{"id":889816,"date":"2026-10-21T08:34:15","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T08:34:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/889816\/"},"modified":"2026-10-21T08:34:15","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T08:34:15","slug":"vast-new-fossil-record-challenges-story-of-earths-big-five-mass-extinctions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/889816\/","title":{"rendered":"Vast new fossil record challenges story of Earth\u2019s \u2018big five\u2019 mass extinctions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"figure__image\" alt=\"Spiral ammonite fossil shells embedded in a light grey rock surface\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/d41586-026-03316-4_53868694.jpg\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"figure__caption u-sans-serif\">Ammonite fossils preserved in limestone. Such fossil deposits help scientists to understand biodiversity over Earth\u2019s history.Credit: Herve Conge\/Science Photo Library<\/p>\n<p>Large language models (LLMs) such as OpenAI\u2019s ChatGPT are trained to recognize patterns in written texts, helping them to choose a statistically probable word to complete a sentence. Palaeontologists have now trained a similar model on fossil records instead of words, then used it to reconstruct a timeline of changes in Earth\u2019s biodiversity over hundreds of millions of years in unprecedented detail.<\/p>\n<p>This big-data approach to interpreting the rock record \u2014 the field known as stratigraphy \u2014 could spur a rethink of major upheavals in the history of life, the model\u2019s developers say. For instance, the model suggests that three of the \u201cBig Five\u201d mass-extinction events were gradual declines in biodiversity, rather than the sudden cataclysms described by other reconstructions.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-020-00117-1\" class=\"u-link-inherit\" data-track=\"select_article\" data-track-action=\"view recommended article\" data-track-context=\"related article widget on news body\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"recommended__image\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/d41586-026-03316-4_53863202.jpg\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"recommended__title u-serif\">Supercomputer scours fossil record for Earth\u2019s hidden extinctions<\/p>\n<p><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The model is \u201ca real revolution for studying stratigraphy and past diversity change\u201d, says Shuzhong Shen, a palaeontologist at Nanjing University in China, who presented the <a href=\"https:\/\/gsameetings.secure-platform.com\/connects26\/solicitations\/103015\/sessiongallery\/schedule\/items\/96256\/application\/19884\" data-track=\"click\" data-label=\"https:\/\/gsameetings.secure-platform.com\/connects26\/solicitations\/103015\/sessiongallery\/schedule\/items\/96256\/application\/19884\" data-track-category=\"body text link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">research<\/a> at a meeting of the Geological Society of America in Denver, Colorado, on 12 October.<\/p>\n<p>Other researchers say that although the model\u2019s reconstruction \u2014 called OneStrata \u2014 seems to be the most detailed global record so far, scientists already have high-resolution reconstructions of changes in biodiversity at specific locations, including many that shed light on mass extinctions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe could do some extra things with it, but I don\u2019t know if it would be Earth shattering,\u201d says Matthew Clapham, a palaeontologist at the University of California, Santa Cruz.<\/p>\n<p>Strata struggles<\/p>\n<p>The history of life is written in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-022-00034-5\" data-track=\"click\" data-label=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-022-00034-5\" data-track-category=\"body text link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">fossil record<\/a>. Researchers can reconstruct the grand story of adaptation and extinction across Earth\u2019s history by marking the depth at which species occur in layers of sedimentary rock, called strata; depth corresponds to when a fossil was deposited in geological time. However, it is a steep computational problem to combine sequences from many different sites involving tens of thousands of species into a single coherent timeline of changing biodiversity.<\/p>\n<p>To simplify this task, stratigraphers divide sequences of fossils for each species into time intervals of millions of years. This makes it easier to assemble many sequences into a unified whole. But it produces a blurry view, obscuring changes in biodiversity that occur over shorter time intervals.<\/p>\n<p>For the past two decades, Shen and his colleagues have worked to get a sharper picture by compiling a huge data set of fossils and other geological data called <a href=\"https:\/\/onestratigraphy.ddeworld.org\/\" data-track=\"click\" data-label=\"https:\/\/onestratigraphy.ddeworld.org\/\" data-track-category=\"body text link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">OneStratigraphy<\/a>. This includes data on the depth of millions of fossil specimens in sequences of rock from tens of thousands of sites around the world.<\/p>\n<p>Large fossil model<\/p>\n<p>In 2020, Shen and his colleagues <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-020-00117-1\" data-track=\"click\" data-label=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-020-00117-1\" data-track-category=\"body text link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ran an algorithmic method on a supercomputer to piece together thousands of these sequences<\/a>, enabling them to estimate when a species appeared and went extinct with a resolution of 26,000 years \u2014 much higher than the resolution of previous estimates. They could then reconstruct a high-resolution timeline for 11,000 marine species over about 300 million years<a href=\"#ref-CR1\" data-track=\"click\" data-action=\"anchor-link\" data-track-label=\"go to reference\" data-track-category=\"references\">1<\/a>. However, including more species at shorter intervals requires an impractical amount of computational resources.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-020-00426-5\" class=\"u-link-inherit\" data-track=\"select_article\" data-track-action=\"view recommended article\" data-track-context=\"related article widget on news body\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"recommended__image\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/d41586-026-03316-4_17863038.jpg\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"recommended__title u-serif\">Biodiversity theory backed by island bird data<\/p>\n<p><\/a><\/p>\n<p>To get around that computational limit, Shen\u2019s colleagues at the Zhejiang Lab \u2014 an AI-focused research institution in Hangzhou, China \u2014 used data from OneStratigraphy to train a machine-learning model on statistical patterns in the fossil record. Just as an LLM uses its training to predict the next word in a sentence, the OneStrata model uses those patterns to predict when a particular fossil is most likely to have been deposited.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ammonite fossils preserved in limestone. Such fossil deposits help scientists to understand biodiversity over Earth\u2019s history.Credit: Herve Conge\/Science&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":889817,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[1860,12879,1159,1160,56493,79],"class_list":["post-889816","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-science","tag-evolution","tag-geology","tag-humanities-and-social-sciences","tag-multidisciplinary","tag-palaeontology","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/889816","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=889816"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/889816\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/889817"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=889816"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=889816"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=889816"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}