{"id":889916,"date":"2026-10-21T10:36:11","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T10:36:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/889916\/"},"modified":"2026-10-21T10:36:11","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T10:36:11","slug":"offseason-outlook-san-diego-padres","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/889916\/","title":{"rendered":"Offseason Outlook: San Diego Padres"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Padres find themselves in a familiar spot. They just wrapped another season that was good but not good enough. They have a decent roster but a huge chunk of the payroll is tied up in the core while the rotation has a number of holes.<\/p>\n<p>Guaranteed Contracts<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/machama01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Manny Machado<\/a>, 3B: $280MM through 2033 (including $35MM of signing bonus still owed)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/t\/tatisfe02.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Fernando Tatis Jr.<\/a>, IF\/OF:\u00a0$266MM through 2034<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/bogaexa01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Xander Bogaerts<\/a>, SS: $175MM through 2033<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/merrija01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jackson Merrill<\/a>, OF: $135MM through 2034 (including $6MM of signing bonus still owed)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/k\/kingmi01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Michael King<\/a>, RHP: $66MM through 2028 (including $8MM of signing bonus still owed)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/croneja01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jake Cronenworth<\/a>, IF\/OF: $48MM through 2030<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/musgrjo01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Joe Musgrove<\/a>, RHP: $20MM through 2027<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/matsuyu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Yuki Matsui<\/a>, LHP: $13.5MM through 2028 (Matsui may opt out after 2026 or 2027)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/songsu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Sung-Mun Song<\/a>, IF: $12MM through 2029 (including remaining signing bonus and buyout on 2030 mutual option; can opt out after 2028)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/peralwa01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Wandy Peralta<\/a>, LHP: $4.45MM player option for 2027<\/p>\n<p>Option Decisions<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/k\/kingmi01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Michael King<\/a>, RHP: $28MM player option with $5MM buyout; deal also has $30MM player option for 2028<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/pivetni01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Nick Pivetta<\/a>, RHP: $14MM club option (deal also includes $18MM player option for 2028)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/matsuyu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Yuki Matsui<\/a>, LHP: may opt out of remaining two years and $13.5MM; can also opt out after 2027<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/a\/andujmi01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Miguel Andujar<\/a>, IF\/OF: $8MM mutual option with $2.9MM buyout<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/g\/giolilu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Lucas Giolito<\/a>, RHP: $8MM mutual option with $1.5MM buyout<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/cannigr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Griffin Canning<\/a>, RHP: $5MM mutual option with $1.8MM buyout<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/peralwa01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Wandy Peralta<\/a>, LHP: $4.45MM player option for 2027<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=hartky01,hart--004kyl&amp;search=Kyle+Hart&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Kyle Hart<\/a>, LHP: $2.5MM club option with $200K buyout<\/p>\n<p>Additional Commitments<\/p>\n<p>2027 financial commitments: $180.1MM<br \/>Total future commitments: $1.0271 billion<\/p>\n<p>Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2026\/10\/projected-arbitration-salaries-for-2027.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">projected salaries courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>Non-tender candidates: Hoeing, Sears<\/p>\n<p>Free Agents<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/r\/rayro02.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Robbie Ray<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/l\/laurera01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Ramon Laureano<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/buehlwa01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Walker Buehler<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/f\/francty01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Ty France<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/r\/rengilu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Luis Rengifo<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=haysau01,hays--001aus&amp;search=Austin+Hays&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Austin Hays<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/a\/adamja01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jason Adam<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/mizeca01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Casey Mize<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/morejad01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Adri\u00e1n Morej\u00f3n<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/a\/andujmi01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Miguel Andujar<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/g\/giolilu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Lucas Giolito<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/cannigr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Griffin Canning<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Padres had a flat 48-48 record in the first half. They got hot at a good time, going 43-23 in the second half. That got them the top Wild Card spot in the National League. They quickly ran through the Cubs but then got flattened by the Brewers.<\/p>\n<p>For 2027, the goal will be to get back to the postseason once again. There\u2019s some turnover on the position player side but a lot of the lineup will be returning. The bullpen could lose a few guys to free agency but still should be in decent shape. The primary focus will be on the rotation, which has been the case for a few years now.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/buehlwa01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Walker Buehler<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/r\/rayro02.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Robbie Ray<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/mizeca01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Casey Mize<\/a> are headed to free agency. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/cannigr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Griffin Canning<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/g\/giolilu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Lucas Giolito<\/a> should be considered impending free agents as well, even though their deals contain mutual options. It\u2019s been over a decade since a mutual option was picked up by both sides. They are just accounting measures to kick some of the payment to the end of the season as a de facto deferral. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/k\/kingmi01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Michael King<\/a> has an opt-out he will surely take. The Padres will have to decide on a club option for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/pivetni01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Nick Pivetta<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>That leaves them with an on-paper rotation of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/musgrjo01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Joe Musgrove<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/v\/vasqura02.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Randy V\u00e1squez<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/searsjp01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">JP Sears<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/britojh01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jhony Brito<\/a>. Musgrove isn\u2019t even a guarantee to be a starter next year after missing both the 2025 and 2026 seasons while recovering from Tommy John surgery. He did log three postseason innings this year but jumping back up to a full workload next year is probably expecting too much, something that president of baseball operations A.J. Preller <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2026\/10\/preller-stammen-discuss-padres-offseason-rotation-injuries.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">recently admitted<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e1squez had a decent earned run average this year but worked around a 14.8% strikeout rate. Among pitchers with at least 140 innings pitched this year, only <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/suganto01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Tomoyuki Sugano<\/a> of the Rockies was lower. Sears spent most of 2026 in Triple-A, where he posted a 7.49 ERA. Brito also spent most of the year in the minors and his 2.97 ERA was good but he worked around a low 16.2% strikeout rate. The Padres will need to add multiple arms.<\/p>\n<p>The major unknown right now is what kind of resources the front office will have to work with. Under Peter Seidler, payroll kept going up but peaked in 2023. After his passing, the club scaled back a bit. That had various knock-on effects.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=sotoju01,soto--004jua&amp;search=Juan+Soto&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Juan Soto<\/a> was traded to the Yankees, both to cut costs and also bring in some extra rotation depth. Various other trades have depleted the farm system. The Padres have continued to sign free agents but often with creative accounting measures. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/pivetni01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Nick Pivetta<\/a> and King deals both featured backloaded salaries and opt-outs. The deals for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/marquge01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-10-20_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Germ\u00e1n M\u00e1rquez<\/a>, Canning and Giolito had mutual option buyouts to delay some of the payments.<\/p>\n<p>  <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"landing-logo no-border\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" width=\"372\" height=\"63\" data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1792578971_903_landing-logo.png\"\/><br \/>\n  Unlock Subscriber-Exclusive Articles Like This One With a Trade Rumors Front Office Subscription<\/p>\n<p>  &#13;<br \/>\n    Access weekly subscriber-only articles by Tim Dierkes, Steve Adams, and Anthony Franco.&#13;<br \/>\n    Join exclusive weekly live chats with Anthony.&#13;<br \/>\n    Remove ads and support our writers.&#13;<br \/>\n    Access GM-caliber tools like our MLB Contract Tracker&#13;<\/p>\n<p>  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/membership?ref=915227\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Padres find themselves in a familiar spot. They just wrapped another season that was good but not&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":889917,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[65],"tags":[363,99],"class_list":["post-889916","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/889916","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=889916"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/889916\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/889917"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=889916"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=889916"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=889916"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}