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<\/p>\nWeek 5 is underway, bringing us another round of start\/sit decisions. These are my biggest stands and fades for Sunday\u2019s slate of games. <\/p>\n
\u25b6 QuarterbackStart: Jacoby Brissett, Cardinals<\/p>\n
It doesn\u2019t get better than a matchup with the Lions that features a 54.5-point total. Detroit ranks 30th in EPA per dropback allowed. They are giving up the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks (27.9) and it\u2019s not a close race. The gap between them and the No. 2 team is as large as the gap between two and 13. To no one\u2019s surprise, Brissett has thrived in shootouts since joining the Cardinals.<\/p>\n
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His fantasy output soars to 22.5 points per game when the total hits 48 points. This is an incredible streaming spot for the gunslinger.<\/p>\n
Start: Michael Penix, Falcons<\/p>\n
Vegas likes Atlanta this week, assigning them a healthy 23.5-point team total versus Baltimore. It\u2019s a tough matchup, but one Penix has played well enough to overcome. He currently ranks second in the league in EPA per play and eighth in completion percent over expected. He\u2019s averaging over 10 yards per attempt but has thrown for a combined 45 passes across two starts. Penix\u2019s low passing volume largely comes down to his team\u2019s dominance early in games. The Falcons have outscored their opponents 55-17 in the first three quarters of Penix\u2019s two starts. If he can even hit 30 attempts versus Baltimore, Penix will surge up the QB2 ranks.<\/p>\n
Sit: Jalen Hurts, Eagles<\/p>\n
Sportsbooks are throwing in the towel on Philly. The Eagles have the second-lowest implied team total of the week. They looked atrocious with DeVonta Smith, Saquon Barkley, and Lane Johnson in the lineup. Now all three of those pillars of the offense are gone. Four teams are down to their backup quarterback this week. All four of them have higher points projections than the Eagles, who have an implied team total of 17.<\/p>\n
Sit: Tyler Shough, Saints<\/p>\n
Shough gets the nightmare matchups this week. He\u2019s taking on a Vikings defense that leads the league in EPA per dropback allowed. They are also the worst fantasy matchup for opposing passers through one month of football. Brian Flores\u2019s blitz-first defense is simply putting quarterbacks in a blender. Minnesota has allowed the second-fewest completions and the ninth-fewest yards this year. For as good as Shough has been for fantasy, his efficiency isn\u2019t awfully impressive. He sits at 18th in EPA per dropback headed into Week 5. This finally looks like a matchup that will shut down his volume-based fantasy scam.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Ranking and evaluating all of Week 5\u2019s top plays at quarterback.<\/p>\n \u25b6 Running BackStart: Bhayshul Tuten, Jaguars<\/p>\n Tuten is really good. I said it. Don\u2019t believe me? Enjoy some nerd stats:<\/p>\n 4.02 yards after contact per carry (4th among running backs).32 missed tackles forced per attempt (2nd).67 rush yards over expected per carry (10th)1.35 yards per route run (12th)<\/p>\n Now he gets to tee off on a Philly defense that ranks 28th in rush EPA per play allowed as a 7.5-point favorite. This is the breakout game for Tuten.<\/p>\n Start: J.K. Dobbins, Broncos<\/p>\n Dobbins is strictly a two-down grinder on a team that has been hit or miss at best on offense. The good news is the Broncos are in a get-right spot versus the reeling Chargers this week and Sean Payton is back on the headset calling plays. Denver is favored by 3.5 points this week. Since the start of 2025, Dobbins has averaged 16 carries per game when the Broncos are favored by a field goal or more.<\/p>\n Sit: Tony Pollard, Titans<\/p>\n I previously said that the Eagles were projected to score fewer points than all but one team. That team is, of course, the Titans. Pollard\u2019s workload is solid. He is 15th in total expected fantasy points. That simply doesn\u2019t matter when you play on the worst team in football. Pollard ranks dead last in fantasy points over expectation. This is a high-end RB2 role on an offense that can barely support RB3 fantasy output.<\/p>\n Sit: Omarion Hampton, Chargers<\/p>\n The Hampton experiment is coming to an end. He plummeted to season-lows in snap share (32 percent) and carry share (36 percent) last week. His route rate held under 25 percent for the second week in a row and he failed to earn a double-digit target share for the fourth week in a row. Keaton Mitchell saw more snaps, carries, routes, and targets than Hampton in Week 4. Hampton looks like a backup running back on a bottom-five offense.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Ranking and evaluating all of Week 5\u2019s top plays at running back.<\/p>\n \u25b6 Wide ReceiverStart: Michael Wilson, Cardinals<\/p>\n Wilson\u2019s role is downright elite. With top-10 marks in both target share (29 percent) and air yards share (44 percent), Wilson\u2019s .76 weighted opportunity rating ranks fourth among wideouts. He gets a Detroit defense that can\u2019t stop a nosebleed right now.<\/p>\n Not only are the Lions terrible against the run and pass, but they also give up explosive pass plays (15+ yards) at the fifth-highest rate. This is a WR1 spot for Wilson.<\/p>\n Start: Parker Washington, Jaguars<\/p>\n Washington has gone cold over the past two weeks as the Jags have spread the ball around more than they did in their first two games. Even after the mini-slump, Washington looks like the team\u2019s clear WR1. His 26 percent target share and 40 percent air yards share both lead the team by a comfortable margin. He also looks like their best receiver with top-20 marks in PFF receiving grade and yards per route run. He leads the Jags in slot routes headed into a game versus a Philly defense that has given up more targets o slot receivers than all but one other team.<\/p>\n Sit: Rome Odunze, Bears<\/p>\n Whether it\u2019s the player, the offense, the quarterbacks, or some combination of the three, this setup just isn\u2019t working for Odunze. He ranks 53rd among wideouts in target share and is being targeted on a dismal 15 percent of his routes. Odunze isn\u2019t making big plays at a high enough clip to offset the low target totals. His 16.4 yards per catch is really strong, but it still has him at just 37th in yards per route run. Maybe things change once Caleb Williams returns to the lineup, but Odunze is merely a WR4 right now.<\/p>\n Sit: Wan\u2019Dale Robinson, Titans<\/p>\n Like Pollard, Robinson doesn\u2019t stand much of a chance at putting up fantasy points in this offense. Unlike Pollard, the role isn\u2019t there for Robinson either. His 22 percent target share is solid, but a 6.6 aDOT\u2014the ninth-lowest among qualified wideouts\u2014is dismal. Robinson has seen a measly 22 percent of the Titans\u2019 air yards this year. Carnell Tate has not dipped below a 40 percent air yards share in a single game. Tate is playing a far more valuable role and is barely a WR3. Robinson is far lower in the ranks, arguably in the WR5 zone.<\/p>\n![\"NFL:](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1791630378_48_.jpeg\")
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