{"id":900787,"date":"2026-10-31T06:52:13","date_gmt":"2026-10-31T06:52:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/900787\/"},"modified":"2026-10-31T06:52:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-31T06:52:13","slug":"more-rain-comes-to-southern-colorado-elevating-flood-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/900787\/","title":{"rendered":"More rain comes to southern Colorado, elevating flood risk"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph\">Southern Colorado can expect another wave of rain, snow and increased flood risk this weekend after a record-breaking storm caused devastating flooding across the region.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The National Weather Service forecast shows light rain in lower elevations and light snow above 11,000 feet Friday into Saturday with a heavier storm bringing more precipitation Sunday into Monday. The approaching storm is not expected to bring the same record-breaking levels of rain, but with soils already saturated, flooding remains a concern.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Residents should pay attention to the forecast and watch for any notifications from local authorities, like evacuation watches, Eric Petersen, a NWS meteorologist in Pueblo, said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIf you see a lot of rain coming in the forecast and you flooded already, I think you need to really be prepared to see at least the potential for higher water again,\u201d Petersen said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The recent storm, which began Oct. 21, caused heavy rain, falling rocks, washed-out roads and flooding in 12 counties in southern Colorado and the Four Corners region. Archuleta County reported 540 damaged homes Tuesday, but the number could rise.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A week later, more moisture is coming from the Pacific Ocean via an \u201catmospheric river,\u201d or a narrow band of concentrated water vapor in the atmosphere, said Brooke Scholtens, a meteorologist for the NWS Grand Junction region. (Meteorologists also call it a river in the sky.)<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There\u2019s also a pocket of low atmospheric pressure passing through the region, which works in combination with the atmospheric river to produce rain and snow.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The forecast indicates 1 to 3 inches of precipitation around southern Colorado over the weekend, with more at higher elevations in the mountains. Last week\u2019s storm brought about 2 to 5 inches of rain, with more than 7 inches in some areas.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Come Sunday and Monday, snow could also fall at elevations as low as 8,000 feet. That could impact mountain passes, including Wolf Creek Pass, which was temporarily closed because of flood damage, Scholtens said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cRight now, it doesn\u2019t look as if the flooding is going to be as widespread as the last event,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The National Weather Service watches peak flow forecasts for rivers in southern Colorado. Each river has its own \u201caction stage,\u201d the gauge height that triggers emergency response in communities.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The San Juan River, one of the rivers hit the hardest by the flooding, reaches its action stage at 9.48 feet in Pagosa Springs. It was projected to reach 9.51 feet Monday morning, but that could change over time, Scholtens said Thursday afternoon.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By Friday afternoon, the San Juan River was expected to crest at 10.58 feet, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/permalink.php?story_fbid=pfbid02mZ1SUyzYe6F2HnU2yhnuBMB2AMJFtFQtzgZsx9tit6m3BnMXRyUS6NaNvqKtQ5t9l&amp;id=100068416028570\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Archuleta County Sheriff\u2019s Office said in a Facebook post<\/a>. Minor flood stage is 10.5 feet.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cOur priority remains making sure we have reached everyone who needs help evacuating from flood-affected areas,\u201d the post said, referring to last week\u2019s storm. \u201cAt the same time, we are preparing for the incoming storm.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The sheriff\u2019s office informed residents that they should evacuate if they live in low-lying areas. The county could receive up to 3 inches of rain and between 12 and 30 inches of snow in the high country, the Facebook post said. A winter watch is in effect.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is also the risk of flash flooding because the soils in the area are already saturated. The forecasts are still changing on which elevations will have rain or snow, how much precipitation will fall, and whether there will be thunderstorms, Scholtens said Thursday afternoon.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Travelers should avoid crossing flooded roadways or areas. It\u2019s difficult to tell how deep the water is or what debris is under the surface. Water can float an average-sized car when it is 8 to 10 inches deep, which raises the risk of being swept off the road.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cMost flood deaths do occur in vehicles,\u201d Scholtens said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The eastern San Juan Mountains and San Luis Valley should also expect light rain or snow Friday and Saturday with a bigger storm Sunday and Monday with heavy snowfall.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe could easily get a foot of snow at the Wolf Creek ski area and places up in that general area,\u201d Petersen said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Rio Grande flooded along its course from the San Juan Mountains into South Fork and the San Luis Valley during the last storm.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Communities like Del Norte and Monte Vista might see high flows again early next week, especially along the Conejos River and the South Fork of the Rio Grande, he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIf you\u2019re in or near the Rio Grande or the Conejos River \u2014\u00a0down in the valley or up towards South Fork,\u201d Petersen said, \u201cyou really need to pay attention to the weather this weekend and early next week.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Read more: Southwestern Colorado floods<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/coloradosun.com\/2026\/10\/28\/rescues-devastation-southwest-colorado-floods\/\" rel=\"bookmark nofollow noopener\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-hidden=\"true\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Fun-Valley-SW-Colorado-Floods-05.jpg\" class=\"attachment-newspack-article-block-uncropped size-newspack-article-block-uncropped wp-post-image\" alt=\"Rescues and devastation: What it looked like when southwestern Colorado began flooding\" data-hero-candidate=\"1\"   data-attachment-id=\"506591\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/coloradosun.com\/fun-valley-sw-colorado-floods-05\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newspack-coloradosun.s3.