{"id":879918,"date":"2026-10-12T17:46:13","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T17:46:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/879918\/"},"modified":"2026-10-12T17:46:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T17:46:13","slug":"five-knee-jerk-reactions-as-the-premier-league-2026-27-returns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/879918\/","title":{"rendered":"Five Knee-Jerk Reactions as the Premier League 2026-27 Returns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">After an eventful first weekend of <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/competition\/premier-league\" data-type=\"competition\" data-id=\"135731\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Premier League<\/a> football following three weeks off, we sum up the action with five hastily made conclusions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Following the international break, we\u2019re back with our weekly round-up of the Premier League action with a dose of knee-jerk reactions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Usually, we take our time and use big data sets to come to our conclusions, but here, we only need a single round of matches to make our minds up.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sometimes these prove to be no more than knee-jerk reactions, but there are times when a slightly deeper delve into the numbers suggests that there might actually be some truth to them.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Read on to see what you make of this week\u2019s takeaways.<\/p>\n<p>Red Cards Don\u2019t Matter Any More<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Are Premier League players now so fit that they are equipped to deal with the challenge of having a man sent off? The evidence of Saturday (though very much not Sunday) suggests that\u2019s one possibility.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">First, <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/football\/team\/scm-36\/brighton-hove-albion\" data-type=\"team\" data-id=\"137627\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brighton<\/a> were reduced to 10 men when <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/players\/830\/pascal-struijk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" data-analyst-id=\"830\" data-thumbnail-url=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/default-player-50x50.jpeg\" style=\"--ta-person-link-thumb: url(&#039;https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/default-player-50x50.jpeg&#039;)\" class=\"ta-person-link\">Pascal Struijk<\/a> was dismissed just 12 minutes into the second half at Sunderland, but still went on to win. Fabian H\u00fcrzeler\u2019s men managed the game exceptionally well and, despite being at a one-man disadvantage, kept their opponents at arm\u2019s length. They \u2018won\u2019 the period in which they were playing with 10 men by a goal to nil and wrapped up a 2-0 victory.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Then, in the late kick-off, <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/football\/team\/scm-6\/tottenham-hotspur\" data-type=\"team\" data-id=\"137599\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Spurs<\/a> had <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/players\/4285\/rodrigo-bentancur\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" data-analyst-id=\"4285\" data-thumbnail-url=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/default-player-50x50.jpeg\" style=\"--ta-person-link-thumb: url(&#039;https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/default-player-50x50.jpeg&#039;)\" class=\"ta-person-link\">Rodrigo Bentancur<\/a> sent off when they were a goal down at <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/football\/team\/scm-1\/manchester-united\" data-type=\"team\" data-id=\"137605\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Manchester United<\/a>. They seized the initiative, though, and eventually found a well-deserved equaliser when <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/players\/4309\/dominic-solanke\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" data-analyst-id=\"4309\" data-thumbnail-url=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/default-player-50x50.jpeg\" style=\"--ta-person-link-thumb: url(&#039;https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/default-player-50x50.jpeg&#039;)\" class=\"ta-person-link\">Dominic Solanke<\/a> headed in late on. They were so superior during that period that it appeared as though it was United who\u2019d had the man sent off.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/sunderland-vs-brighton-stats-after-the-red-card-1024x768.webp\" alt=\"Sunderland vs Brighton stats after the red card\" class=\"wp-image-263821\"  \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/man-utd-vs-spurs-stats-after-the-red-card-1024x768.webp\" alt=\"Man Utd vs Spurs stats after the red card\" class=\"wp-image-263820\"  \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Modern tactical systems are so meticulously planned that, in normal circumstances, any space that opens up can be exploited ruthlessly. But in these two games, it was the team a man down who thrived. Sunderland and United clearly didn\u2019t like having the impetus on them to go out and grab the game.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This probably isn\u2019t a sign of the times, though. Other than those two games, City at United is the only other example of a team going down to 10 men and avoiding defeat in the Premier League this season; the other six have all lost. Of course, we saw City take full advantage of Liverpool going a man down on Sunday at Anfield.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Instead, it just reflects poorly on Sunderland and United, who could not take charge when they really should have.