id":797510,"date":"2026-08-01T14:13:09","date_gmt":"2026-08-01T14:13:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/797510\/"},"modified":"2026-08-01T14:13:09","modified_gmt":"2026-08-01T14:13:09","slug":"liberty-vs-mercury-prediction-polymarket-positions-props-and-best-bet-for-wnba-battle-on-abc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/797510\/","title":{"rendered":"Liberty vs. Mercury prediction: Polymarket positions, props and best bet for WNBA battle on ABC"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"IC6BCPF3GNAUTGVV5ZSCN3A3MQ\">The New York Liberty visit the Phoenix Mercury on Saturday at 3 p.m. ET in a nationally televised tilt on ABC and streaming on Disney+. The Liberty enter looking to rebound from Thursday\u2019s 104-99 loss to Las Vegas, which ended New York\u2019s three-game winning streak and dropped the defending contenders to 16-13. Breanna Stewart remained in strong form with 26 points and 11 rebounds, but the Liberty\u2019s recent defensive issues resurfaced as the Aces shot better than 51% from the field. <\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"7WX5A3H4QVDVBBHE5YGSK5FHIQ\">Phoenix comes to this one at 11-18 with considerably more momentum after winning three straight, including Wednesday\u2019s 91-89 victory over Golden State behind 27 points from Kahleah Copper and a near triple-double from Alyssa Thomas, who finished with 25 points, nine rebounds and eight assists. <\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"JUUHLRHUKJHKPJALKUUMDU6H3U\">New York won the teams\u2019 first meeting 84-74 on May 27, but slowing Copper and Thomas will be critical as the Liberty try to avoid consecutive road losses. <\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"OR46P5TBRVGVPOQEYYLG5K7JL4\">With New York trying to regain its footing and Phoenix carrying a three-game winning streak into Saturday, the matchup offers several close calls for prediction-market traders. Here\u2019s how <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-app.onelink.me\/S8ac\/CUSE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/polymarket-app.onelink.me\/S8ac\/CUSE\">Polymarket<\/a> currently prices the Liberty-Mercury moneyline, spread, total and featured player scoring positions.<\/p>\n<p>Polymarket positions for WNBA Liberty vs. Mercury<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"EKUTFA5RMVGPFKSX7UJB6AS77E\"><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-app.onelink.me\/S8ac\/CUSE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/polymarket-app.onelink.me\/S8ac\/CUSE\">Polymarket gives the New York Liberty a modest edge over the Phoenix Mercury<\/a> ahead of Saturday\u2019s 3 p.m. ET matchup. New York\u2019s moneyline position trades at 56 cents, while Phoenix sits at 46 cents. The spread and total markets remain nearly even, pointing to expectations for a competitive, relatively high-scoring game.<\/p>\n<p>Main game positionsMarketLiberty positionMercury positionMoneylineLiberty 56\u00a2Mercury 46\u00a2SpreadLiberty -2.5 at 52\u00a2Mercury +2.5 at 53\u00a2TotalOver 175.5 at 52\u00a2Under 175.5 at 53\u00a2<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"XBEK53VIAFE7BG33Y6ZFGVLLYA\">New York\u2019s 56-cent moneyline price reflects a slight lean toward the Liberty, but Phoenix remains within striking distance at 46 cents. The spread market is even tighter, with both sides priced near the midpoint. Traders also show little separation on the 175.5-point total, although the under holds a narrow one-cent advantage.<\/p>\n<p>Player points positionsPlayerPoints lineOverUnderJonquel Jones13.595\u00a297\u00a2Alyssa Thomas14.596\u00a298\u00a2Sabrina Ionescu19.595\u00a298\u00a2Kahleah Copper21.595\u00a297\u00a2Breanna Stewart22.596\u00a296\u00a2<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"Z3SJJLA5I5GETMFODGCLH4SI7M\">The available scoring positions focus on several of the matchup\u2019s biggest stars. Breanna Stewart owns the highest Liberty total at 22.5 points, followed by Sabrina Ionescu at 19.5. Phoenix guard Kahleah Copper carries a 21.5-point line, while Alyssa Thomas and Jonquel Jones are listed at 14.5 and 13.5, respectively. Prices can move before tipoff as traders react to injury reports, confirmed lineups and market activity.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"U2KNLMK3JZGG5JQRHX52NWMNDY\">Polymarket odds and prices reflect live peer-to-peer trading and update in real time. <\/p>\n<p>WNBA prediction markets:<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"5Q2VPXVHH5GMTLN4X532BZWEWM\">Local basketball fans in New York and Arizona can now use prediction markets to trade on the WNBA as an alternative to typical betting. Here are our top options, and available promo codes for new users:<\/p>\n<p>PlatformWNBA Eligible?July \u201926 Sign-Up BonusVerified Promo Codes<a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-app.onelink.me\/S8ac\/CLEVE\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a>Yes$50<a href=\"https:\/\/www.syracuse.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/20-polymarket-referral-code-cuse-available-in-ny-fl-and-il-for-mets-marlins-yankees-cubs-mlb-friday.html\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.syracuse.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/20-polymarket-referral-code-cuse-available-in-ny-fl-and-il-for-mets-marlins-yankees-cubs-mlb-friday.html\">CUSE<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.masslive.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/new-20-polymarket-promo-code-mass-ready-for-red-sox-dodgers-mlb-friday.html\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.masslive.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/new-20-polymarket-promo-code-mass-ready-for-red-sox-dodgers-mlb-friday.html\">MASS<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oregonlive.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/polymarket-20-invite-code-oregon-available-for-mariners-twins-mlb-friday.html\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.oregonlive.