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Fun-Valley-SW-Colorado-Floods-05.jpg?fit=2560%2C1707&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2560,1707\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;2.8&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;CHENEY ORR&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;FC9184&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;Structures are partially submerged in the Rio Grande at Fun Valley Family Resort on Oct. 27, 2026, in South Fork. The resort sustained significant damage from flooding caused by recent heavy rains across southwestern Colorado, which also forced evacuations and damaged roads and homes. (Cheney Orr, The Colorado Sun via Report for America)&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1793119483&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;CHENEY ORR&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;19.35&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;350&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0.0008&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Fun Valley \u2013 SW Colorado Floods-05\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Structures are partially submerged in the Rio Grande at Fun Valley Family Resort on Oct. 27, 2026, in South Fork. The resort sustained significant damage from flooding caused by recent heavy rains across southwestern Colorado, which also forced evacuations and damaged roads and homes. (Cheney Orr, The Colorado Sun via Report for America)&lt;\/p&gt;&#10;\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newspack-coloradosun.s3.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Fun-Valley-SW-Colorado-Floods-05.jpg?fit=780%2C520&amp;ssl=1\"\/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Record-breaking rain<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For a lot of southern Colorado, the September through October period is either going to be the wettest on record or close to it, Russ Schumacher, state climatologist with the Colorado Climate Center, said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The precipitation from Oct. 21 to Monday <a href=\"https:\/\/climate.colostate.edu\/blog\/index.php\/2026\/10\/30\/one-of-the-most-extreme-rainstorms-in-state-records\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">was extreme and rare<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The San Luis Valley saw a 100-year rainstorm last week with some areas experiencing a 1,000-year storm. Parts of Archuleta and La Plata counties flooded again this year after recovering from flooding in 2025 caused by record-breaking rainfall.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s rare to have historic floods two years in a row, he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cI completely understand why someone would interpret that as being, \u2018Oh, it was a 100-year storm. It happened this year. It\u2019s not going to happen again for 100 years,\u2019\u201d Schumacher said. \u201cThat\u2019s not actually what it means. What it really means is it\u2019s got a 1% chance of happening in any given year.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Some of what\u2019s happening this year clearly carries the fingerprint of El Ni\u00f1o, Schumacher said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Autumn tends to be wet in Colorado during El Ni\u00f1o, especially in the southern parts of the state. Eastern Pacific tropical systems are more typical, and that has also happened this fall. This year is categorized as <a href=\"https:\/\/coloradosun.com\/2026\/04\/14\/colorado-super-el-nino-monsoon-summer-forecast\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a \u201csuper\u201d El Ni\u00f1o because water<\/a> in the Pacific Ocean is so much warmer than usual.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mineral, Hinsdale and Archuleta counties, where some of the heaviest rain fell, received about 884,000 acre-feet of rain between Oct. 22 and Sunday.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One acre-foot roughly equals the annual water use of two to four households. Coloradans use about 380,000 acre-feet per year in cities and towns, <a href=\"https:\/\/coloradosun.com\/2023\/09\/05\/colorado-water-use-supply-future\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">according to state data<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/coloradosun.com\/2026\/10\/28\/southwest-colorado-flood-damage-by-the-numbers\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">About 266,000 acre-feet of water<\/a> flowed into Navajo Reservoir as of Monday, according to the Bureau of Reclamation. Then there was more flooding farther downstream in parts of Utah and New Mexico.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lake Powell, a reservoir on the Utah-Arizona border, collects water from the Colorado River and all of its upstream tributaries, including the flood-affected San Juan River.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The reservoir\u2019s water elevation rose nearly 7 feet and its storage increased about 397,600 acre-feet between Oct. 21 and Monday, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usbr.gov\/rsvrWater\/table\/HistoricTable.html?siteID=919&amp;startDate=02-Jul-2026&amp;endDate=29-Oct-2026&amp;stor=1719&amp;elev=1928&amp;rele=1872&amp;cinflw=1792&amp;siteName=LAKE+POWELL&amp;datatype=Daily+Data&amp;reservoirtype=Reservoir\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">according to Bureau of Reclamation data<\/a>. It\u2019s a helpful boost for the reservoir, which is less than 25% full, but not enough to relieve concerns about extremely low reservoir levels.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The incoming storm could delay some recovery efforts, Schumacher said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThere\u2019s already all the damage in a lot of places from the flooding, and so the risk of more flooding is certainly there,\u201d Schumacher said. \u201cOr at the very least, it\u2019s going to hamper some of the efforts to work on the roads and work on the other damage that\u2019s happened.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is a developing story that may be updated.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Southern Colorado can expect another wave of rain, snow and increased flood risk this weekend after a record-breaking&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":900788,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[377271,246871,377272,192,1023,121383,246872,161368,79,377273],"class_list":["post-900787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-_no-top-1","tag-archuleta-county","tag-del-norte","tag-environment","tag-flooding","tag-pagosa-springs","tag-rio-grande-county","tag-rio-grande-river","tag-science","tag-southwest-colorado-floods-2026"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/900787","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=900787"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/900787\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/900788"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=900787"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=900787"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=900787"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}