<\/p>\n<p>Ipswich\u2019s Late Shows Can Keep Them Up<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trailing to Ryan Sessegnon\u2019s 55th-minute goal, <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/football\/team\/scm-40\/ipswich-town\" data-type=\"team\" data-id=\"137611\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ipswich Town<\/a> were heading for defeat against Fulham on Saturday, only for their late powers of recovery to kick in once again.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Abdoul Ouattara equalised in the 88th minute, before <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/players\/4052\/dara-oshea\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" data-analyst-id=\"4052\" data-thumbnail-url=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/default-player-50x50.jpeg\" style=\"--ta-person-link-thumb: url(&#039;https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/default-player-50x50.jpeg&#039;)\" class=\"ta-person-link\">Dara O\u2019Shea<\/a> won it in stoppage time to send Portman Road into delirium.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O\u2019Shea\u2019s goal at 90:59 was the third 90th-minute winner that Ipswich have scored in the Premier League this season; the only other side to have done so even once are Manchester City (1).<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ipswich-v-fulham-xg-race-1024x576.webp\" alt=\"Ipswich v Fulham xG race\" class=\"wp-image-263790\"  \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It began with Jack Clarke\u2019s late winner against Sunderland on the opening day of the season, before Zian Flemming struck to secure victory at Crystal Palace just before the international break.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It means that with 32 games still to go, the Tractor Boys are just one 90th-minute winner off tying the Premier League record for most in a season. There have been six instances of a team scoring four in a campaign: Sunderland in 2007-08, Liverpool in 2008-09, Everton in 2009-10, Newcastle in 2012-13, Leeds in 2021-22, and Liverpool in 2025-26.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And that knack of nicking late points can really add up. Gary O\u2019Neil\u2019s side have earned an extra six points already this season via stoppage-time winners, which is significant when you consider they only won 22 points in total the last time they were in the top flight in 2024-25.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ipswich have won three of their first six Premier League games in a season for only the second time, after 1993-94 (W3 D2 L1); it took them 19 games to win as many as three in 2024-25.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Will that be enough to keep them up? We\u2019ll have to wait and see, but their ability to finish strongly has given them a pretty good start.<\/p>\n<p>Champions League Race Will Be Closest in Years<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While excellence of course makes for the best kind of sporting competition, widespread fallibility is the next best thing, and it looks like we might just have that in abundance this season.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The teams currently in fourth and fifth, Brentford and Everton, probably won\u2019t be there at the end of the season, but the fact that they are in the Champions League spots (if fifth again earns a place) with just two wins from six is noteworthy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That\u2019s a win percentage of 33.3% which, over the course of a 38-game season, would equate to 12.7 wins. Everton finished 13th with 13 wins last season.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/premier-league-table-2026-27-12-oct-2026-1024x1024.webp\" alt=\"Premier League table 2026-27 - 12 Oct 2026\" class=\"wp-image-263795\"  \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Thirteen wins won\u2019t be enough to get into the Champions League but the fact that teams are flying so high right now having failed to win twice as many games (four) as they\u2019ve won (two) speaks to the inconsistency of every team outside the top two (and, for now, Brighton).<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If Chelsea, Liverpool, Man Utd, Newcastle, Aston Villa and Spurs \u2013 the usual suspects in the race for European qualification \u2013 all continue as they have begun, spaces will open up for the most competitive Champions League race ever.<\/p>\n<p>Age is Just a Number<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lionel Messi has long been proving as much on the international stage but, well, he is the greatest footballer of all time, and can hardly be taken as the rule for everyone else.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But a few golden oldies are showing that there is life in some Premier League old dogs, too. This weekend, top of this particular pile were <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/players\/6468\/jordan-henderson\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" data-analyst-id=\"6468\" data-thumbnail-url=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/default-player-50x50.jpeg\" style=\"--ta-person-link-thumb: url(&#039;https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/default-player-50x50.jpeg&#039;)\" class=\"ta-person-link\">Jordan Henderson<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/players\/99\/pascal-gros\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" data-analyst-id=\"99\" data-thumbnail-url=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/default-player-50x50.jpeg\" style=\"--ta-person-link-thumb: url(&#039;https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/default-player-50x50.jpeg&#039;)\" class=\"ta-person-link\">Pascal Gro\u00df<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Henderson was the star of the show at Stamford Bridge, where <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/football\/team\/scm-8\/chelsea\" data-type=\"team\" data-id=\"137613\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Chelsea<\/a> thrashed Bournemouth 5-1, the 36-year-old scoring twice \u2013 both from outside the box \u2013 and providing an assist. He became Chelsea\u2019s oldest English goalscorer in the Premier League (36y 115d) since John Terry against Watford in May 2017 (36y 159d), as well as the seventh-oldest player ever to be directly involved in three goals in a Premier League game. Cristiano Ronaldo aside, he was the oldest since Ryan Giggs vs Fulham 15 years ago, in December 2011.