{"id":880788,"date":"2026-10-13T12:04:16","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T12:04:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/880788\/"},"modified":"2026-10-13T12:04:16","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T12:04:16","slug":"prediction-a-bear-market-is-coming-heres-what-history-says-investors-should-do-based-on-100-years-of-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/880788\/","title":{"rendered":"Prediction: A Bear Market Is Coming. Here&#8217;s What History Says Investors Should Do Based on 100 Years of Data."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Bull markets are like big, noisy, rollicking parties: They&#8217;re a fun time, but the fun can&#8217;t go on forever. Eventually, the party must end. The music stops, the lights turn on, and people have to get back to reality and go back to work.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Here&#8217;s a bold prediction: Sometime in the future, the stock market will enter a bear market &#8212; defined as a 20% or more decline in the share prices of a major stock market index like the S&amp;P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC).  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a &#8220;Double Down&#8221; signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same &#8220;Total Conviction&#8221; signal is flashing for a company 1\/100th the size of Nvidia. <a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=b05e62c3-44f5-4b23-b594-e6f5b5b89045&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fa-sa-dd-total-conviction%3Faid%3D11123%26source%3Disaediica0000074%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-dd-4%26ftm_veh%3Dtop_incontent_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D19375&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=07b233d3-d4a2-46f6-82e3-75d7613834e9\" data-ylk=\"slk:Continue%20%C2%BB;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Continue \u00bb&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Continue \u00bb<\/a>  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">How do I know there will be a bear market? Because there always is. Markets don&#8217;t keep going up forever. It&#8217;s like a law of nature.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">During my years as an investor and working adult, I&#8217;ve lived through several major stock market crashes and bear markets. These events are not fun to witness while they&#8217;re happening. But if you&#8217;re worried about a future <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2026\/10\/05\/the-average-sp-500-bear-market-has-lasted-340-days\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=07b233d3-d4a2-46f6-82e3-75d7613834e9\" data-ylk=\"slk:S%26P%20500%20bear%20market;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;S&amp;P 500 bear market&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">S&amp;P 500 bear market<\/a>, here are a few moves you can make right now to protect your money and peace of mind.  <\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/2e4a5a85bf7c8f146d98eba607f70bee8bdbccccc8576e530a0ff4b77d51339e\/lightyear_networkapi\/resizefit_w960%3Bquality_80%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fmotleyfool.com%2F2c69b0d97d0f966da38bab03d710fb94.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"A bear stands in front of a declining stock chart.\" height=\"679\" width=\"960\" class=\"yf-1f8hkhu loader\"\/><\/a> Image source: Getty Images.           1. Remember: The S&amp;P 500 has delivered 9.98% annualized returns for almost 100 years          <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The first thing to do before a big bear market is to keep calm and maintain a long-term perspective. Remember: For almost 100 years, since 1928, the S&amp;P 500 has delivered <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/research\/average-stock-market-return\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=07b233d3-d4a2-46f6-82e3-75d7613834e9\" data-ylk=\"slk:average%20annual%20returns%20of%209.98%25;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;average annual returns of 9.98%&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">average annual returns of 9.98%<\/a>. At that rate of return, if you invested $1,000, your money would grow to $1,099.80 after one year. The next year, it would grow by another 9.98%, to $1,209.56. And so on with the power of compound interest.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">This is an excellent rate of return, better than any savings account. But the stock market has no guarantees. You won&#8217;t automatically get exactly 9.98% every year. You have to hold on to your stock market investments and ride a few ups and downs to get there.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Yes, the stock market can make you rich, even if you only buy S&amp;P 500 index funds like the Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO) &#8212; which has delivered exceptionally strong annualized returns of about 15% during the past 16 years.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">But you can&#8217;t get those strong long-term returns unless you&#8217;re willing to put up with some stress, volatility, and even the possibility of a crash along the way. There&#8217;s no reward without some financial risk.  <\/p>\n<p>        2. Keep buying stocks with dollar-cost averaging           <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">As an everyday person who&#8217;s investing in the stock market, you have a great gift: You don&#8217;t have to beat anyone with your investments. You&#8217;re not a professional money manager or someone running a hedge fund. You don&#8217;t have to outperform the market or impress anyone or pick stocks to keep your job. You&#8217;re not competing against anyone.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">This should feel like a big relief. You don&#8217;t have to pick stocks. You don&#8217;t have to try to choose the best time to move money into certain industry sector exchange-traded funds (ETFs). If you&#8217;re investing for the long term, you can just keep buying a diversified portfolio of stocks every month, every payday, with the same amount of dollars invested each time.