Election 2026: Left-wing Opposition’s chance of forming Govt tiny as Opportunity rises in Poll of Polls
Late last month, National decided to rule out working with Opportunity after the election due to Opportunity’s tax…
Poll of polls: Coalition slump continues, but Labour’s path to power lies with Opportunity
The disruptor is Opportunity. The model reckons there is a 39% chance of Opportunity crossing the 5% threshold…
Poll of polls: Coalition’s likelihood of being re-elected continues to fall, Opportunity on the cusp of Parliament
The poll of polls reckons Labour’s likely party vote is 32.3%, the Greens are on 10.3%, and Te…
A 250-Year-Old Theory Learns New Tricks
Physicists have derived a quantum version of Bayes’ rule, revealing how beliefs and probabilities update in the quantum…
US Fed chief says two more rate cuts in 2025 a probability, not certainty
The central bank faces competing pressures in adjusting rates, with Trump’s sweeping tariffs fuelling inflation risks while the…