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/polymarket-20-invite-code-oregon-available-for-mariners-twins-mlb-friday.html\">OREGON<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.silive.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/new-polymarket-promo-code-silive-upgrades-50-referral-promo-in-time-for-yankees-white-sox-mets-marlins.html\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.silive.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/new-polymarket-promo-code-silive-upgrades-50-referral-promo-in-time-for-yankees-white-sox-mets-marlins.html\">SILIVE<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cleveland.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/experts-release-updated-guardians-vs-reds-for-wednesday-prediction-following-recent-injury-updates.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.cleveland.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/experts-release-updated-guardians-vs-reds-for-wednesday-prediction-following-recent-injury-updates.html\">CLEVE<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/affiliates.routy.app\/route\/245083?affId=10159&amp;ts=5008256\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Kalshi<\/a>Yes$10<a href=\"https:\/\/www.syracuse.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/updated-kalshi-promo-code-syracuse-provides-potential-500-bonus-for-yankees-white-sox-mets-marlins-mlb-thursday.html\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.syracuse.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/updated-kalshi-promo-code-syracuse-provides-potential-500-bonus-for-yankees-white-sox-mets-marlins-mlb-thursday.html\">SYRACUSE<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oregonlive.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/kalshi-code-oregonlive1-unlock-up-to-500-in-bonus-credits-as-wnba-pdx-fire-face-fever-caitlin-clark.html\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.oregonlive.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/kalshi-code-oregonlive1-unlock-up-to-500-in-bonus-credits-as-wnba-pdx-fire-face-fever-caitlin-clark.html\">OREGONLIVE1<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.masslive.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/updated-kalshi-referral-code-masslive1-get-potential-500-bonus-for-red-sox-vs-athletics-on-thursday.html\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.masslive.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/updated-kalshi-referral-code-masslive1-get-potential-500-bonus-for-red-sox-vs-athletics-on-thursday.html\">MASSLIVE1<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.silive.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/kalshi-referral-code-silive-500-bonus-updated-for-mlb-trade-markets-yankees-cubs-and-mets-marlins.html\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.silive.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/kalshi-referral-code-silive-500-bonus-updated-for-mlb-trade-markets-yankees-cubs-and-mets-marlins.html\">SILIVE<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cleveland.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/mlb-10-kalshi-promo-code-cleveland-extended-from-july-4th.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.cleveland.com\/betting\/2026\/07\/mlb-10-kalshi-promo-code-cleveland-extended-from-july-4th.html\">CLEVELAND<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/affiliates.routy.app\/route\/275279?affId=10159&amp;ts=5008256\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Novig<\/a>Yes$50<a href=\"https:\/\/www.syracuse.com\/betting\/2026\/05\/mlb-novig-promo-code-syracuse-updates-50-bonus-for-sundays-slate.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SYRACUSE<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oregonlive.com\/betting\/2026\/05\/novig-promo-code-oregon-issues-50-nba-playoffs-bonus-for-spurs-thunder-wcf-game-7-on-saturday.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">OREGON<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.masslive.com\/betting\/2026\/05\/50-novig-promo-code-masslive-upgraded-for-red-sox-vs-twins.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MASSLIVE<\/a>, CLEVELANDWNBA betting preview: New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"RG5ON5TKNNFJBMSY6F3Y6YJXLQ\">Explore the interactive widget below to see the spread, total, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Liberty-Mercury WNBA matchup in Phoenix, AZ. <\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"5CZJSAT7XJAQPIQAEN2JG64RR4\">Here are the key details for Saturday\u2019s marquee WNBA matchup, including the latest traditional odds:<\/p>\n<p>Game detailsTeams:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/liberty.wnba.com\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/liberty.wnba.com\/\">New York Liberty<\/a>\u00a0vs.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/mercury.wnba.com\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/mercury.wnba.com\/\">Phoenix Mercury<\/a>Date:\u00a0Saturday, August 1, 2026Time:\u00a03:00 PM ETVenue:\u00a0Mortgage Matchup Center| Phoenix, AZTV: ABC, Disney+WNBA standings:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wnba.com\/standings\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.wnba.com\/standings\">Current WNBA regular season standings<\/a>WNBA news:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wnba.com\/news\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.wnba.com\/news\">Check the latest updates from the official WNBA news site<\/a>Expert Prediction: Liberty vs. Mercury<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"ZU4Z2VZFLJASJN3D7C6DQXT7XE\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dimers.com\/wnba\/predictions\/2026_86_phx_ny\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.dimers.com\/wnba\/predictions\/2026_86_phx_ny\">Dimers\u2019 simulation model favors New York<\/a> after running the matchup 10,000 times. The Liberty win 67% of the simulations and cover the 2.5-point spread in 58%, giving New York a projected seven-percentage-point edge against the market price. Dimers projects an 88-83 Liberty victory, with Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu leading a balanced offense while Alyssa Thomas keeps Phoenix competitive with her scoring and playmaking.