{"id":901987,"date":"2026-11-01T09:36:25","date_gmt":"2026-11-01T09:36:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/901987\/"},"modified":"2026-11-01T09:36:25","modified_gmt":"2026-11-01T09:36:25","slug":"the-ai-trades-trick-or-treat-earnings-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/901987\/","title":{"rendered":"The AI trade&#8217;s trick-or-treat earnings season"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The latest wave of hyperscaler earnings is spooking Wall Street. Bulls and bears alike have evidence to validate their wildest dreams \u2014 or their worst nightmares.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Why it matters: The market&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2026\/10\/29\/microsoft-alphabet-earnings#utm_source=yahoo_finance&amp;utm_medium=partner&amp;utm_campaign=subs-partner-yahoo-finance-AI\" data-ylk=\"slk:AI%20obsession;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;AI obsession&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">AI obsession<\/a> has entered its Jekyll and Hyde era, with the latest earnings from tech giants offering contrary signals about the AI boom.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Driving the news: The tech-heavy Nasdaq briefly sank into <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-10-29\/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-live-updates?srnd=homepage-americas\" data-ylk=\"slk:correction%20territory%2C;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;correction territory,&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">correction territory,<\/a> falling 10% from its prior peak, losing $1.2 trillion in value for the month of October, after a slew of earnings reports pointed to AI&#8217;s big risks.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Here are three examples of the AI trade&#8217;s deepest contradictions \u2014 the good and the scary \u2014 from the earnings releases and calls of the Big Tech hyperscalers.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Google:  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The scary: AI overviews are cannibalizing Google&#8217;s core business: ad revenue from search. Yes, search queries are up, but results in AI mode have lower margins. The company has lost more than <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/tech\/ai\/alphabet-sheds-half-a-trillion-in-market-value-in-stocks-worst-day-ever-bde7bb6e?mod=hp_lead_pos1\" data-ylk=\"slk:%24500%20billion;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;$500 billion&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">$500 billion<\/a> in market value post-earnings, bringing the broader tech sector along with it.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The good: Google Cloud is closing in on Microsoft&#8217;s Azure cloud revenue, a stunning development given that Google was an also-ran in the cloud game only a few years ago. Much of Google&#8217;s success is tied to demand for its TPU chips, which analysts expect to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theinformation.com\/newsletters\/the-briefing\/google-tpu-moment?rc=urribs\" data-ylk=\"slk:see%20massive%20growth;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;see massive growth&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">see massive growth<\/a> in coming quarters.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The takeaway: Google&#8217;s predicament mirrors the problems of many tech giants, where AI represents a true threat to the golden goose but presents new opportunities if they can move fast enough.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Microsoft and Amazon:  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The good: Both companies had explosive cloud growth, though the market was disappointed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/tech\/amazon-amzn-q3-earnings-report-2026-stock-a0b92f17\" data-ylk=\"slk:Amazon&#039;s;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Amazon&#039;s&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Amazon&#8217;s<\/a> wasn&#8217;t higher. Microsoft touted its OpenAI investment and Amazon its Anthropic holdings.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The iffy: Those private AI investments can help or hurt: Amazon&#8217;s net income fell despite soaring operating profits, as it didn&#8217;t repeat the pretax gain from its Anthropic investment that boosted earnings a year earlier. Microsoft&#8217;s OpenAI investment boosted its net income slightly, which lifted its profit growth.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The takeaway: Check under the hood. Is any given hyperscaler&#8217;s earnings growth coming from private investments in AI labs, or is it due to their underlying business?  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Data: FactSet, company filings; Chart: Axios\/Matt Phillips  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Free cash flow  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The good: Sure, some of the most asset-light tech companies have turned free cash flow negative to fund their AI ambitions, but they say that&#8217;s because demand is outstripping supply! You want these businesses to keep investing in infrastructure to meet that demand and turn it into revenue.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The bad: If there&#8217;s a hit to that demand, and these companies poured trillions into creating more supply, that&#8217;s, well, a recipe for a bit of a popped bubble situation.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left  neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The takeaway: Watch the demand picture. Jeetu Patel, President and Chief Product Officer at Cisco, is bullish, but told Axios that a major cyber event that hits the core of AI demand could be a downside risk.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The latest wave of hyperscaler earnings is spooking Wall Street. Bulls and bears alike have evidence to validate&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":901988,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[5097,182,181,507,28,122,101,939,2993,2994,32455,2995,932,32456,20112,147,9323,1170,1666,6480,2996,2997,923,19533,3733,74,32457],"class_list":["post-901987","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-401k","tag-ai","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-artificialintelligence","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-economy","tag-finance","tag-financial-information","tag-investing","tag-investment-tools","tag-investor","tag-market-news","tag-mortgage","tag-mutual-funds","tag-personal-finance","tag-quote","tag-real-estate","tag-retirement","tag-stock","tag-stock-research","tag-stock-valuation","tag-stocks","tag-suze-orman","tag-tax","tag-technology","tag-track-portfolio"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/901987","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=901987"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/901987\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/901988"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=901987"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=901987"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=901987"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}