{"id":911759,"date":"2026-11-09T23:30:11","date_gmt":"2026-11-09T23:30:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/911759\/"},"modified":"2026-11-09T23:30:11","modified_gmt":"2026-11-09T23:30:11","slug":"if-a-recession-is-coming-in-2027-im-making-this-1-investing-move-without-any-hesitation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/911759\/","title":{"rendered":"If a Recession Is Coming in 2027, I&#8217;m Making This 1 Investing Move Without Any Hesitation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">There&#8217;s a 28% chance the U.S. could experience its next recession by the end of 2027, according to the latest predictions on Polymarket. U.S. Bank&#8217;s Economic Research Group has also set a 25% chance of a recession occurring within the next 12 months.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Those predictions might seem bullish, but they also suggest that persistent inflation, additional rate hikes, and other macro headwinds could still hurt the U.S. economy and trigger the next recession. If that happens, I&#8217;d stick with one simple strategy: buy rather than sell.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a &#8220;Double Down&#8221; signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same &#8220;Total Conviction&#8221; signal is flashing for a company 1\/100th the size of Nvidia. <a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=6aebc9ff-fbc2-48db-9b2f-a2f55dd9669a&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fa-sa-dd-total-conviction%3Faid%3D11123%26source%3Disaediica0000074%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-dd-4%26ftm_veh%3Dtop_incontent_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D19375&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=4cd04f50-e2ac-4460-9e8f-8a5ddd5d768d\" data-ylk=\"slk:Continue%20%C2%BB;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Continue \u00bb&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Continue \u00bb<\/a>  <\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/700bdd4f25fb234043dd63e4235cb6201d6481aa94dfcb3f3e68fd31f2040d88\/lightyear_networkapi\/resizefit_w960%3Bquality_80%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fmotleyfool.com%2F8b3b725c1339991b46448b100076a432.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"A bear in front of a declining stock chart.\" height=\"640\" width=\"960\" class=\"yf-1f8hkhu loader\"\/><\/a> Image source: Getty Images           Why should investors buy stocks during a recession?          <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/stock-market\/indexes\/sp-500\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=4cd04f50-e2ac-4460-9e8f-8a5ddd5d768d\" data-ylk=\"slk:S%26P%20500;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;S&amp;P 500&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">S&amp;P 500<\/a> (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has generated an average annual total return of nearly 11% since its inception in 1957. A $1,000 investment in the S&amp;P 500, with reinvested dividends, would be worth $1.16 million today. That&#8217;s about $97,315 in 1957 dollars.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">But to achieve that gain, you would have needed to stay invested in the S&amp;P 500 through ten official recessions and 11 bear markets. That&#8217;s easier said than done, since the S&amp;P 500 experienced steep peak-to-trough downturns during those bear markets. That includes declines of 49% in 2000-2022, 57% in 2007-2009, 34% in 2020, and 25% in 2022.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">At the nadir of each of those declines, many investors sold their stocks. But here&#8217;s how much the S&amp;P 500 grew &#8212; with reinvested dividends &#8212; from those multi-year bottoms.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Data source: YCharts  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">In each case, investors who bought more stocks as the market crashed fared better than those who retreated. That&#8217;s why Warren Buffett famously said: &#8220;We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.&#8221;  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Even if you had done nothing, you would still have fared better than investors who fled the market. A $1,000 investment in the S&amp;P 500 on the first trading day of 2002 &#8212; without any additional investments except for reinvested dividends &#8212; would still be worth about $10,580.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Sticking with some top-performing individual stocks would have given you even bigger gains. Here&#8217;s how much Apple, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/how-to-invest\/stocks\/nvidia-stock-forecast\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=4cd04f50-e2ac-4460-9e8f-8a5ddd5d768d\" data-ylk=\"slk:Nvidia;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Nvidia&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Nvidia<\/a>, and Microsoft outperformed the S&amp;P 500 since its darkest day in Oct. 2002.  <\/p>\n<p>     Story Continues  <\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indices\/%5ESPXTR\/chart\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"^SPXTR Chart\" height=\"490\" width=\"720\" class=\"yf-1f8hkhu loader\"\/><\/a> Source:          <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\" data-ylk=\"slk:YCharts;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;YCharts&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">YCharts<\/a>  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Past performance never guarantees future gains, but prematurely selling those tech giants &#8212; which now collectively account for over a fifth of the S&amp;P 500 &#8212; was clearly a bad move for long-term investors.  <\/p>\n<p>       How do you know if the market has bottomed out?         <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">It&#8217;s impossible to perfectly time the market. But as someone who started investing during the Great Recession, I can tell you to watch a few key indicators.