<\/p>\n<p>Best Bet: Liberty -2.5<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"VZ3GJVDAXBCAXEWNJ7FWME4T2M\">Our best bet is New York Liberty -2.5. New York\u2019s season-long ATS results have been disappointing, entering at 10-16 against the spread, but this small number offers more room than many of their earlier favorite roles. More importantly, New York has already beaten Phoenix twice this season, winning 84-74 on May 27 and 75-68 two nights later. Both margins cleared Saturday\u2019s 2.5-point line, while the first victory came with New York laying four points. With Dimers giving the Liberty a 58% chance to cover and projecting a five-point win, New York -2.5 is the preferred position despite the team\u2019s uneven overall ATS record.<\/p>\n<p>Projected box score<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"JEYN5F3HVVACVE2QRJWKV7GKFM\">New York Liberty<\/p>\n<p>PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsBreanna Stewart1883Sabrina Ionescu1855Jonquel Jones1282Pauline Astier1033Marine Johann\u00e8s822<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"ITTOYR6OWZETTAUNLT7SPVFILU\">Phoenix Mercury<\/p>\n<p>PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsKahleah Copper2142Alyssa Thomas1589DeWanna Bonner1061Val\u00e9riane Ayayi942Aerial Powers612<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"MSCHHCMOL5G4PBEXUI6NQV3INE\">These Liberty vs. Mercury predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, can guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits. <\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"TDRIP54BYVCLLLMG4VDT2KBKRA\">For further insights, explore Dimers\u2019 expert <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dimers.com\/bet-hub\/wnba\/schedule\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">WNBA predictions<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dimers.com\/best-bets\/wnba\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">best WNBA bets<\/a> today, while their in-depth analysis includes <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dimers.com\/best-props\/wnba\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">WNBA props<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dimers.com\/futures\/wnba\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">WNBA futures<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dimers.com\/wnba\/best-odds\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">WNBA odds<\/a>, and the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dimers.com\/news?sport=wnba\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">WNBA news<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"low\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Polymarket Invite Code Instructions.\" class=\"article__image-content\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/475P7GYGOBG3JBL55C3D74UUO4.png\"  \/>This Polymarket Invite Code secures a $20 cash trading bonus in three simple steps.Polymarket Invite Code.Conclusion: Polymarket eyeing bounce back by Liberty on Saturday<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"3CA6RDNQMBEKPDQPJID4S4TWSE\">Phoenix enters with momentum, but New York\u2019s previous success in the matchup and Dimers\u2019 simulation advantage point toward the Liberty earning another victory. <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-app.onelink.me\/S8ac\/CUSE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/polymarket-app.onelink.me\/S8ac\/CUSE\">Polymarket<\/a> traders can follow the moneyline, Liberty -2.5 spread, 175.5-point total and featured player scoring positions as prices move before Saturday afternoon\u2019s tipoff. <\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"XEZ7QS7IRRDC3HHBLRZWMHUDHQ\">Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Polymarket is a prediction market platform. Trading involves risk. Only participate where legally permitted and never trade more than you can afford to lose.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"QLAXOQN7HFBEJPJDFR5V7EDI5M\">For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\">If you or a loved one has questions or needs to talk to a professional about gambling, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit <a href=\"https:\/\/www.1800gambler.net\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">1800gambler.net<\/a> for more information.<\/p>\n<p>If you purchase a product or register for an account through a link on our site, we may receive compensation. By using this site, you consent to our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.advancelocal.com\/advancelocalUserAgreement\/user-agreement.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">User Agreement<\/a> and agree that your clicks, interactions, and personal information may be collected, recorded, and\/or stored by us and social media and other third-party partners in accordance with our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.advancelocal.com\/advancelocalUserAgreement\/privacy-policy.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Privacy Policy.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The New York Liberty visit the Phoenix Mercury on Saturday at 3 p.m. ET in a nationally televised&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":797511,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[73],"tags":[99,434],"class_list":["post-797510","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-wnba","tag-sports","tag-wnba"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/797510","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=797510"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/797510\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/797511"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=797510"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=797510"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=797510"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}