{"id":97445,"date":"2025-08-20T18:45:08","date_gmt":"2025-08-20T18:45:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/97445\/"},"modified":"2025-08-20T18:45:08","modified_gmt":"2025-08-20T18:45:08","slug":"unless-we-see-a-recession-you-shouldnt-be-prescribing-a-175-basis-point-cut-in-interest-rates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/97445\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;Unless We See A Recession,&#8217; You Shouldn&#8217;t Be Prescribing A 175 Basis Point Cut In Interest Rates"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers criticized the current U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent for weighing too directly on the direction of interest rates, something he believes could blur the lines between fiscal and monetary polices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Summers, who served as the Treasury Secretary under President Bill Clinton, says that he is surprised to see Bessent \u201cbe that prescriptive on interest rates,\u201d noting that usually administrative officials aren\u2019t involved in such judgements, while adding that he\u2019s \u201cnot sure it\u2019s helpful for the Administration to be publicly prescribing on monetary policy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Trending: The same firms that backed Uber, Venmo and eBay are investing in this pre-IPO company disrupting a $1.8T market \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/go\/pacaso-investment?utm_campaign=partner_feed&amp;utm_source=yahooFinance&amp;utm_medium=partner_feed&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;nid=47230576\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:and you can too at just $2.90\/share.;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">and you can too at just $2.90\/share.<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">He says that any model of monetary policy must rest \u201con a judgment about what the neutral interest rate is,\u201d which is the level that allows the economy to sustain full employment without fueling inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">He also cites \u201ca judgment about inflation expectations\u201d as another requisite for arriving at a monetary policy model, saying that this is how he would approach it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Summers also points to multiple forces that he believes are driving higher demand for capital, including \u201csubstantially elevated deficit spending,\u201d a surge in \u201cdata center spending,\u201d reduced U.S. trade deficits, and \u201chigher asset prices\u201d that limit the flow of savings.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Altogether, he says, these dynamics suggest that \u201cneutral interest rates have risen quite substantially,\u201d noting that under such circumstances Bessent&#8217;s stance on steep rate reductions was misplaced.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">In such a case, he notes, you shouldn\u2019t be \u201cprescribing [a] 175 basis point cut in rates unless we see a recession.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">See Also: In a $34 Trillion Debt Era, The Right AI Could Be Your Financial Advantage \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/benzingapartners.go2cloud.org\/aff_c?offer_id=603&amp;aff_id=1&amp;utm_campaign=partner_feed&amp;utm_source=yahooFinance&amp;utm_medium=partner_feed&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;nid=47230576\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Get Your Demo;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Get Your Demo<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Last week, Bessent argued that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/markets\/economic-data\/25\/08\/47088535\/scott-bessent-federal-reserve-trump-putin-meeting-interest-rates?utm_campaign=partner_feed&amp;utm_source=yahooFinance&amp;utm_medium=partner_feed&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;nid=47230576\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:current interest rates;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">current interest rates<\/a> were too restrictive, saying that \u201cwe should be 150-175 basis points lower on the fed funds now,\u201d noting that had the Bureau of Labor Statistics been more accurate recently, the Federal Reserve would have cut rates in June or July.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below. Former&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":97446,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[28,101,9007,9335,65704,4666,33474],"class_list":{"0":"post-97445","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-economy","10":"tag-interest-rates","11":"tag-monetary-policy","12":"tag-president-bill-clinton","13":"tag-scott-bessent","14":"tag-treasury-secretary"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97445","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=97445"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97445\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/97446"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=97445"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=97445"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=97445"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}