<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">02:29 \u2013 Only Emile Heskey against Derby County in April 1998 inside the opening two minutes has a player both scored and assisted earlier in a Premier League game than Jordan Henderson against Bournemouth (02:29).<\/p>\n<p>Rapid. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VJsTqKcgP3\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/VJsTqKcgP3<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/OptaJoe\/status\/2108926596283580924?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">October 10, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gro\u00df, meanwhile, became the oldest player to provide an assist in three successive Premier League games since Giggs in February 2012 (38y 68d).<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Giggs, Ronaldo and Terry are Premier League legends who played later than most. They were exceptions rather than the rule. But could it be that more and more players will continue performing at the top level later into their careers? Henderson and Gro\u00df are making it look like that may be the case.<\/p>\n<p>Profligate Forest Will Be Sucked into A(nother) Relegation Battle<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oliver Glasner\u2019s return to Crystal Palace with <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/football\/team\/scm-17\/nottingham-forest\" data-type=\"team\" data-id=\"137597\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nottingham Forest<\/a> was always going to be interesting, and it ultimately proved to be a very frustrating day.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">His Forest side largely dominated at Selhurst Park, particularly in the first half. Dan Ndoye gave them the lead in just the third minute, and that was one of 16 shots and six \u2018big chances\u2019 Forest had in the opening half alone.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, it was the only goal Forest managed, with Palace somehow turning things around to lead 2-1 at the break.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The game ended 3-1, with the visitors recording 24 shots and eight big chances in total. Concerningly, it wasn\u2019t the first time this season that Forest were made to pay for being wasteful in front of goal.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/nottingham-forest-xg-after-6-games-2026-27-1024x768.webp\" alt=\"Nottingham Forest xG after 6 games 2026-27\" class=\"wp-image-263789\"  \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Glasner\u2019s men have scored just five goals from 10.3 expected goals (xG) in the Premier League this season, an underperformance of 5.3 goals, which is the worst in the division. Only six teams have recorded a higher xG than Forest this season, but only two have scored fewer goals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The moment that seemed to sum it up most on Sunday was when Liam Delap was presented with a simple chance from point-blank range after Morgan Gibbs-White\u2019s chip came back off the bar, and the former Chelsea striker just slammed his shot straight into Palace goalkeeper Walter Ben\u00edtez when it looked far easier to score.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Forest aren\u2019t playing badly, but they\u2019ll need to start putting their chances away soon if they want to avoid another relegation battle this season.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">Enjoy this? Add Opta Analyst as a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=theanalyst.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">preferred source by clicking here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">Subscribe to our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/sign-up\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">football newsletter<\/a>\u00a0to receive exclusive weekly content. You should also follow our social accounts over on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.twitter.com\/OptaAnalyst\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">X<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/optaanalyst\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Instagram<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tiktok.com\/@optaanalyst\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">TikTok<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/theoptaanalyst\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Facebook<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/competition\/premier-league\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/premier-league-opta-stats.jpg\" alt=\"Premier League Opta Stats\" class=\"wp-image-254232\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>        <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><script async src=\"\/\/www.instagram.com\/embed.js\"><\/script><script async src=\"\/\/www.tiktok.com\/embed.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"After an eventful first weekend of Premier League football following three weeks off, we sum up the action&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":879919,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[69],"tags":[403,99],"class_list":["post-879918","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-soccer","tag-soccer","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/879918","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=879918"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/879918\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/879919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=879918"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=879918"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=879918"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}