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">This is called dollar-cost averaging. If you invest $100 per month into an S&amp;P 500 ETF and share prices go down 10%, your $100 investment will buy an extra 10% of shares. You can automatically buy stocks on sale if you keep investing during a bear market.  <\/p>\n<p>       3. Diversify your portfolio         <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">If the thought of a bear market is making you lose sleep at night, now could be a good time to make some modest adjustments in your portfolio. For example, if you feel like you&#8217;re too highly concentrated in growth stocks or tech stocks, now could be a good time to look at dividend ETFs or bonds. If you worry that the S&amp;P 500 is too top-heavy with artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, you could diversify into value stocks or international stocks.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">There&#8217;s no guarantee that any stock or ETF will be the best choice for everyone and for every situation. The next bear market might not happen for several years. And high-flying tech stocks and large caps in the S&amp;P 500 could continue to deliver strong returns.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">But if your stomach gets queasy at the thought of a 20% decline in the value of your stock portfolio, you might want to make a few moves to diversify before that happens. The best time to avoid regrets in a bear market is while the previous bull market party is still going on.  <\/p>\n<p>       Should you buy stock in S&amp;P 500 Index right now?         <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Before you buy stock in S&amp;P 500 Index, consider this:  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the <a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=6d0ef2b7-c531-4477-befb-8552ed8af786&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-bbn-bn%3Faid%3D8867%26source%3Disaeditxt0001181%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-evergreen%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D18781&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=07b233d3-d4a2-46f6-82e3-75d7613834e9\" data-ylk=\"slk:10%20best%20stocks;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;10 best stocks&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">10 best stocks<\/a> for investors to buy now\u2026 and S&amp;P 500 Index wasn&#8217;t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004&#8230; if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you&#8217;d have $379,123!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005&#8230; if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you&#8217;d have $1,408,822!*  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Now, it&#8217;s worth noting Stock Advisor&#8217;s total average return is 950% \u2014 a market-crushing outperformance compared to 215% for the S&amp;P 500. Don&#8217;t miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=6d0ef2b7-c531-4477-befb-8552ed8af786&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-bbn-bn%3Faid%3D8867%26source%3Disaeditxt0001181%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-evergreen%26ftm_pit%3D18781%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26company%3DS%2526P%2520500%2520Index&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=07b233d3-d4a2-46f6-82e3-75d7613834e9\" data-ylk=\"slk:See%20the%2010%20stocks%20%C2%BB;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;See the 10 stocks \u00bb&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"ticker_pitch\">See the 10 stocks \u00bb<\/a>  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">*Stock Advisor returns as of October 13, 2026.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/author\/20609\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:Ben%20Gran;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Ben Gran&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Ben Gran<\/a> has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/legal\/fool-disclosure-policy\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:disclosure%20policy;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;disclosure policy&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">disclosure policy<\/a>.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2026\/10\/13\/prediction-a-bear-market-is-coming-heres-what-hist\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:Prediction%3A%20A%20Bear%20Market%20Is%20Coming.%20Here&#039;s%20What%20History%20Says%20Investors%20Should%20Do%20Based%20on%20100%20Years%20of%20Data.;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Prediction: A Bear Market Is Coming. Here&#039;s What History Says Investors Should Do Based on 100 Years of Data.&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Prediction: A Bear Market Is Coming. Here&#8217;s What History Says Investors Should Do Based on 100 Years of Data.<\/a> was originally published by The Motley Fool  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bull markets are like big, noisy, rollicking parties: They&#8217;re a fun time, but the fun can&#8217;t go on&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":880789,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[5097,28,122,101,939,2993,2994,32455,2995,932,112,32456,20112,147,9323,1170,1666,6480,2996,2997,923,19533,3733,32457],"class_list":["post-880788","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-markets","tag-401k","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-economy","tag-finance","tag-financial-information","tag-investing","tag-investment-tools","tag-investor","tag-market-news","tag-markets","tag-mortgage","tag-mutual-funds","tag-personal-finance","tag-quote","tag-real-estate","tag-retirement","tag-stock","tag-stock-research","tag-stock-valuation","tag-stocks","tag-suze-orman","tag-tax","tag-track-portfolio"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/880788","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=880788"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/880788\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/880789"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=880788"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=880788"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=880788"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}