{"id":899645,"date":"2026-10-30T07:18:13","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T07:18:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/899645\/"},"modified":"2026-10-30T07:18:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T07:18:13","slug":"climate-experts-map-potential-bay-area-flood-risks-from-el-nino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/899645\/","title":{"rendered":"Climate experts map potential Bay Area flood risks from El Ni\u00f1o"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao MvWXB TjIXL aGjvy ebVHC \">NOVATO, Calif. (KGO) &#8212; Parts of the Bay Area that have long faced flooding risks could see additional threats this winter as experts monitor a combination of factors including El Ni\u00f1o, sea level rise, king tides and warming ocean conditions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Nonprofit leader Shannon Parkhurst is among those working to help residents prepare. While touring a Novato intersection that was submerged during the historic 1982 El Ni\u00f1o floods, she pointed to the area&#8217;s vulnerability.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">LIVE UPDATES: <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/abc7news.com\/live-updates\/bay-area-high-tide-flooding-parts-northern-california-deal-road-closures-warnings-coastal-flood-advisory-extends\/19990677\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">High tides continue to submerge parts of Bay Area with more flooding expected<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">&#8220;If you look around me, believe it or not, every single one of these houses that you&#8217;re seeing have been underwater,&#8221; Parkhurst said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Parkhurst&#8217;s nonprofit, the Lemon Aide Project, is helping neighbors prepare for potential flooding this winter. At the same time, climate scientists and planners around the Bay Area are assessing how severe flooding impacts could become.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Experts are monitoring several factors, including potentially wetter storms associated with El Ni\u00f1o, higher tides driven by sea level rise and king tide cycles, and Kelvin waves, which are masses of warm, expanding ocean water.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">MORE: <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/abc7news.com\/post\/bay-area-high-tides-how-el-nio-is-impacting-flood-advisory-california-coast\/19985811\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">How El Ni\u00f1o is impacting flood advisory from high tides along California coast<\/a><\/p>\n<p>A Coastal Flood Advisory has been extended through Friday across the Bay Area as El Ni\u00f1o factors contribute to high tides, bringing flooding along California&#8217;s coastline.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">&#8220;This happens when the water at the equator heats up and it pushes sort of a bulb of water up the California coast,&#8221; said Dana Brechwald, assistant planning director for climate adaptation at the San Francisco Bay Conservation and Development Commission.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">The commission has helped develop maps that project potential impacts from warming ocean temperatures and rising tides, helping establish baseline estimates for future flooding scenarios.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">&#8220;We&#8217;ll see about 12 inches of total additional water level due to thermal expansion,&#8221; Brechwald said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Brechwald said the maps are intended to help cities and counties plan for a range of scenarios while also providing residents with information about potential risks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">WATCH: <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/abc7news.com\/post\/el-nino-effect-how-climate-pattern-could-reshape-californias-winter\/19885429\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">El Ni\u00f1o Effect: How climate pattern could reshape California&#8217;s winter<\/a><\/p>\n<p>California could feel significant impacts from the return of El Ni\u00f1o, a climate pattern linked to some of the state&#8217;s most memorable winter storms.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Areas identified as particularly vulnerable include low-lying and levee-protected sections of the Marin County shoreline, parts of the Peninsula and South Bay communities such as Alviso, as well as significant stretches of the East Bay shoreline, including Alameda and Oakland Airport.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">&#8220;You can see there&#8217;s lots of overtopping at the airport and flooding in this residential neighborhood,&#8221; Brechwald said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">For many residents in flood-prone areas, the king tides that caused flooding this month may offer a glimpse of how sea level rise and El Ni\u00f1o-driven storms could combine to create additional challenges this winter.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">MORE: <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/abc7news.com\/post\/el-nio-winter-bay-area-airports-face-flooding-risk-during-holidays-research-suggests\/19988269\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">El Ni\u00f1o winter: Bay Area airports face flooding risk during holidays, research suggests<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Organizations such as the Lemon Aide Project are encouraging residents to prepare emergency kits and evacuation plans ahead of potential flooding events.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">&#8220;I want people to realize that things could be really, really bad,&#8221; Parkhurst said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Residents interested in exploring flood risks in their communities can access interactive maps through the <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bcdc.ca.gov\/resources\/maps-and-data\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">San Francisco Bay Conservation and Development Commission website<\/a>. Additional information about preparedness efforts is available through the <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lemonaideproject.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Lemon Aide Project<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA hsDdd DbOXS oklLN GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/abc7news.com\/abc-news-live-local-watch\/11513295\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Now Streaming 24\/7 Click Here\" class=\"hsDdd NDJZt sJeUN IJwXl vBqtr KrDt itslR WAUrb hakZw HlUVI \" data-testid=\"prism-image\" draggable=\"false\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1793344693_786_11518842_247-NOWSTREAMING_1280x720.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Copyright \u00a9 2026 KGO-TV. All Rights Reserved.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"NOVATO, Calif. (KGO) &#8212; Parts of the Bay Area that have long faced flooding risks could see additional&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":899646,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[376990,192,79],"class_list":["post-899645","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-376990","tag-environment","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/899645","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=899645"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/899645\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/899646"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=899645"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=899645"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=899645"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}