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">If the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s forward price-to-earnings ratio &#8212; which is currently at 18 &#8212; drops to the mid-teens, it indicates the market is due for a rebound. That multiple dropped to 14 in 2002, 10 in 2009, 13 in 2020, and 16 in 2022. CNN&#8217;s Fear and Greed Index &#8212; which bounces between &#8220;extreme fear&#8221; and &#8220;extreme greed&#8221; &#8212; is another popular way to gauge the market&#8217;s overall sentiment.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Since you&#8217;ll never know when the next bear market will bottom out, it&#8217;s smarter to simply nibble on more stocks in fixed dollar amounts as the broader market pulls back. By utilizing that dollar-cost averaging strategy, you&#8217;ll buy more shares of a stock when its price is low, fewer shares when its price is high, and smooth out your average purchase price.  <\/p>\n<p>       Should you buy stock in S&amp;P 500 Index right now?         <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Before you buy stock in S&amp;P 500 Index, consider this:  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the <a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=46b110e1-ab26-4f78-a10d-db3eaccd3262&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-bbn-bn%3Faid%3D8867%26source%3Disaeditxt0001181%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-evergreen%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D18781&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=4cd04f50-e2ac-4460-9e8f-8a5ddd5d768d\" data-ylk=\"slk:10%20best%20stocks;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;10 best stocks&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">10 best stocks<\/a> for investors to buy now\u2026 and S&amp;P 500 Index wasn&#8217;t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004&#8230; if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you&#8217;d have $341,966!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005&#8230; if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you&#8217;d have $1,146,819!*  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Now, it&#8217;s worth noting Stock Advisor&#8217;s total average return is 852% \u2014 a market-crushing outperformance compared to 203% for the S&amp;P 500. Don&#8217;t miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=46b110e1-ab26-4f78-a10d-db3eaccd3262&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-bbn-bn%3Faid%3D8867%26source%3Disaeditxt0001181%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-evergreen%26ftm_pit%3D18781%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26company%3DS%2526P%2520500%2520Index&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=4cd04f50-e2ac-4460-9e8f-8a5ddd5d768d\" data-ylk=\"slk:See%20the%2010%20stocks%20%C2%BB;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;See the 10 stocks \u00bb&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"ticker_pitch\">See the 10 stocks \u00bb<\/a>  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">*Stock Advisor returns as of November 9, 2026.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/author\/2154\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:Leo%20Sun;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Leo Sun&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Leo Sun<\/a> has positions in Apple. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and U.S. Bancorp. The Motley Fool has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/legal\/fool-disclosure-policy\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:disclosure%20policy;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;disclosure policy&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">disclosure policy<\/a>.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left tight-spacing neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2026\/11\/09\/if-a-recession-is-coming-in-2027-im-making-this-1\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:If%20a%20Recession%20Is%20Coming%20in%202027%2C%20I&#039;m%20Making%20This%201%20Investing%20Move%20Without%20Any%20Hesitation;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;If a Recession Is Coming in 2027, I&#039;m Making This 1 Investing Move Without Any Hesitation&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">If a Recession Is Coming in 2027, I&#8217;m Making This 1 Investing Move Without Any Hesitation<\/a> was originally published by The Motley Fool  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"There&#8217;s a 28% chance the U.S. could experience its next recession by the end of 2027, according to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":911760,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[5097,28,122,101,939,2993,2994,32455,2995,932,112,32456,20112,147,9323,1170,1666,6480,2996,2997,923,19533,3733,32457],"class_list":["post-911759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-markets","tag-401k","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-economy","tag-finance","tag-financial-information","tag-investing","tag-investment-tools","tag-investor","tag-market-news","tag-markets","tag-mortgage","tag-mutual-funds","tag-personal-finance","tag-quote","tag-real-estate","tag-retirement","tag-stock","tag-stock-research","tag-stock-valuation","tag-stocks","tag-suze-orman","tag-tax","tag-track-portfolio"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/911759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=911759"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/911759\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/911760"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=911759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=911759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=911759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}